KBX.SW Knorr-Bremse (SIX) -21.61% to CHF83.80 on 15 Jan 2026: oversold bounce
KBX.SW stock plunged 21.61% to CHF83.80 at the SIX close on 15 Jan 2026, leaving the share at its intraday low and signalling an oversold bounce setup. The move followed heavy selling into a thin tape—volume of 10 shares versus a 50-day average of 35,263—which raises liquidity and short-term volatility concerns. Knorr-Bremse AG (KBX.SW) remains fundamentally intact with EPS 3.17 and a PE 26.44, but the price gap to the 50-day average (CHF109.00) opens a tactical bounce opportunity for disciplined traders.
KBX.SW stock: price action and market context
Knorr-Bremse (KBX.SW) closed -CHF23.10 at CHF83.80, down 21.61% from the previous close of CHF106.90 on 15 Jan 2026. The drop occurred on extremely low reported volume (10 shares) against an average volume of 35,263, which suggests execution-driven selling rather than broad market exit. This price sits at the stock’s year low (CHF83.80) and creates a defined short-term support level for an oversold bounce trade.
KBX.SW stock: fundamentals and valuation snapshot
On fundamentals Knorr-Bremse reports EPS CHF3.17 and a market PE of 26.44 at the close price CHF83.80. The company shows solid cash metrics with cash per share CHF8.86, free cash flow per share CHF5.36, and a dividend per share near CHF1.75 (yield 1.95%). Price-to-sales 1.83 and price-to-book 5.04 suggest the stock trades at a premium to some peers in Auto – Parts but supports a defensive case given stable margins and ROE 14.04%.
KBX.SW stock: technicals, liquidity and levels to watch
Technically the stock is deeply oversold versus moving averages: the 50-day and 200-day averages are both CHF109.00. Immediate support is at CHF83.80 (today’s low) and tactical resistance sits at CHF95.00 then CHF109.00 (year high). Low liquidity and a relative volume of 0.00 increase execution risk; traders should wait for a volume-backed reversal above CHF88.00 before adding exposure.
KBX.SW stock: Meyka AI grade and model forecast
Meyka AI rates KBX.SW with a score out of 100: 65.63 / 100 — Grade B — HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector and industry metrics, financial growth, key ratios, forecasts, analyst consensus and fundamentals. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price CHF75.41, which compares to the current price CHF83.80 and implies an estimated -10.01% downside; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
KBX.SW stock: catalysts, risks and sector view
Near-term catalysts include the next earnings announcement on 19 Feb 2026, order flow in rail and commercial vehicles, and margin updates tied to commodity and supply-chain cost swings. Key risks are low trading liquidity, market reaction to any margin or order weakness, and sector cyclicality in Auto – Parts and Consumer Cyclical markets. Compared with the Consumer Cyclical group (50-day strength and higher average P/E), Knorr-Bremse’s pullback is deeper than peers, creating both risk and opportunity.
KBX.SW stock: oversold bounce trading plan
For an oversold bounce strategy watch for a volume-confirmed reversal and a close above CHF88.00 before adding size. Short-term price targets: CHF95.00 (first take-profit, ~13.38% upside) and CHF109.00 (full recovery target, ~30.07% upside). Use a disciplined stop under CHF82.00 and limit position size due to the low trade volume and execution risk on SIX in CHF.
Final Thoughts
KBX.SW stock delivered a sharp intraday decline to CHF83.80 on 15 Jan 2026, driven on very low reported volume and leaving the share at a technical support level. The setup fits an oversold bounce play for traders who demand volume confirmation and strict risk controls. On fundamentals Knorr-Bremse retains positive cash flow per share (CHF5.36) and a reasonable dividend, but valuation measures such as price-to-book 5.04 and price-to-sales 1.83 show limited margin for error if growth weakens. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects CHF75.41 over the next year, implying a -10.01% downside versus the close price CHF83.80; this underlines that a bounce could be tactical and short lived without fresh positive catalysts. Short-term targets for a validated bounce are CHF95.00 and CHF109.00, with a stop under CHF82.00. Investors should monitor the earnings release on 19 Feb 2026 and prefer staggered entries while using Meyka AI as an AI-powered market analysis platform reference for evolving signals. Company site and internal data at Meyka stock page offer further company detail.
FAQs
Is KBX.SW stock a buy after the 21.61% drop?
The drop creates a tactical oversold bounce opportunity, not a clear long-term buy. Wait for volume-backed reversal above CHF88.00 and confirm catalysts such as order growth or positive guidance before adding exposure.
What are realistic price targets for KBX.SW stock from here?
Short-term bounce target is CHF95.00 and a recovery target is CHF109.00. Meyka AI’s one-year model projects CHF75.41, which implies downside versus the close and highlights caution.
How should traders manage risk on KBX.SW stock?
Keep position sizes small due to extremely low volume, use a stop under CHF82.00, and require a volume-confirmed reversal before scaling in. Earnings on 19 Feb 2026 are a key event to reassess risk.
How does Meyka AI rate KBX.SW stock?
Meyka AI rates KBX.SW with a score out of 100: 65.63 (Grade B) with a HOLD suggestion. The grade considers benchmark and sector comparisons, growth, key metrics and forecasts.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
