HCH.AX Hot Chili (ASX) down A$0.16 intraday after earnings: outlook 09 Jan 2026
HCH.AX stock fell intraday to A$1.50 on 09 Jan 2026 after the company released earnings data that reinforced a loss per share. The market reacted with a -9.37% move and volume of 562,441 shares, as investors reassessed the Cortadera project funding outlook. Hot Chili Limited (HCH.AX) reported EPS of -A$0.07 and a negative PE, keeping valuation questions front of mind for ASX copper miners.
Earnings reaction and intraday price action for HCH.AX stock
Shares of Hot Chili Limited (HCH.AX) traded between A$1.43 and A$1.53 today, closing near A$1.50. The intraday drop of A$0.16 followed the 08 Jan 2026 earnings release and heavier than average volume.
Earnings details and financials affecting HCH.AX stock
Hot Chili reported EPS of -A$0.07 and no revenue per share this period, reflecting exploration-stage results. The company has 151,048,380 shares outstanding and a market cap of A$247.72M.
Valuation metrics and fundamentals for HCH.AX stock
Key ratios show a negative PE of -23.43 and a price-to-book of 1.35. Book value per share is A$1.34 and the current ratio is 1.70, indicating short-term liquidity. The 50-day average price is A$1.11 and the 200-day average is A$0.78, signalling recent strength versus longer-term trend.
Technicals and trading signals for HCH.AX stock
Technical indicators are stretched. RSI is 80.94, MFI is 88.18, and ADX is 54.19, showing an overbought market and a strong trend. Bollinger upper band sits at A$1.63, with an ATR of A$0.09, suggesting increased near-term volatility.
Meyka AI grade, analyst context and HCH.AX stock forecast
Meyka AI rates HCH.AX with a score out of 100: the model assigns 66.27/100, Grade B, suggestion HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of A$1.57 and a quarterly target of A$1.54, compared with today’s A$1.50. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For peer context, see Investing.com peer compare and fund holdings at StockAnalysis DARP holdings.
Risks, catalysts and sector context for HCH.AX stock
Primary risks include project financing, copper price swings and permitting in Chile. The Basic Materials sector has shown strong YTD performance, which supports commodity exposure, but Hot Chili’s negative cash flow metrics demand careful monitoring. Near-term catalysts are drill results and funding updates for Cortadera.
Final Thoughts
HCH.AX stock moved to A$1.50 intraday on 09 Jan 2026 after earnings reinforced the company’s exploration-stage profile. The market punished the negative EPS of -A$0.07 and the stock traded -9.37% on higher volume. Valuation is mixed: price-to-book is 1.35 while PE is negative. Technicals show overbought signals, creating risk for short-term traders. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of A$1.57, implying an upside of 4.67% versus today’s price, while the annual model sits lower at A$0.68, signalling medium-term downside risk. Meyka AI grades HCH.AX 66.27/100, B, HOLD, a composite view that balances sector tailwinds and company-level execution risk. Investors should watch forthcoming funding updates, Cortadera drill results, and copper prices before adjusting exposure. This analysis appears on Meyka AI’s platform as part of real-time, AI-powered market analysis and is not personal financial advice.
FAQs
What drove the intraday move in HCH.AX stock today?
HCH.AX stock fell after the earnings release showing EPS of -A$0.07. The drop to A$1.50 reflected investor concern about funding and exploration cash flow, with volume at 562,441 shares indicating heavier selling pressure.
What are the key valuation metrics for HCH.AX stock?
HCH.AX stock shows a negative PE of -23.43, price-to-book of 1.35, book value per share A$1.34, and current ratio 1.70. These metrics reflect an exploration-stage miner with asset backing but no earnings positive signs yet.
What forecast does Meyka AI give for HCH.AX stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of A$1.57 for HCH.AX stock, implying 4.67% upside from A$1.50. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
How should investors weigh sector trends when assessing HCH.AX stock?
HCH.AX stock sits in Basic Materials, a sector with strong YTD performance. Sector tailwinds can help commodity stocks, but Hot Chili’s cash flow and project execution risks require close monitoring before adding exposure.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
