9749.T stock: Fuji Soft (JPX) JPY 9,800.00 close 14 Jan 2026: oversold bounce
The 9749.T stock closed at JPY 9,800.00 on 14 Jan 2026 after a narrow intraday range and heavy volume. The move leaves Fuji Soft Incorporated (JPX) in an oversold bounce setup: price sits above a deep 2025 low of JPY 6,070.00 while today’s volume of 699,000 shares was nearly three times the 50-day average. Traders can watch for a volume-confirmed reversal or a fresh break below support to decide risk exposure.
9749.T stock price action and volume context
Fuji Soft (9749.T, JPX) closed at JPY 9,800.00 on 14 Jan 2026, down JPY 20.00 or -0.20%. The day range was JPY 9,800.00–9,830.00 with 699,000 shares traded and average volume 236,290, giving a relative volume of 2.96. Heavy volume on a small downside day fits an oversold bounce pattern where buyers step in on high flow. For company filings and recent commentary see Reuters and Nikkei source and source.
Why this looks like an oversold bounce
Price sits well above the 52-week low of JPY 6,070.00 but below recent resistance, so the setup is a classic oversold bounce. Momentum indicators show a negative MACD histogram (-1.28) and ADX at 50.00, signalling a strong trend but mixed directional conviction. ATR is 25.00, so intraday moves remain contained. A confirmed bounce requires a higher high on above-average volume, otherwise the pattern can fail and resume the prior down leg.
Fundamentals and valuation snapshot for 9749.T stock
Fuji Soft’s trailing metrics show a P/E of 69.63, P/B of 4.46, and ROE of 6.54%, indicating premium valuation relative to underlying returns. The company carries moderate leverage with a debt to equity of 0.35 and a current ratio of 1.12. Cash per share is JPY 600.92 and book value per share is JPY 2,230.68, which supports balance-sheet stability despite a stretched receivables cycle (DSO 163.16 days). These ratios imply cautious fundamental support for any technical rebound.
Earnings growth, Meyka AI grade and forecast
Fuji Soft reported strong year-on-year growth: net income grew 78.47% in the latest fiscal year and EPS rose 78.18%, indicating operational improvement. Meyka AI rates 9749.T with a score out of 100: 74.66 (B+) — BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month price of JPY 10,741.95, an implied upside of 9.61% versus the current JPY 9,800.00. Three‑year and five‑year model points are JPY 13,674.75 (+39.54%) and JPY 16,605.43 (+69.43%). Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.
Technical trade plan for an oversold bounce on 9749.T stock
Short-term bullish plan: enter on a close above JPY 9,830.00 on above-average volume with a stop at JPY 9,400.00 (conservative). Targets: conservative JPY 10,200.00, base case JPY 10,741.95 (Meyka AI 12‑month), aggressive JPY 13,674.75. Risk-first plan: if price falls below the 2025 low JPY 6,070.00 on expanding volume, exit and reassess. Use ATR (25.00) to size stops and watch MACD and Keltner channel signals for momentum confirmation.
Risks, catalysts, and sector context
Key risks include slowing client tie‑ups or delayed large projects that would extend the company’s long DSO and strain working capital. Sector headwinds in Technology can pressure contract renewals even as sector performance remains positive (Technology 1Y +30.90%). Catalysts that can sustain a bounce: stronger guidance, a contract win in cloud or robotics, or improved receivables collection. Keep an eye on upcoming corporate updates and the next earnings announcement date.
Final Thoughts
The 9749.T stock setup on 14 Jan 2026 fits an oversold bounce pattern driven by heavy volume and a tight intraday range at JPY 9,800.00. Fundamentals show improved earnings growth but elevated valuation metrics (P/E 69.63, P/B 4.46) that temper upside unless operational momentum continues. Meyka AI’s model projects JPY 10,741.95 over 12 months, implying a 9.61% upside from today; longer-term models show larger upside but require sustained growth. For traders, a disciplined entry above JPY 9,830.00 with a clear stop and volume confirmation limits downside while capturing a likely bounce. Investors should weigh stretched receivables and valuation against growth momentum and use position sizing to manage risk. Remember these forecasts and the Meyka AI grade are model-based and not investment advice.
FAQs
What is the current price and short-term outlook for 9749.T stock?
9749.T stock closed at JPY 9,800.00 on 14 Jan 2026. Short term, the outlook is an oversold bounce; a confirmed reversal needs a higher high on above-average volume.
What are Meyka AI’s forecasts and the implied upside for 9749.T stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 10,741.95 in 12 months, an implied upside of 9.61% from JPY 9,800.00. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees.
What valuation and risks should investors monitor for 9749.T stock?
Key metrics: P/E 69.63, P/B 4.46, debt/equity 0.35 and DSO 163.16 days. Monitor receivables, contract timing, and sector demand for cloud and robotics services.
How should traders size risk for an oversold bounce trade on 9749.T stock?
Consider entering above JPY 9,830.00 with a stop near JPY 9,400.00 and use ATR (25.00) to size the position. Cut losses if price breaks meaningful support.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
