GEO Stock Today: January 25 ICE Metro Surge Arrests Put Beds in Focus
GEO stock today sits at the center of a fast-moving enforcement story. ICE and CBP highlighted Minnesota’s Operation Metro Surge, saying arrests include people without criminal convictions. That can push near-term detention demand. For investors, shares of GEO last showed $18.57 with a $2.58 billion market cap. We review price action, technicals, valuation, and policy risks so U.S. investors can judge whether GEO stock today offers tactical opportunity or calls for patience.
Enforcement update and why it matters to detention beds
ICE leadership said Minnesota arrests under Operation Metro Surge include people without criminal convictions, pointing to a wider net and higher volumes. That can support facility occupancy and electronic monitoring demand. See reporting from KSTP on arrest mix source. For GEO stock today, the key link is potential bed utilization and daily rate stability.
Officials touted immigration operations in Minneapolis at a live briefing, while protests closed many businesses citywide. Higher enforcement can lift throughput, but visible pushback raises policy headlines and contract scrutiny. Watch officer deployment, facility intake trends, and statements from DHS. PBS carried the briefing highlights source. GEO stock today tracks sentiment to both occupancy data and political risk.
Price, performance, and valuation snapshot
GEO stock today last quoted $18.57, day range $18.02 to $18.74, 52-week range $14.27 to $33.84. YTD change is +16.45%. One month is +14.44%; five days +6.79%. One year is -44.59%, three years +65.63%, five years +130.72%. Volume was 1.90 million versus 1.86 million average. These swings show policy headlines can move the tape quickly.
Trailing EPS is $1.69 for a P/E of 10.98 and price-to-book of 1.68. Enterprise multiple is 7.06 times EBITDA. Debt-to-equity is 1.07 with net debt to EBITDA of 2.54 and interest coverage of 1.89. GEO stock today screens inexpensive, but leverage and modest coverage argue for careful position sizing until visibility improves.
Technicals and near-term trading tone
RSI is 48.32, near neutral. MACD is -0.04 with a 0.01 signal, showing a soft cross. ADX is 12.26, indicating no strong trend. ATR is 0.60, while Money Flow Index is 29.45, a light-bid reading. Bollinger mid-band is 16.45 with upper at 17.08 and lower at 15.82. GEO stock today looks range bound with quick headline spikes.
Earnings are slated for Feb. 12, 2026 at 13:30 UTC. We will track any detention occupancy updates, average per-diem rates, and electronic monitoring trends. Policy shifts tied to immigration enforcement Minneapolis and broader ICE arrests Minnesota coverage can change outlook fast. GEO stock today may react more to guidance color than to backward-looking results.
Scenarios, ratings, and what could move the shares
Upside: higher arrest volumes, new or extended contracts, and steady pricing can lift occupancy and cash flow. Downside: legal challenges, community pushback, or funding shifts. Protests that shut hundreds of businesses signal headline risk. For GEO stock today, we prioritize policy clarity and cash generation over multiple expansion.
Two analysts rate Buy; consensus is 4.00. Our Stock Grade is B with a HOLD suggestion. Company rating shows B+ overall with neutral stance. Model paths show $30.55 yearly, $42.29 in 3 years, and $53.99 in 5 years. GEO stock today needs balance sheet progress to justify those paths.
Final Thoughts
Here is our takeaway on GEO stock today. Enforcement actions like Operation Metro Surge can raise near-term bed utilization, yet they also heighten policy and legal scrutiny. The stock screens inexpensive on P/E and enterprise multiples, but leverage and thin interest coverage limit flexibility. Technically, we see a neutral, range-bound setup that can break on policy or earnings headlines. Action plan: watch DHS updates, facility occupancy commentary on Feb. 12, and any contract disclosures. Consider scaling entries and setting risk limits, since policy momentum and community responses can change pricing power fast.
FAQs
How does Operation Metro Surge affect GEO stock today?
It can support near-term bed demand if arrests increase intake or monitoring volumes. That can help revenue and utilization. The flip side is higher policy scrutiny and potential legal challenges. We watch DHS briefings, contract commentary, and occupancy metrics to judge whether any volume lift translates into sustained cash flow.
Is GEO stock today cheap or a value trap?
At $18.57, P/E 10.98 and enterprise multiple near 7.06 look modest. Debt-to-equity is 1.07 and interest coverage 1.89, which limits downside cushion. We see potential value if occupancy and pricing hold, but we want clearer cash generation and deleveraging before a stronger view.
What technical levels matter for GEO stock today?
RSI at 48.32 is neutral and ADX 12.26 shows no trend. ATR 0.60 signals moderate daily swings. With Bollinger mid near 16.45, pullbacks toward band lows and pushes to highs can fade without new catalysts. We look for momentum confirmation and volume before assuming a trend.
What catalysts beyond policy could move GEO stock today?
Quarterly earnings on Feb. 12, 2026, contract wins or renewals, changes in per-diem rates, and updates in electronic monitoring can move shares. Litigation outcomes and funding debates also matter. We focus on occupancy, cash flow, and any guidance that shifts balance sheet or capital allocation plans.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
