CHF 5.38 ODHN.SW Orascom Dev (SIX) 09 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce, watch CHF 6.00
ODHN.SW stock opens pre-market on SIX at CHF 5.38 on 09 Jan 2026, creating a clear oversold bounce setup after heavier-than-normal volume. The current price sits below the 50-day average (CHF 5.42) and shows a relative volume of 5.32, giving short-term traders a high-probability rebound candidate. This piece explains why the move matters, links fundamentals to the bounce thesis, and sets specific entry, stop and target levels for a controlled oversold-bounce trade.
ODHN.SW stock snapshot
Orascom Development Holding AG (ODHN.SW) trades on the SIX in Switzerland at CHF 5.38 with a market cap of 320,653,918 CHF and volume 18,061 versus average volume 3,396. Key price points: year high CHF 6.40 and year low CHF 3.20. Valuation and ratios include PE (TTM) 12.64, PB 1.05, EPS (latest reported) 0.41, and shares outstanding 59,601,100. These figures show a small-cap cyclical name with a cheap PB and modest PE versus some peers in Consumer Cyclical.
Why this looks like an oversold bounce
The technical case for an oversold bounce rests on heavy pre-market interest and a sharp spike in relative volume: relVolume 5.32 and intraday volume 18,061 point to short-term buying pressure. Price is just under the 50-day average (CHF 5.42) and above the 200-day average (CHF 4.87), a classic zone for mean-reversion. Short-term momentum is weak after a recent pullback (3-month change -0.37%), so a validated bounce above CHF 5.50 would confirm the setup.
Fundamentals and valuation context for ODHN.SW stock
Orascom Development reported revenue CHF 193,919,814 and EPS CHF 0.41 for the quarter ended 2025-03-24, beating estimate CHF 0.19 and signalling operational recovery in hotels and land sales. Balance-sheet metrics show cash per share CHF 3.31, book value per share CHF 7.59, and debt-to-equity 1.56, giving a mixed leverage picture. Key margins: operating margin 18.11% and net margin 7.82%; these support a valuation of PE 12.64 and EV/EBITDA 7.73, consistent with a value play inside the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Meyka AI rating and technical outlook for ODHN.SW stock
Meyka AI rates ODHN.SW with a score out of 100: 67.36 / B — HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. On the chart, immediate resistance sits around CHF 6.00 and support near CHF 5.00; a decisive close above CHF 5.50 would validate the short-term bounce thesis while failure below CHF 4.80 increases downside risk.
Risks and catalysts that will move the stock
Key risks include high working-capital cycles (days inventory 520.76, DSO 213.00), net debt to EBITDA 3.60, and interest coverage 2.13, which leave the company sensitive to macro slowdowns and financing costs. Catalysts: accelerated land-sales programs, seasonal tourism recovery, and subsequent earnings updates (next major announcement listed as 2025-08-12). Sector context: Consumer Cyclical peers show higher average PE, making Orascom relatively cheap on PB and EV/EBITDA.
Trading strategy: practical oversold-bounce steps
A disciplined trade: watch for confirmation above CHF 5.50 on increased volume, enter CHF 5.50–5.60, set a stop loss at CHF 4.95, and target CHF 6.00 for the first leg. If momentum extends, escalate the trailing stop and aim for the Meyka one-year model target CHF 6.01. Risk management: size positions so a breach of CHF 4.95 limits portfolio exposure to a predefined percentage.
Final Thoughts
Short-term traders can treat ODHN.SW stock as a controlled oversold-bounce candidate at CHF 5.38 on SIX, given the combination of heavy relative volume and comfortable proximity to the 200-day average. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a one-year target of CHF 6.01, implying a 11.62% upside from CHF 5.38; the model projects CHF 8.26 in three years (+53.52%) and CHF 10.53 in five years (+95.65%). These projections are model-based and not guarantees, but they give a clear reward-to-risk blueprint: a near-term technical confirmation above CHF 5.50 supports a tactical entry with a tight stop at CHF 4.95 and a first profit-taking zone at CHF 6.00. Remember the balance-sheet risks — high inventory days and leverage — and size positions accordingly. This analysis uses Meyka AI as an AI-powered market analysis platform and combines fundamental ratios and technical setup to frame a practical oversold-bounce strategy.
FAQs
What is the current price of ODHN.SW stock?
ODHN.SW stock trades pre-market on SIX at CHF 5.38 with volume 18,061 and average volume 3,396 as noted in this update. Price levels are subject to market changes during the session.
Does ODHN.SW stock have near-term upside?
Yes. An oversold-bounce setup targets CHF 6.00 near-term; Meyka AI’s one-year model projects CHF 6.01 (implied upside 11.62%). Confirm entry only after volume-backed moves above CHF 5.50.
What are the main risks for ODHN.SW stock?
Primary risks for ODHN.SW stock include high days inventory 520.76, receivables days 213.00, net debt/EBITDA 3.60, and modest interest coverage 2.13, which increase sensitivity to demand and financing shifts.
How does Meyka AI view ODHN.SW stock?
Meyka AI rates ODHN.SW with a score out of 100: 67.36 (B) — HOLD. The rating blends benchmark and sector comparisons, growth, key metrics and consensus. This is informational and not investment advice.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
