Earnings 28 Jan 2026: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA NASDAQ) margins will set intraday tone
TSLA stock faces its earnings report on 28 Jan 2026, and we expect margins and guidance to drive intraday moves. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) trades on NASDAQ at $430.90 after opening $437.44 with volume near 36,827,538 shares. Today’s report will influence near-term volatility given a trailing PE 226.79 and EPS of 1.90. We examine earnings drivers, valuation signals, technical setup, and what a conservative and bullish reaction would mean for US investors trading in USD.
Earnings preview: TSLA earnings and what to watch
Tesla reports quarterly results after market on 28 Jan 2026. Key items to watch: automotive gross margin, vehicle deliveries commentary, and energy segment revenue. One clear signal will be management guidance on price, mix and costs. If gross margin compresses below recent levels, the market may reprice growth expectations intraday. Conversely, upside on margins or stronger-than-expected energy sales could trigger a bounce toward the year high of $498.83.
Financial and valuation snapshot: TSLA stock metrics
Tesla shows strong cash per share at $13.09 and a healthy current ratio of 2.07, but valuation remains rich. Price to sales is 15.04 and price to book is 17.45. Trailing PE sits at 226.79, reflecting high growth expectations. Revenue per share is 29.64 and free cash flow per share is 2.12. These metrics frame how sensitive TSLA stock is to any earnings miss versus beat.
Meyka AI rates TSLA with a score out of 100 and forecast
Meyka AI rates TSLA with a score out of 100: 69.90 (Grade B) with a suggestion to HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry performance, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus, and forecasts. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $382.06, implying -11.36% vs current $430.90. Our 5-year projection is $468.88, implying +8.82%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use them as one input in position sizing and risk management.
Technical outlook and intraday trading cues for TSLA stock
On technicals, RSI reads 47.41, MACD histogram is negative and ATR is 16.58, signaling range-bound but volatile intraday trade. Key intraday levels: support near the day low $430.69 and resistance at $437.52. Short-term moving averages show a 50-day at $442.31 and 200-day at $373.82. Traders should watch volume spikes above the average 75,181,290 shares for momentum confirmation.
Analyst consensus, price targets and TSLA outlook
Analyst sentiment is mixed: 34 Buys, 15 Holds, 15 Sells with a consensus score of 3.00. No unified price-target consensus is posted today, so use scenario targets: conservative $380.00, base $430.00, and bull $500.00 tied to margins and China demand. Remember the company rating from providers shows a B- with mixed valuation signals. For active traders, earnings news and guidance will be the main catalyst.
Risks and opportunities for investors evaluating TSLA stock
Risks include margin pressure, weaker EV demand in China, and valuation re-rate if growth slows. Opportunities: cost cuts, energy business upside, and autonomous software monetization. Balance exposure given high volatility and large market cap of $1,433.13B. We remind readers that liquidity is high but average volume today is below the three-month norm, so larger orders could move price.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for TSLA stock: today’s earnings on 28 Jan 2026 will hinge on automotive gross margin, guidance and energy segment performance. At $430.90, Tesla’s valuation reflects significant growth priced in, and our model-based yearly forecast of $382.06 suggests downside of -11.36%, while a five-year outlook at $468.88 implies +8.82%. Technicals point to intraday range trade with support near $430.69 and resistance near $437.52. Meyka AI’s grade (69.90, B, HOLD) blends benchmark and sector comparisons with analyst signals. For traders we recommend monitoring EPS, guidance language, and volume; for longer-term investors, assess capital allocation, margins, and whether growth justifies a premium. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Meyka AI provides this AI-powered market analysis as one input in your research process.
FAQs
When does Tesla report earnings and why does it matter for TSLA stock?
Tesla reports earnings on 28 Jan 2026. The report matters because margins and guidance directly affect valuation expectations and can move TSLA stock intraday on volume and sentiment.
What are the key metrics to watch in the TSLA earnings report?
Watch automotive gross margin, vehicle deliveries commentary, energy revenue, EPS versus estimates, and management guidance. These dictate near-term price moves and analyst re-ratings.
What is Meyka AI’s current rating and forecast for TSLA stock?
Meyka AI rates TSLA 69.90 (Grade B) with a HOLD suggestion. The model projects a yearly target of $382.06 and a five-year target of $468.88. Forecasts are projections, not guarantees.
How should traders manage risk around the earnings release?
Use reasonable position sizing, watch pre- and post-earnings spreads, set stop losses near technical support ($430.69) and seek confirmation from volume above the average 75,181,290 shares before adding.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
