OERL.SW OC Oerlikon (SIX) 23 Jan 2026 CHF3.78 close: model sees 17.20% upside

The OERL.SW stock finished the most-active session on the SIX in Switzerland at CHF 3.78 on 23 Jan 2026, matching yesterday’s close and trading between CHF 3.72 and CHF 3.82. Volume was elevated at 1,064,643 shares versus an average of 574,509, keeping Oerlikon among the day’s top movers. The market closed with a positive short-term trend but an overbought technical profile. Investors are watching a near-term catalyst: Oerlikon’s next earnings on 24 Feb 2026, which could reset the stock’s short-term trajectory.

OERL.SW stock: session summary and trading flows

OC Oerlikon Corporation AG (OERL.SW) closed at CHF 3.78 on SIX on 23 Jan 2026, within a daily range of CHF 3.72–3.82. Volume was 1,064,643 shares, about 1.85x the average volume of 574,509, making it one of Switzerland’s most active industrial names today. The stock shows YTD performance of +14.44% and one-month gains of +18.75%, signalling renewed investor interest.

Higher turnover and a price above the 50-day average (CHF 3.25) indicate active positioning by traders ahead of the earnings release. For reference, the 200-day average sits at CHF 3.30, keeping the longer-term trend close to current levels.

Fundamentals, valuation and cash flow metrics

OERL.SW stock trades at PE 18.94 on EPS of CHF 0.20, and a price-to-book of 0.92 against book value per share of CHF 4.15. Market cap is approximately CHF 1,232,560,835.00 with 325,385,648 shares outstanding. The dividend per share is CHF 0.20, implying a yield near 5.29% on the current price.

Key balance-sheet notes: debt-to-equity is 1.67 and net-debt-to-EBITDA runs near 5.28, which elevates leverage risk if margins weaken. Free cash flow yield is a modest 5.45%, supporting the dividend but leaving limited cushion if industrial demand softens.

Technical view and short-term support/resistance

Short-term indicators are stretched: RSI 70.76 (overbought), Stochastic %K 86.36, and ADX 34.51 showing a strong trend. MACD is positive at 0.09 with a signal of 0.07, reinforcing short-term momentum. Bollinger Bands sit 3.06–3.45, and the lower band near CHF 3.06 provides a clear technical support reference.

Immediate upside congestion is the year high at CHF 4.30, while intraday support zones are CHF 3.25 (50-day MA) and CHF 3.06 (BB lower). On-volume metrics, OBV is positive and MFI at 70.14 signals buying pressure, but the overbought oscillators warn of a possible pullback.

Meyka stock grade, model forecast and price targets

Meyka AI rates OERL.SW with a score out of 100: 59.91 (C+) — HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The profile mixes healthy cash flow with above-average leverage, producing a mid-range grade.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly price of CHF 4.43, compared with the current CHF 3.78, implying an upside of +17.20%. The monthly model target is CHF 3.70 (-2.12%) and the one-year projection is CHF 2.13. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Realistic price targets based on valuation scenarios: conservative CHF 3.00, base CHF 4.43, bullish CHF 5.50 depending on margin recovery and debt reduction.

Catalysts, sector context and downside risks

Upcoming catalysts include the 24 Feb 2026 earnings announcement and order-book updates in Surface Solutions and Polymer Processing Solutions. Sector context: Industrials peers trade at an average PE of 28.99, so Oerlikon’s PE of 18.94 offers a relative value angle if operational trends improve. The company serves aerospace, automotive, energy, and textile markets — pockets of demand that can drive upside.

Primary risks are high leverage (net-debt-to-EBITDA 5.28) and thin net margins (TTM net margin approximately -0.05%). A weak macro or delays in large industrial orders could pressure cash flow and the dividend payout.

Final Thoughts

OERL.SW stock closed the most-active SIX session at CHF 3.78 on 23 Jan 2026 with above-average volume, signalling strong trader interest ahead of the company’s 24 Feb 2026 earnings release. Fundamentals show mixed signals: a reasonable PE of 18.94 and a 5.29% dividend yield, offset by leverage concerns (debt-to-equity 1.67, net-debt-to-EBITDA 5.28) and near-flat net margins. Technically, short-term momentum is positive but overbought (RSI 70.76), and support sits near CHF 3.06–3.25.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of CHF 4.43, implying +17.20% upside from today’s close; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Investors should weigh the yield and relative valuation against balance-sheet risk. For active traders, the stock’s liquidity and volume make it actionable around confirmed catalysts. For longer-term holders, a recovery in margins and a clear debt reduction path are the triggers that would move OERL.SW from a HOLD-grade to a stronger buy case. Meyka AI provides this as data-driven market analysis, not investment advice.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.