AVAV AeroVironment (NASDAQ) $370.68 Jan 12 2026: AI wins lift, watch value

AVAV stock closed at $370.68 on Jan 12 2026, up 1.56%, after a cluster of U.S. Army awards and partner wins tied to AI-enabled systems. The moves pushed volume to 1,533,961 shares versus an average of 1,081,027, signaling institutional interest. Traders are pricing stronger near-term demand for AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) on NASDAQ, but key valuation metrics and mixed earnings leave important questions about sustainable upside.

AVAV stock: Price action and market context

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) on NASDAQ traded between $361.73 and $374.50 during the session and finished at $370.68. Market cap stands at $18,508,372,210.00 with 49,932,208 shares outstanding. The one‑day gain of 1.56% follows a YTD rise of 44.69% and a one‑year gain of 128.66% that has re‑rated the name within Aerospace & Defense and AI‑systems conversations.

AVAV stock: Fundamentals and valuation snapshot

AeroVironment reports trailing EPS of -1.20 and a trailing PE of -308.89, reflecting recent losses and one‑time items. Price/book is 4.03, price/sales is 17.03, and book value per share is 91.51. The company shows strong liquidity with a current ratio of 5.08, cash per share 12.19, and manageable debt to equity of 0.19. Revenue per share TTM is 22.40, while free cash flow per share TTM is -4.29, underscoring conversion and margin pressure despite top‑line growth.

AVAV stock: Technicals and trading signals

Technical indicators show momentum but caution: RSI 67.82 (near overbought), ADX 27.13 (strong trend), and ATR 15.47 (elevated volatility). The 50‑day average is $288.66 and the 200‑day average is $247.81, both well below the current price, indicating a strong short‑term uptrend. On‑balance volume rose alongside price, and option activity points to bullish hedging that amplified intraday moves.

Analyst views, price targets and AVAV stock news

Wall Street commentary is bullish overall: two Strong Buy and nineteen Buy notes sit alongside isolated Sell views, with an average price target around $375.41. Recent targets include BTIG $415.00, JMP $400.00, and Jefferies $390.00, while Bank of America started coverage at $300.00. Media coverage credits a string of defense contract wins and partner integrations for the rally; see coverage on MarketBeat and the company’s NASDAQ hub on Nasdaq.

Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100 and forecast

Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100: 70.93 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry positioning, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of $232.13 and a five‑year price of $360.98. Compared with the current price $370.68, the yearly projection implies -37.39% downside, while the five‑year view implies -2.62%. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.

AVAV stock: Risks, opportunities and portfolio role

Opportunities: contract momentum for AI‑enabled UAS and increased Army awards can expand backlog and margins. Risks: mixed recent EPS (missed estimates), ongoing legal inquiries, stretched valuation metrics, and heavy institutional ownership (approx 86%) that can amplify volatility. For portfolio positioning, AVAV may suit active allocations to AI‑focused defense exposure, but size positions to account for high short‑term volatility and uncertain earnings conversion.

Final Thoughts

AVAV stock closed at $370.68 on Jan 12 2026 after AI‑linked defense wins and fresh analyst support pushed buying interest. Fundamentals show strong liquidity and rapid revenue growth, but EPS remains negative at -1.20 and valuation multiples are elevated with price/sales 17.03 and price/book 4.03. Analyst targets range from $300.00 to $415.00, averaging $375.41, while Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a one‑year price of $232.13, implying -37.39% from today and a five‑year projection of $360.98 near current levels. Investors should weigh backlog expansion and AI product wins against earnings execution risk and legal overhang. Meyka AI, an AI‑powered market analysis platform, flags AVAV as a BUY by grade but advises careful position sizing and monitoring of upcoming earnings and contract milestones. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees; use them alongside your own research and risk limits.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.