UBSG.SW UBS Group AG (SIX) closed CHF37.75 on 14 Jan 2026: active, modest upside

UBSG.SW UBS Group AG (SIX) closed CHF37.75 on 14 Jan 2026: active, modest upside

UBSG.SW stock closed at CHF 37.75 on 14 Jan 2026 after a most-active session on the SIX market, with 7,475,712.00 shares traded. The stock slipped CHF 0.19 or -0.50% intraday after opening at CHF 37.96 and trading between CHF 37.70 and CHF 38.10. Volume beat the average of 5,867,649.00, underscoring heavy attention from traders and institutional desks in Switzerland. We analyse price action, fundamentals, technicals, a Meyka AI grade and model forecasts to frame near-term UBSG.SW stock outlook and key catalysts.

Price action and volume — UBSG.SW stock

UBSG.SW stock finished the session at CHF 37.75, near the session low and close to the 52-week high of CHF 38.39. Trading range was CHF 37.70–CHF 38.10 and the stock recorded 7,475,712.00 shares versus avg volume 5,867,649.00. The raw momentum shows short-term interest but limited follow-through, with YTD change at -0.58% and 1-year return at 29.52%. For market context, Reuters and Bloomberg published fresh quotes and company updates today Reuters Bloomberg.

Fundamentals and valuation

UBS Group AG (UBSG.SW) trades at PE 21.32 on reported EPS 1.78 and a price-to-book around 1.68 using book value per share 28.37. Market cap stands near CHF 120.72 billion. Dividend per share trailing is 0.92 and dividend yield about 1.94%. The company’s 50-day average price is CHF 33.52 and 200-day average is CHF 30.04, signaling a premium to medium-term averages but still a reasonable PB and PE versus the Financial Services sector average PE 16.69.

Meyka Grade and UBSG.SW stock analysis

Meyka AI rates UBSG.SW with a score out of 100: 70.78, Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, industry positioning, financial growth, key metrics, analyst signals and model forecasts. The grade balances a solid capital base and revenue strength against elevated leverage metrics. These grades are informational only and not investment advice.

Technical signals and momentum

Short-term technicals flag extension: RSI 76.95 and Stochastic %K 90.56 point to overbought conditions while ADX 55.90 indicates a strong trend. MACD sits positive at 1.60 with a 0.10 histogram. Bollinger upper band is CHF 39.48 and lower band CHF 32.05. Key support aligns near the 50-day average CHF 33.52; resistance sits at the 52-week high CHF 38.39.

Sector context, risks and catalysts

UBS operates in the Banks – Diversified industry inside Financial Services, where average PE is 16.69 and average ROE is 7.98%. UBS shows ROE 8.42%, roughly in line with peers. Material risks include regulatory pressure, credit cycles and a high reported debt-to-equity metric (4.07). Near-term catalysts are the scheduled earnings announcement on 2026-02-04 and any updates to Global Wealth Management flows or Investment Bank trading revenue.

Analyst forecasts, price targets and UBSG.SW stock outlook

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly level CHF 39.03 and a 12-month projection CHF 38.41. Compared with the current price CHF 37.75, the 12-month forecast implies an upside of 1.73% and the monthly figure implies 3.39% upside. A three-year model price of CHF 47.21 implies 25.06% upside from today. Practical short-term targets: CHF 39.00 (near-term resistance) and a conservative 12-month CHF 38.41. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Final Thoughts

UBSG.SW stock closed CHF 37.75 on 14 Jan 2026 after a most-active session that outpaced average volume. Fundamentals show a stable earnings base with EPS 1.78, PE 21.32 and PB 1.68, while technicals indicate short-term overbought readings (RSI 76.95). Meyka AI rates the stock 70.78/100 (B+, BUY) and the model projects a 12-month price of CHF 38.41, an implied upside of 1.73% versus today’s close. The next major driver is UBS’s earnings release on 2026-02-04, which could widen moves given the stock’s liquidity and trading interest on the SIX exchange in Switzerland. Investors should weigh near-term momentum against sector-level risks, elevated leverage and the company’s exposure to market-sensitive fee income. Meyka AI provides this data-driven market analysis to support further research; forecasts are probabilistic and not guarantees.

FAQs

What drove UBSG.SW stock activity today?

Trading intensity reflected heavy flows and positioning: volume 7,475,712.00 versus avg 5,867,649.00. Short-term profit taking around higher multiples and pre-earnings positioning ahead of the 2026-02-04 report drove activity.

What is the Meyka AI 12-month forecast for UBSG.SW stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects CHF 38.41 in 12 months, implying a 1.73% upside from CHF 37.75. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

What are the main risks for UBSG.SW stock holders?

Key risks include regulatory or litigation outcomes, a weaker trading environment for the Investment Bank, and UBS’s high debt-to-equity metric (4.07). Market-rate moves and wealth-management inflows also affect earnings and the stock.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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