BBAI BigBear.ai (NYSE) closes at $5.72 on 26 Jan 2026: watch Q1 earnings and price targets
BBAI stock closed at $5.72 on 26 Jan 2026 on the NYSE in the United States, down 1.72% for the session. Trading volume reached 54,508,316 shares, below the 3‑month average of 102,092,188. Investors are eyeing BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) ahead of a March earnings announcement and fresh analyst commentary. This report links price action to fundamentals, technicals, and a Meyka AI forecast to clarify near‑term upside and risks for BBAI stock.
BBAI stock price action and liquidity
BigBear.ai (BBAI) traded between $5.65 and $6.05 intraday and opened at $5.84. The market cap stood at $2,119,240,158.00 USD and shares outstanding are 370,820,675. Relative volume was 0.52, which shows lighter activity versus the average and suggests price moves may widen on news. The 50‑day average price is $6.09 and the 200‑day average is $5.64, placing the current price slightly below the 50‑day trend
BBAI stock fundamentals and earnings calendar
BigBear.ai reports EPS of -1.45 and a negative PE of -3.94, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue per share TTM is 0.36 while book value per share is 1.54, and the company holds $1.48 cash per share. The company lists an earnings announcement on 2026-03-18; that date is key for BBAI earnings and could swing guidance and multiple. Current margins are negative, but gross profit growth was 11.38% year over year to the latest FY.
BBAI stock technicals and short‑term setup
Momentum indicators show neutral bias for BBAI stock. RSI sits at 54.54, MACD histogram is 0.03, and ADX is 10.54, indicating no clear trending environment. Bollinger Bands range from $5.22 to $6.89, giving a volatility band that matches the ATR 0.47. Traders should note the year high at $10.36 and year low at $2.36 when sizing positions.
Analyst signals, market context and Meyka grade
Consensus data shows 1 Buy and 1 Hold rating in recent upgrade/downgrade feeds. Public news coverage from MarketWatch and Nasdaq highlights intraday trading and coverage changes source and source. Meyka AI rates BBAI with a score of 65.86 out of 100 — Grade B, suggestion HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus.
Valuation, cash flow and risk points for BBAI stock
Valuation multiples are elevated on a trailing basis because earnings are negative. Price to Sales TTM is 14.59, Price to Book is 3.69, and EV/Revenue TTM is 12.21. Free cash flow per share is -0.10, and interest coverage is negative at -2.31, indicating earnings do not cover interest. Key risks include execution on government and commercial contracts and a thin analyst coverage base that can magnify sentiment moves.
BBAI stock outlook and model forecast
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $9.14 USD and a quarterly target of $7.83 USD for BBAI stock. Monthly momentum models flag a possible re‑test of the $10.36 year high if contract wins accelerate. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees, and they assume revenue growth and margin improvements unfold over the next 12 months.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for BBAI stock: BigBear.ai closed at $5.72 USD on 26 Jan 2026 with lighter volume, leaving the name sensitive to earnings and contract news. Fundamentals show negative EPS (-1.45) and weak cash flow per share (-0.10), while liquidity metrics such as current ratio 3.13 and cash per share 1.48 provide buffers. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $9.14 USD, implying an upside of 59.66% versus the current price of $5.72. The stock carries execution and margin risks but also upside if government and enterprise AI sales accelerate. Investors should watch the 2026‑03‑18 earnings date, monitor guidance, and size positions against volatility. Meyka AI, an AI‑powered market analysis platform, rates BBAI B (HOLD) based on benchmark, sector, growth, and analyst inputs. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees; always align any trade with risk limits and time horizon.
FAQs
What drives short‑term moves in BBAI stock?
Short‑term moves in BBAI stock are driven by earnings updates, government contract news, and trading volume. Watch the next earnings date on 2026-03-18 and daily volume versus the average of 102,092,188 shares for signals.
Does Meyka AI provide a price target for BBAI stock?
Yes. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $9.14 USD for BBAI stock, implying about 59.66% upside versus the current price of $5.72. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees.
Is BBAI stock a buy, hold, or sell today?
Meyka AI rates BBAI with a B (HOLD) score of 65.86 out of 100. The grade factors in benchmarks, sector, financials, and analyst signals. This is informational, not investment advice.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.