9501.T Tokyo Electric Power (JPX) -15.80% close after earnings lead-up: analyst outlook
9501.T stock closed the JPX session at ¥557.40, down -15.80% on heavy volume as investors priced in an upcoming earnings release. Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated (9501.T) opened at ¥599.90 and traded between ¥550.60 and ¥605.70 before the close. The company reports results on 29 January 2026, and market reaction today reflects concern over large negative EPS of -462.34 and a PE of -1.32. We review the earnings context, key ratios, sector comparators, and Meyka AI forecasts to frame short-term risk and medium-term upside.
9501.T stock: earnings timing and market move
The immediate driver for 9501.T stock was the proximity of the earnings announcement on 29 January 2026, which appears to have triggered a sell-off into the close.
Trading volume spiked to 151,035,100 shares versus an average of 92,680,422, suggesting institutional repositioning. The market priced higher near-term uncertainty despite a one-year return of +43.03%.
9501.T stock: fundamentals and key ratios
Tokyo Electric Power (9501.T) shows a market cap of ¥976,618,944,701, book value per share ¥1,885.38, and cash per share ¥388.14. The company reports EPS -462.34 and a trailing PE of -1.32, reflecting recent losses.
Balance sheet risk is visible: debt to equity 2.16, current ratio 0.48, and net debt to EBITDA roughly 8.94. Price-to-book stands at 0.33, which investors may view as value if liabilities are managed.
9501.T stock: technical and trading signals
Price closed below the 50-day average (¥704.51) and 200-day average (¥614.33), reinforcing short-term technical weakness. Momentum indicators show RSI 52.30 and ADX 25.25, indicating a trend with mixed momentum.
Volatility is elevated: ATR ¥35.63 and Bollinger middle band ¥658.17. Short-term traders should note support near the day low ¥550.60 and resistance near the 200-day ¥614.33.
9501.T stock: sector context and peer comparison
In the Utilities sector on JPX, average debt-to-equity is about 1.61 and average net margin is 6.49%. Tokyo Electric (9501.T) carries higher leverage and negative margins versus peers, which typically trade at lower risk multiples.
Peer utilities like Chubu Electric (9502.T) and Kansai Electric (9503.T) trade at positive PE and stronger current ratios, highlighting why 9501.T faces wider valuation discount today.
9501.T stock: Meyka grade and analyst framing
Meyka AI rates 9501.T with a score out of 100: 66.67 / 100 — Grade B — HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
This grade reflects a mix of strong tangible book value (¥1,885.38 per share) and elevated leverage and negative EPS. These grades are informational only and are not financial advice.
9501.T stock: forecast and price targets
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of ¥770.07, a monthly target of ¥680.39, and a three-year target of ¥920.25. Versus the close at ¥557.40, the yearly target implies an upside of +38.15%.
Analyst consensus for formal price targets is currently unavailable. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Risk scenarios: a pessimistic target near the year low ¥360.00, and an optimistic path above ¥920.25 if nuclear and thermal margins improve and liabilities are restructured.
Final Thoughts
Today’s close at ¥557.40 and the -15.80% move make 9501.T stock the focus of an earnings spotlight ahead of the 29 January 2026 release. Fundamentals show deep balance-sheet complexity with EPS -462.34, debt-to-equity 2.16, and a low current ratio 0.48, which explain investor caution. Technicals and volume suggest the drop was driven by investors reducing exposure into earnings. Meyka AI’s model projects a yearly target of ¥770.07, implying +38.15% upside from the close, while acknowledging downside to the year low ¥360.00 if guidance disappoints. Meyka AI rates 9501.T with 66.67 / 100 (B, HOLD), reflecting a mix of undervalued book value and elevated financial risk. Use the earnings report to watch free cash flow signs, guidance on decommissioning costs, and any balance-sheet actions. For active traders, support at ¥550.60 is critical; for long-term investors, monitor improvements in interest coverage and net income trends before increasing exposure. Meyka AI is the AI-powered market analysis platform providing these model-based projections and not investment advice.
FAQs
Why did 9501.T stock drop sharply today?
9501.T stock fell -15.80% on heavy volume ahead of the earnings release on 29 January 2026. Traders reduced exposure due to negative EPS (-462.34) and balance-sheet concerns, notably high debt-to-equity (2.16) and a low current ratio (0.48).
What is Meyka AI’s outlook for 9501.T stock?
Meyka AI projects a yearly target of ¥770.07, implying +38.15% upside from ¥557.40. The model flags high leverage and negative EPS as key risks. Forecasts are projections and not guarantees.
Which ratios should investors watch in the earnings report?
Focus on operating profit margins, cash flow from operations, interest coverage (3.08), and any guidance on decommissioning liabilities. Improvements here would reduce valuation stress and narrow the discount to peers.
Is 9501.T stock a buy after the drop?
Meyka AI currently assigns a B (HOLD) grade. The stock shows value in book value per share but has significant financial risk. Consider entry only after clearer cash flow recovery or concrete balance-sheet measures.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
