Avarga Limited (U09.SI, SES) at S$0.245 on 12 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce potential
U09.SI stock is trading at S$0.245 on the Singapore Exchange (SES) on 12 Jan 2026 as volume spikes to 125,900 shares intraday. The share price sits just above the year low of S$0.235 after a steep multi-period decline from a year high of S$2.89. For value and contrarian traders this setup reads as a classic oversold bounce: heavy volume, deep discount to 50-day and 200-day averages, and clear short-term support near the day low. We outline catalysts, valuation, technical cues, and a trade plan for an intraday to short-term bounce attempt
U09.SI stock intraday snapshot
Intraday action shows Avarga Limited (U09.SI) at S$0.245 with a day low of S$0.235 and day high S$0.250. Volume of 125,900 is roughly 21.13x the average volume of 5,958, signalling unusually high trading interest. Market capitalisation is S$222,536,926.00 and shares outstanding are 908,313,984.
Why the oversold bounce trade matters for U09.SI stock
The share has fallen sharply over multiple horizons: 1M -89.79%, 3M -89.57%, 1Y -87.11%. That magnitude of decline leaves technical oversold conditions where a mean-reversion bounce is likely if short-term buyers step in. The intraday volume surge plus a firm close above S$0.24 would be the early confirmation signal for a bounce trade.
Fundamentals and valuation context for U09.SI stock
Avarga’s reported ratios show pockets of value: PE 17.94, PB 1.19, current ratio 3.60, ROE 6.64%. Price averages sit at S$2.37 (50-day) and S$2.25 (200-day), leaving current price more than 89% below recent long-run averages. The company operates paper, power and building products across multiple countries and reported EPS of 0.21. Compared with the Industrials sector average PB 2.15, Avarga’s PB is lower, indicating cheaper book-value exposure in a sector that is up 21.83% YTD in Singapore.
Technical cues, liquidity and risks for U09.SI stock
Short-term technicals show high volatility with ATR 0.08 and a clear support band near S$0.235. Relatively high free-cash-flow yield (19.53%) and net-debt-to-EBITDA negative figure suggest a healthy cash buffer. Risks include very wide gap to moving averages, potential corporate news shocks, and thin order-book below the current price which can amplify moves. Use strict stops and limit position size.
Meyka AI rating and model outlook for U09.SI stock
Meyka AI rates U09.SI with a score out of 100: 74 / B / BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Company-rated input (03 Mar 2025) showed an A- / Buy consensus from third-party models. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects S$0.5434 (1 year), S$0.9796 (3 years), and S$1.4169 (5 years). These model projections imply upside of +121.80%, +299.75%, and +478.30% respectively versus the current S$0.245. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Practical intraday and short-term trade plan for U09.SI stock
For an oversold bounce trade consider a staged approach: entry on a clean cross above S$0.26 with volume confirmation, a short-term target near S$0.50 and a trailing target at S$0.98 if momentum continues. Suggested stop-loss near S$0.22 limits downside to about -10.20% from current price. Keep position sizing small and monitor announcements on the company website Avarga Limited and market notices on SGX. Also track our live stock page for updates: Meyka U09.SI page.
Final Thoughts
U09.SI stock presents a clear oversold bounce setup on 12 Jan 2026 with the price at S$0.245, heavy intraday volume 125,900, and a support band at S$0.235. Valuation metrics such as PB 1.19 and a strong current ratio 3.60 offer fundamental support to a mean-reversion thesis. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects S$0.5434 in one year, implying +121.80% upside from today’s price; longer horizons show higher modeled upside. Our short-term trade plan sets an initial target S$0.50 and a stop near S$0.22, but capital preservation is primary given the wide gap to the 50-day and 200-day averages. These grade and forecast outputs are model-driven and not investment guarantees. Use tight risk controls, follow company announcements, and treat any intraday bounce as an opportunity to reassess exposure rather than a full conviction buy. Meyka AI provides this as AI-powered market analysis for traders watching an oversold rebound
FAQs
Is U09.SI stock a buy after the recent drop?
The stock shows oversold signals and high intraday volume, making a tactical bounce possible. Our Meyka grade is B / BUY, but we advise small position sizes and a stop near S$0.22 because the price is far below long-term averages.
What are Meyka AI’s price targets for U09.SI stock?
Meyka AI’s model projects S$0.5434 in 1 year (+121.80%), S$0.9796 in 3 years (+299.75%), and S$1.4169 in 5 years (+478.30%). These are model projections and not guarantees.
What key risks should traders watch for U09.SI stock?
Key risks are further downside if support at S$0.235 breaks, low order-book depth causing slippage, and company or geopolitical news. Use strict stops and limit trade size.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
