S$0.245 Avarga Limited (U09.SI, SES) After Hours: Oversold bounce on 125,900 vol
The U09.SI stock reopened interest after hours at S$0.245, trading at the session high S$0.25 earlier and posting 125,900 shares of volume. This is a classic oversold bounce setup: the share price sits far below its 50-day average S$2.37 and 200-day average S$2.25, while relative volume is 21.13x. We assess whether short-term mean reversion is likely, connecting technical trigger levels to the company’s fundamentals and Meyka AI model outputs.
U09.SI stock overview and recent price action
Avarga Limited (U09.SI) trades on the SES (Singapore) exchange and opened today at S$0.240. The intraday range was S$0.235–S$0.250, with the previous close at S$0.245. Year high is S$2.89 and year low is S$0.235, showing a wide trading range and extreme drawdown versus prior year levels.
Why this is an oversold bounce candidate: technicals and volume
Price now sits at S$0.245, far below moving averages, a read usually consistent with oversold conditions. Relative volume is 21.13, driven by 125,900 shares traded versus an average of 5,958. That spike suggests short-covering or bargain hunting can produce a quick bounce near support. ATR is 0.08, indicating the typical short-term range traders can expect.
U09.SI stock fundamentals: balance sheet and profitability
Avarga reports EPS S$0.21 and cash per share S$0.116 with book value per share S$0.276, giving price-to-book near 1.19x on TTM metrics. The company shows a current ratio 3.60 and interest coverage 15.40, reflecting a conservative balance sheet for its Industrials segment. Net margin is modest at 1.45% and ROE is 6.64%.
Sector context and valuation versus Industrials peers
Avarga sits in the Industrials sector where average P/E is 15.94 and average ROE is 10.85% for the sector. Avarga’s price-to-sales is 0.14 and EV/sales 0.08, implying the market values its revenue conservatively versus peers. The sector’s recent YTD performance is -2.05%, while Avarga’s multi-period declines exceed -80%.
Meyka AI grade, consensus signals and model forecast
Meyka AI rates U09.SI with a score out of 100: 66.02 (Grade B, Suggestion: HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects S$0.82 in one year and S$1.30 in three years, versus the current S$0.245, implying model-based upside but not guaranteed.
Risk factors, catalysts and event calendar for U09.SI stock
Key risks include cyclical demand for paper and building products, exposure to Myanmar power operations, and liquidity gaps at very low share price levels. Watch for earnings updates and operations notices; next flagged earnings announcement date is 2025-08-11. Short-term catalysts include higher trading volume, improved commodity prices, or management updates on margins.
Final Thoughts
U09.SI stock is a textbook oversold bounce candidate after trading at S$0.245 with heavy volume 125,900 and a relative volume of 21.13x. Short-term traders can look for a quick mean-reversion to intraday resistance at S$0.25–S$0.30, while longer-term investors should weigh balance sheet strength against sector cyclicality. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects S$0.82 in one year, an implied upside of 234.20% versus S$0.245 today; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Our grade, 66.02 (B, HOLD), highlights valuation support but signals slow recovery risk. Use tight risk controls and size positions to account for continued volatility on the SES market in SGD. For more data-driven signals, check Avarga’s filings and our Meyka AI-powered market analysis platform for live updates and scenario testing.
FAQs
Is U09.SI stock a buy after the after-hours bounce?
The bounce creates a short-term trade opportunity, not a clear buy signal. Meyka AI grades U09.SI B (HOLD) and recommends position sizing and stop limits given volatility and sector risk.
What price target does Meyka AI give for U09.SI stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects S$0.82 in one year from current S$0.245, implying model-based upside. Forecasts are projections and not guarantees.
Which catalysts could sustain an oversold bounce for U09.SI stock?
Higher trading volume, recovery in paper or building-product demand, positive earnings beats, or clarity on the Myanmar power business could support further upside for U09.SI stock.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
