APH Amphenol (NYSE) 28 Jan 2026: Shares fall 7.69% intraday after earnings, watch guidance
APH stock opened the session down as investors reacted to the company’s earnings cadence and guidance timing. Amphenol Corporation (APH) trades on the NYSE in the United States and is at $143.59, down 7.69% intraday on volume of 12,504,849 shares. The drop follows an earnings event window and analyst updates that shifted near-term expectations. We examine the earnings setup, valuation metrics including EPS $3.00 and PE 55.49, and what the market is pricing into Amphenol’s 28 Jan 2026 report
Earnings preview and APH stock drivers
Amphenol reports after the open today and APH stock is reacting to mixed signals on revenue drivers from automotive, data center and telecom end markets. The company’s EPS of $3.00 and a trailing PE of 55.49 leave little room for upside if guidance misses, and today’s intraday range was $140.00–$148.93 on heavy trade. Market participants will focus on margin commentary, backlog in harsh environment solutions, and any updated revenue cadence for communications solutions
What moved the stock: flow and analyst views
Institutional reweighting and some insider sales weighed on APH stock today; reported volume is 12,504,849, above the 50-day average of 8,003,160, signaling forced or conviction selling. Recent analyst notes lifted targets into the $150.00–$183.00 band but MarketBeat and MarketWatch reported mixed reactions to fund flows and positioning source source.
Valuation snapshot and APH stock technicals
On valuation APH stock trades at price-to-sales 9.57, price-to-book 16.00, and EV/EBITDA 34.26, reflecting a premium for stable free cash flow and margin durability. Technicals show RSI 59.73 and Bollinger mid 135.63, indicating short-term consolidation rather than strong trend, while the 50-day average sits at 139.43 and the 200-day at 113.14
Meyka AI grade and sector comparison for APH stock
Meyka AI rates APH with a score out of 100: 82.31 (Grade A) — BUY. This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. In the Technology hardware space, Amphenol’s ROE 34.63% and free cash flow per share $2.91 support the grade despite elevated valuation multiples
Meyka AI forecast and near-term APH stock outlook
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly $148.71, quarterly $160.04, and yearly $185.46 for APH stock. Compared with the current price of $143.59, the model implies upside of 3.57% (monthly), 11.46% (quarterly), and 29.17% (yearly). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees
Risks, catalysts and trading considerations for APH stock
Key risks for APH stock include a revenue slowdown in telecom or automotive, margin compression from raw material costs, and higher interest rates impacting multiples. Catalysts that could re-rate the stock include stronger-than-expected guidance, acceleration in data-center connector demand, or margin expansion from operating leverage. Traders should weigh liquidity and volatility—current rel. volume is 1.88—before adjusting positions
Final Thoughts
Short term, APH stock is under pressure as investors price earnings execution and guidance into market expectations. At $143.59 intraday the stock sits below its year high $166.80 but above the 200-day average $113.14, showing resilience after recent gains. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $160.04 over the next quarter and $185.46 at one year, implying near-term upside of 11.46% and one-year upside of 29.17% versus the current price. Our Meyka grade (A, BUY) reflects strong ROE, steady free cash flow per share $2.91, and a consensus tilt toward buy from analysts, but it also flags valuation risk with PE 55.49 and price-to-book 16.00. For investors, the trade-off is clear: the company’s diversified end markets and margin profile support a constructive medium-term view, while short-term trading should respect today’s higher volatility and elevated multiples. These views are analysis, not investment advice, and Meyka AI-powered market analysis platform models are only projections, not guarantees.
FAQs
When does Amphenol report earnings and how does that affect APH stock?
Amphenol’s earnings date is 28 Jan 2026. Earnings and guidance typically move APH stock sharply; miss on revenue or margins can trigger intraday drops, while strong guidance often lifts the share price.
What valuation metrics matter most for APH stock?
Key metrics for APH stock are PE 55.49, price-to-sales 9.57, EV/EBITDA 34.26, ROE 34.63%, and free cash flow per share $2.91. These measure growth premium and cash generation.
What is Meyka AI’s near-term APH stock forecast?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $148.71 monthly and $160.04 quarterly for APH stock, implying a near-term upside of 3.57% and 11.46% respectively versus $143.59.
What are the main risks to APH stock investors should watch?
Investors should watch demand softness in telecom and automotive, raw material cost pressure on margins, and valuation sensitivity given high multiples. Insider selling and heavy volume days also deserve attention.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
