Did Trump’s post amount to a GDP data leak?

We cannot make a legal call. The timing raised GDP data leak concerns for traders, since markets moved before the release. Media flagged the early hint, and futures reacted. For investors, the lesson is to manage pre‑data risk with staggered orders and to avoid chasing thin liquidity into 8:30 a.m. prints during headline‑heavy weeks.

What does a Fed on hold mean for Canadians?

A Fed on hold keeps short rates elevated, which can slow multiple expansion and support bank margins. For Canadians, it can influence Bank of Canada timing, USD/CAD, and mortgage resets. It also favors cash yields and near‑term GICs. We prefer barbell exposure: quality cyclicals for upside and short‑duration bonds or T‑bills for stability.

How could the SCOTUS tariff ruling affect the TSX?

Lower trade frictions typically help exporters and supply chain plays. In Canada, that points to rails, auto parts, and select industrials. A softer U.S. dollar can boost commodities, though a stronger loonie may trim exporters’ margins. We would wait for spreads and freight rates to settle, then add on weakness to names with clean balance sheets.

What S&P 500 levels matter most this week?

We are watching 6,797 near the lower Bollinger band as first support, then 6,750. Resistance sits near 6,908 at the middle band and 6,950. The 50‑day average around 6,896 and the 200‑day near 6,530 frame the broader uptrend. Use ATR near 81 points to set stops beyond noise and size positions accordingly.

Global Market Insights

^GSPC Today: February 23 — Trump’s GDP Tease, Tariff Ruling Jolt Risk

ByDanny Kontos February 24, 2026

Truth social trump chatter moved markets after a post hinted at weak U.S. growth before the release. That stirred GDP data leak concerns as risk appetite shifted. With inflation firm and the Fed on hold narrative building, the S&P 500 is in focus for cross‑border portfolios. Today, ^GSPC trades at 6,837.74, down 1.04%, as traders weigh a Supreme Court tariff decision and dollar softness. We break down what this means for Canadians, key levels, and the week’s catalysts.