Asteria 3853.T (JPX) up 10.68% to JPY 1358.00 on 27 Jan 2026: watch earnings
The top gainer on JPX today was Asteria Corporation (3853.T), which closed up 10.68% at JPY 1358.00 on 27 Jan 2026 as trading volume surged to 4,804,900 shares. We view this move as a volatility-driven rally ahead of the company’s earnings announcement on 13 Feb 2026 and short-term positioning by traders. The focus keyword 3853.T stock shows strong intraday momentum versus its 50‑day average of JPY 1,053.06, but the price now sits below the 52‑week high of JPY 2,510.00, leaving wide potential outcomes into earnings.
Price action and volume: intraday surge on JPX
3853.T stock led Japan’s gainers with a 10.68% rise to JPY 1358.00 on JPX at market close, after a day range of JPY 1,204.00–1,398.00 and an opening price of JPY 1,220.00. Volume was 4,804,900, more than three times the average daily volume of 1,509,042, a clear sign of heavy buying interest that pushed the relative volume to 3.18x.
Drivers and catalysts: earnings and product demand
The rally appears driven by positioning ahead of Asteria’s upcoming earnings announcement and renewed interest in its data integration products such as ASTERIA Warp and Platio. We note the earnings date 13 Feb 2026, and traders are pricing event risk; positive guidance or growth in subscription revenue could sustain gains, while weak guidance would likely reverse much of today’s move.
Fundamentals and valuation: profits, PE and balance sheet
Asteria reports EPS JPY 67.73 and a trailing PE of 19.58, below the Technology sector average PE of 27.14, while price‑to‑book is 3.48 and return on equity is 18.58%. Cash per share is JPY 166.34, current ratio 2.18, and market cap stands at JPY 22,414,121,352.00, indicating a healthy balance sheet with low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 0.06). These ratios show profitable margins (net margin 35.04%) but a premium on sales (P/S 6.93).
Technicals and risk: momentum, volatility and sector context
Technicals show mixed signals: RSI 44.21 and MACD histogram positive, while ADX at 14.47 implies no sustained trend yet. ATR is 45.66, so expect heightened intraday swings. Compared with Technology sector YTD 3.38%, Asteria’s YTD gain 41.02% signals outperformance but also higher short‑term volatility and mean‑reversion risk.
Meyka grade and model forecast
Meyka AI rates 3853.T with a score out of 100: 77.84/100 — Grade B+ (BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 696.74, implying an upside/downside of -48.69% versus the current price JPY 1358.00; the monthly projection is JPY 1,095.83 (implied -19.31%). Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.
Price targets, scenarios and sources
We outline scenario targets: a conservative near‑term target JPY 1,100.00 (close to 50‑day average), a base 12‑month target JPY 1,200.00, and a bullish target JPY 2,000.00 if earnings beat and recurring revenue accelerates; downside risk aligns with the Meyka yearly model near JPY 700.00. For reference and confirmation read the company site and market listings: Asteria corporate site and company profile on Reuters source.
Final Thoughts
Today’s move made 3853.T stock the clear top gainer on JPX, rising 10.68% to JPY 1,358.00 on volume of 4,804,900 shares as traders positioned ahead of the 13 Feb 2026 earnings report. Our fundamental read shows a profitable business (EPS JPY 67.73, ROE 18.58%) and a conservative balance sheet, yet valuation metrics (P/S 6.93, P/B 3.48) imply investors already value growth. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 696.74, implying a -48.69% downside versus today, and a monthly projection of JPY 1,095.83 (implied -19.31%). We present a range of practical price targets — conservative JPY 1,100.00, base JPY 1,200.00, bullish JPY 2,000.00 — and stress that outcomes hinge on upcoming earnings and subscription revenue trends. These figures are model outputs and scenario targets for analysis, not investment advice. Meyka AI provides this as an AI‑powered market analysis platform insight to help investors weigh upside, downside, and event risk.
FAQs
Why did 3853.T stock jump today
3853.T stock rose on heavy volume and short‑term positioning ahead of the earnings release on 13 Feb 2026; traders are bidding the stock up on hopes of stronger subscription and cloud revenue.
What are the key valuation metrics for Asteria (3853.T)
Asteria shows EPS JPY 67.73, trailing PE 19.58, P/B 3.48, P/S 6.93, ROE 18.58%, and cash per share JPY 166.34, indicating solid profitability with a premium on sales.
How should investors view Meyka AI forecasts for 3853.T stock
Meyka AI’s model projects a yearly price JPY 696.74 and monthly JPY 1,095.83; these are model‑based projections to inform scenario planning and are not guarantees or investment advice.
What risks could reverse the rally in 3853.T stock
Primary risks include weak earnings or guidance, slower subscription growth, and a sector‑wide pullback; high intraday volatility and stretched YTD gains increase the chance of a sharp reversal.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
