STM.DE Stabilus S.A. (XETRA) Q4 results 26 Jan 2026: focus on margins and cash flow
STM.DE stock is trading intraday at €18.56 as Stabilus S.A. (STM.DE) prepares to report Q4 results on 26 Jan 2026. Volume is elevated at 134,605 shares vs average 53,576, signalling that traders are positioning ahead of the release. Key watch items are margin recovery, free cash flow and any guidance change for 2026. We examine the numbers, valuation and short-term trading setup for the XETRA-listed industrials name and highlight what could move the stock after the earnings release.
STM.DE stock: Earnings preview and what matters
Stabilus announces results today with the earnings release scheduled for 26 Jan 2026 and a presentation at 16:30 CET. The market will parse revenue growth, EBIT margin and EPS versus the last reported EPS of €0.93.
Contracting demand in some automotive segments and a large installed base in furniture and RVs make margins the immediate focus. Management commentary on order intake and electric tailgate shipments will shape the intraday move.
Financials and valuation snapshot for Stabilus S.A.
STM.DE trades at €18.56 with a market cap of €455,468,000.00 and a PE of 19.83 on trailing EPS €0.93. The stock sits near its 52-week low of €17.48 and well below the year high of €33.65, highlighting recent downside.
Key ratios material to investors: price/sales 0.35, price/book 0.75, EV/EBITDA 6.10, and free cash flow yield about 22.58%. Stabilus pays a dividend of €1.15 per share, implying a yield near 6.24%, but the payout ratio is elevated at 123.02%, which raises sustainability questions.
Meyka AI rates STM.DE with a score out of 100 and model forecast
Meyka AI rates STM.DE with a score out of 100: 68.94 (Grade B) — Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, analyst-style metrics and forecast signals. The rating balances strong cash generation against high net debt and margin pressure.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of €23.02 and a yearly target of €18.70 versus the current €18.56. The quarterly projection implies an upside of 24.03%, while the yearly target implies 0.75% upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For more detail see the Meyka stock page for STM.DE Meyka STM.DE page.
Trading technicals and intraday flow
Intraday range today is €18.40–€19.54, with relative volume at 3.34x indicating outsized activity. Momentum indicators show a neutral-to-modest bias: RSI 55.48, MACD histogram slightly positive and ADX 17.99 suggesting no strong trend.
Short-term resistance sits near the 50-day average €19.99 and support at the day low €18.40 and the 52-week low €17.48. Traders watching earnings may react to guidance; a beat-plus-upgrade could push price toward the 200-day average €23.28.
Opportunities and risks in the Stabilus earnings report
Opportunity: Stabilus shows strong free cash flow per share €4.16 and an EV/Operating Cash Flow of 6.16, which gives scope to deleverage or sustain dividends. A positive margin trajectory would materially change sentiment.
Risk: Net debt to EBITDA is 3.64x and interest coverage is modest at 1.97, leaving the company vulnerable if margins soften. The payout ratio above 100% and elevated leverage are primary downside risks.
Price targets and scenario planning after results
We outline three scenario price targets sized to likely earnings outcomes. Conservative: €16.00 if earnings miss and guidance is cut. Base case: €20.00 on a clean beat and stable guidance. Bull case: €25.00 if management shows strong margin recovery and faster cash conversion.
These targets reflect Stabilus’ industrial sector peers and current metrics. Investors should weigh the dividend yield against leverage and cyclical revenue exposure in automotive markets.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways: STM.DE stock trades at €18.56 ahead of Stabilus’ Q4 release on 26 Jan 2026. The stock shows elevated volume and clear focus points: margin recovery, free cash flow and guidance. Financials reveal attractive free cash flow per share €4.16 and a high dividend yield near 6.24%, but leverage metrics are a concern with net debt/EBITDA 3.64x. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of €23.02 (implied upside 24.03%) and a yearly target of €18.70 (implied upside 0.75%). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use earnings reaction to reassess positions: a clear margin beat could reopen the gap to the 200-day average €23.28, while weak guidance would likely test the €16.00 downside scenario. For ongoing coverage and real-time signals, consult Meyka AI’s platform for STM.DE intraday updates and the company dividend history source.
FAQs
When does Stabilus (STM.DE) report earnings and what should investors watch?
Stabilus reports Q4 results on 26 Jan 2026. Investors should watch EBIT margin, EPS versus trailing €0.93, free cash flow and management guidance for 2026.
How does Stabilus’ valuation compare to peers?
STM.DE trades at PE 19.83 and PB 0.75, below many industrial peers on price/book. The EV/EBITDA 6.10 indicates a value tilt versus sector averages.
What are the main financial risks for STM.DE?
Key risks are leverage (net debt/EBITDA 3.64x), modest interest coverage 1.97, and a payout ratio above 100%, which may hinder dividend sustainability.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
