TDO.AX stock plunges 35.48% intraday on 20,855,372 shares: watch A$0.10 support

TDO.AX stock fell 35.48% intraday on 15 Jan 2026 to A$0.10, trading 20,855,372 shares after opening at A$0.16. The move makes 3D Energi Limited (TDO.AX) one of the ASX top losers this intraday session, with the price touching a low of A$0.095 and a year low of A$0.084. Volume was about 8.59x its average, signalling aggressive selling. We outline the drivers, key ratios, technical levels and a model-based forecast to help investors assess whether this sharp drop opens an opportunity or increases downside risk.

TDO.AX stock: intraday price action and trading stats

TDO.AX stock opened at A$0.16 and fell to a day low of A$0.095, closing intraday near A$0.10 on 15 Jan 2026. The intraday change was -35.48% and volume hit 20,855,372 shares versus an average volume of 2,428,036 shares. This surge in volume pushed the relative volume to 8.59, confirming a large directional move.

One clear technical fact: the 50-day average is A$0.15 and the 200-day average is A$0.13, so the stock is trading below the 50-day average and near the 200-day average, making the A$0.10 level a critical short-term support.

TDO.AX stock fundamentals: earnings, valuation and balance sheet

3D Energi Limited reports EPS of -A$0.01 and a trailing PE shown as -10.00, reflecting negative earnings. Market capitalisation stands at A$33,347,356.00 with 333,473,555 shares outstanding. Book value per share is A$0.03 and cash per share is A$0.0024, giving a thin cash buffer against operating outflows.

Key ratios show a price-to-book of 3.49 and a current ratio near 1.99, which is adequate for short-term liabilities but highlights limited operating cash flow. Free cash flow per share is -A$0.01, and the company reported operating cash flow per share of -A$0.0035, pointing to ongoing cash burn linked to exploration activity.

TDO.AX stock technicals and sector context

Technical indicators show RSI at 57.38, CCI at 95.52, and ADX at 21.86, suggesting a recent loss of momentum but not an oversold extreme. Bollinger Bands stand at Upper A$0.18, Middle A$0.15, and Lower A$0.13, so intraday price touched levels below the lower band and re-tested it, which often precedes short-term consolidation.

Sector context matters: the ASX Energy sector has shown modest gains year-to-date while commodity-linked small caps remain volatile. TDO.AX’s intraday collapse on heavy volume diverges from the broader sector move and signals stock-specific selling rather than a sector-wide event.

TDO.AX stock analysis: reasons for the sell-off and catalysts

There is no single public catalyst in today’s market feed; the drop looks driven by heavy selling, likely position liquidation given the high relative volume of 8.59 and a large share base. Pending catalysts include the next earnings announcement scheduled for 04 Mar 2026, and any exploration updates from its VIC/P57, VIC/P74 and WA/527-P permits.

Watch for near-term news on permit activity or partner farm-outs. A negative operational update or dilutive capital raise would likely push price below the A$0.08 year low. Conversely, a positive discovery or farm-in could restore confidence quickly due to the stock’s low float trading profile.

Meyka AI grade, forecast and price targets for TDO.AX stock

Meyka AI rates TDO.AX with a score out of 100: Meyka AI rates TDO.AX with a score of 61.30 / 100 and assigns a B (HOLD) suggestion. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of A$0.20623, versus the current price of A$0.10, implying an upside of 106.23%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Analyst price targets for risk-tiered scenarios: conservative A$0.08, base A$0.17, and bullish A$0.33, reflecting exploration success probabilities and sector re-rating potential.

TDO.AX stock risks, liquidity and trading strategy

Major risks include continued cash burn, low operating revenue, exploration disappointment and potential dilution given the company’s capital needs. Price volatility is high: year high A$0.21, year low A$0.084, and one-year volatility is elevated for junior E&P names.

For traders, the intraday sell-off suggests short-term setups around support at A$0.10 and A$0.08 with tight risk controls. For longer-term investors, assessing permit valuations, partner commitments and cash runway before allocating is essential. See company filings and track upcoming updates closely source and sector commentary source.

Final Thoughts

TDO.AX stock’s -35.48% intraday move to A$0.10 on 15 Jan 2026 reflects concentrated selling and a volume spike to 20,855,372 shares. Fundamentals show negative EPS and tight cash per share, while technicals put the stock near short-term support. Meyka AI’s model projects a yearly price of A$0.20623, an implied upside of 106.23% versus the current price of A$0.10, but that projection is model-based and not guaranteed. Our risk framework places a conservative price target at A$0.08 if exploration or funding news is negative, a base case target at A$0.17 if operations stabilise, and a bull target at A$0.33 on a successful discovery or strategic farm-in. Given the stock’s small market cap of A$33.35M, high relative volume and limited cash, investors should prioritise position sizing and monitor the earnings date on 04 Mar 2026 and any permit updates. Use stop-loss discipline for trading, and verify permit and cash updates before making longer-term commitments. For real-time screening and model updates see Meyka AI’s market analysis tools for TDO.AX at our stock page.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.