ITC Limited (ITC.NS, NSE) down 1.91% after hours on 27 Jan 2026: earnings on Jan 29 may reset valuation

ITC Limited (ITC.NS, NSE) down 1.91% after hours on 27 Jan 2026: earnings on Jan 29 may reset valuation

The ITC.NS stock opened attention after hours on 27 Jan 2026 at INR 318.65, down 1.91% from the previous close. The move comes two trading days before an earnings release scheduled for 29 Jan 2026. Investors are watching cigarette volumes, FMCG margin trends, and the dividend outlook. We assess valuation, balance sheet strength, technical signals, and Meyka AI forecasts ahead of the report for NSE-listed ITC Limited in India.

ITC.NS stock: earnings timetable and market reaction

ITC Limited (ITC.NS) reports results on 29 Jan 2026. The stock closed the regular session at INR 324.85 and traded INR 318.65 after hours, a -1.91% change. Trading volume was high at 47,813,024.00 shares, above the average volume of 20,389,831.00, which shows elevated positioning into earnings.

ITC.NS stock: valuation and income metrics

ITC.NS stock trades at a trailing PE of 20.05 with reported EPS INR 16.11. The company offers a strong dividend profile with dividend per share INR 14.35 and dividend yield 4.44%. The market cap stands at INR 4,046,867,000,000.00, placing ITC among India’s largest consumer defensive stocks on the NSE.

ITC.NS stock: balance sheet strength and profitability

ITC shows near-zero net debt and excellent liquidity. Key ratios include current ratio 3.04 and debt to equity 0.01, signalling low leverage. Profitability metrics are strong: ROE 48.78% and net profit margin 44.60%, reflecting high cash conversion in tobacco and packaging segments.

Meyka AI rates ITC.NS stock and technical signals

Meyka AI rates ITC.NS with a score of 72.77 out of 100 and assigns a B+ (BUY) suggestion. This grade factors S&P 500 benchmarking, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors.

On technicals ITC shows oversold signals: RSI 13.70, MACD -12.24, and strong negative momentum. Price is below the 50-day average INR 380.73 and 200-day average INR 406.78, indicating a near-term downtrend but possible mean-reversion ahead of earnings.

ITC.NS stock: earnings drivers, risks and sector context

Management will be judged on cigarette volume trajectory, FMCG revenue growth, and margin recovery in branded packaged foods. Consumer Defensive peers trade at higher multiples; ITC’s price to book 5.69 and price to sales 5.15 keep valuation rich versus some FMCG peers. Key risks include excise changes, regulatory shifts in tobacco policy, and slower FMCG momentum. Sector performance YTD is muted, and investors should compare ITC.NS stock moves to broader Consumer Defensive trends.

ITC.NS stock: price targets and trading playbook ahead of earnings

Analyst-style price targets for ITC.NS stock: conservative INR 350.00, base INR 420.00, and bull INR 520.00. Relative to the current INR 318.65, these targets imply +9.84%, +31.81%, and +63.18% moves respectively. Traders may prefer options hedges or scaled positions given the large swing potential and low leverage on the balance sheet. For macro-sensitive traders, watch CPI-linked discretionary spend as a short-term demand signal.

Final Thoughts

ITC.NS stock enters the earnings window with a mix of defensive strengths and short-term technical stress. The company shows strong margins, a near-zero net-debt balance sheet, and a dividend yield of 4.44%, which supports income investors. Short-term indicators like RSI 13.70 and heavy after-hours volume suggest the market is pricing downside risk before the 29 Jan 2026 report. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly level near INR 324.73 (implying +1.91% vs current INR 318.65) and a 12-month projection of INR 515.38 (implying +61.72%). Our scenario targets are INR 350.00, INR 420.00, and INR 520.00 to frame risk-reward. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use earnings as a catalyst, and size positions with protection given policy risk in tobacco and FMCG execution uncertainty. Meyka AI provides this AI-powered market analysis platform view to help frame trade and investment choices.

FAQs

When will ITC.NS stock report earnings and why does it matter?

ITC.NS stock reports earnings on 29 Jan 2026. The report matters because cigarette volumes, FMCG margin trends, and management commentary can shift near-term valuation and dividend expectations for NSE-listed ITC Limited.

What valuation metrics should investors watch for ITC.NS stock?

Key metrics for ITC.NS stock are PE 20.05, EPS INR 16.11, price to book 5.69, and dividend yield 4.44%. Watch margin expansion and revenue per share updates in the earnings release.

How does Meyka AI grade ITC.NS stock and what does it mean?

Meyka AI rates ITC.NS 72.77/100 (B+, BUY). The grade blends benchmarks, sector comparison, growth, and consensus. This is informational, not a guaranteed outcome or financial advice.

What are the main risks to ITC.NS stock after the earnings report?

Primary risks for ITC.NS stock include higher tobacco taxes, regulatory action on cigarettes, weaker FMCG demand, and slower margin recovery. Unexpected guidance can trigger rapid price moves.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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