AVAV AeroVironment (NASDAQ) at $321.99 intraday: BADGER stop work pressures shares
AVAV stock trades at $321.99 intraday on 22 Jan 2026, down 2.69% after the U.S. Space Force issued a stop work order on AeroVironment’s BADGER phased-array antenna program. The move hit volume early, with 139,232.00 shares traded versus an average of 1,155,926.00, and pushed the day low to $316.68 and the day high to $326.44. This update ties directly to contract execution risk and likely margin pressure if the award switches to firm-fixed price. We examine technicals, valuation, analyst targets, and Meyka AI forecasts for NASDAQ-listed AeroVironment, Inc. in the United States, quoted in USD.
AVAV stock: Intraday price action and market drivers
Intraday, AVAV stock opened at $323.79 and is reacting to an SEC 8-K disclosure about the BADGER stop work order tied to the Space Force source. The current decline of -8.90 points reflects both the contract risk and a technical pullback from the 52-week high of $417.86.
AVAV stock: Technicals and momentum indicators
Momentum is firm but short-term overbought: RSI is 67.82, CCI is 253.82, and ADX reads 27.13 indicating a strong trend. Average price levels show the 50-day at $289.03 and the 200-day at $255.21, so price remains above both moving averages despite today’s weakness.
AVAV stock: Fundamentals and valuation metrics
AeroVironment reports EPS of -1.22 and a negative PE around -261.99, while key ratios show price-to-book at 2.00 and price-to-sales at 11.51. Liquidity and balance-sheet metrics are solid with a current ratio of 5.08 and debt-to-equity of 0.19, but operating cash flow per share is negative at -6.95.
AVAV stock: Analyst consensus and price targets
Wall Street leans bullish with a MarketBeat consensus target of $375.41 and 22 buy/strong-buy calls versus one hold and one sell source. Notable targets include Needham $450.00, Goldman Sachs $429.00, and Citizens Jmp $400.00, creating a wide target range and signaling diverse upside expectations.
AVAV stock: Meyka AI grade and model view
Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100: 70.68 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus. This analysis uses Meyka AI, an AI-powered market analysis platform that blends fundamentals and alternative data for the NASDAQ-listed AeroVironment, Inc.
AVAV stock: Risks and opportunities for AI and defense investors
Risk centers on government contract execution and margin mix if BADGER shifts to firm-fixed price; contract value was not disclosed. Opportunity stems from strong backlog in unmanned systems, high book value per share of 157.68, and continued demand in the Aerospace & Defense segment.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for AVAV stock on 22 Jan 2026: the immediate price move to $321.99 reflects contract execution risk after the Space Force stop work order on BADGER and a measurable intraday volume spike to 139,232.00 shares. Fundamentals show mixed signals — a robust current ratio 5.08 and book value per share 157.68 versus negative EPS -1.22 and weak cash flow per share -7.40. Analysts remain mostly constructive with a consensus near $375.41, while Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of $380.62, implying an upside of 18.21% versus today’s price, and a one-year projection of $252.30, implying downside of -21.65%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Watch BADGER contract updates, upcoming earnings (announced 03 Mar 2026), and sector flows into Aerospace & Defense when weighing short-term trading or longer-term AVAV investment decisions. For real-time tracking, see our AVAV stock page at Meyka AVAV page.
FAQs
Why did AVAV stock drop today?
AVAV stock fell after the U.S. Space Force issued a stop work order on the BADGER program, raising delivery and margin uncertainty. The SEC 8-K linked to the order drove higher intraday volume and the pullback to the day low of $316.68.
What is Meyka AI’s view on AVAV stock?
Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score of 70.68 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY) and projects a monthly model target of $380.62, implying 18.21% upside. Ratings and forecasts are model-based and not investment guarantees.
What valuation metrics should investors watch for AVAV stock?
Watch EPS -1.22, PE negative -261.99, price-to-book 2.00, price-to-sales 11.51, and current ratio 5.08. These show strong balance-sheet liquidity but mixed profitability and expensive revenue multiples.
How can BADGER contract news affect AVAV stock outlook?
BADGER could change margin profiles if converted to firm-fixed price; a contract termination or renegotiation would reduce revenue visibility and likely pressure AVAV stock until scope and pricing are clarified.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
