2611.HK Guotai Junan (HKSE) pre-market: earnings Jan 21, watch HK$22.51 upside
We open pre-market on 2611.HK stock with Guotai Junan quoted at HK$17.28 ahead of results due 21 Jan 2026. Trading volume is active at 14,555,568 shares and the company reports EPS 2.03 and P/E 8.51. This earnings spotlight focuses on revenue drivers, margin mix, and what a beat or miss would mean for price action in Hong Kong’s HKSE listing.
2611.HK stock: upcoming earnings timetable and what to watch
Guotai Junan (2611.HK) reports on 2026-01-21. Expect headline items: wealth-management fees, brokerage income, and underwriting gains. Consensus estimates are not published here, so traders should watch net trading income and margin financing growth. A positive surprise in investment banking fees typically lifts short-term trading revenue and volume, which connects directly to intraday price moves on the HKSE.
2611.HK stock: quarter drivers — revenue, margins and corporate finance
Primary drivers for the quarter are institutional trading and investment banking. Wealth management and asset management are steady contributors and support recurring fees. Recent growth data shows net income growth 38.94% year over year and operating cash flow per share 6.65, which supports margin resilience. Underwriting and M&A advisory will be the swing items that decide the earnings beat or miss.
2611.HK stock: valuation and key financial ratios
At HK$17.28, Guotai Junan trades at P/E 8.51 and PB roughly 0.51 based on book value per share 31.86. Dividend yield is 2.72% with payout ratio 33.84%. Compared with Hong Kong financial services average P/E 12.90, 2611.HK looks cheaper on earnings. Key metrics also show free cash flow per share 6.53 and return on equity 9.69%, signaling a value tilt relative to sector peers.
2611.HK stock: technicals and trading setup in pre-market
Pre-market price is HK$17.28 after a prior close of HK$17.67. Momentum indicators show RSI 60.05 and MACD positive histogram 0.09, supporting a constructive short-term trend. The 50-day average is HK$16.39 and 200-day average is HK$14.57, both below the current price. Bollinger middle band sits at HK$16.92, so near-term support is identifiable around HK$16.00–16.90 on intraday weakness.
Meyka AI rates 2611.HK with a score out of 100 and forecast
Meyka AI rates 2611.HK with a score out of 100: 76.58 (B+) — BUY. This grade factors S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target HK$22.51, a quarterly reference HK$16.87, and a 3-year target HK$34.04. Versus the current HK$17.28, the yearly projection implies 30.24% upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
2611.HK stock: risks and catalysts to monitor
Key catalysts: stronger underwriting fees, rebound in trading volumes, and higher margin financing balances. Risks include regulatory changes in mainland brokerage rules, a slowdown in capital markets activity, and wider market volatility. Liquidity metrics are healthy with average volume 14,146,955, but a negative sector swing could pressure the stock despite attractive valuation.
Final Thoughts
For pre-market traders and longer-term investors, 2611.HK stock offers a value entry into Hong Kong financial services ahead of earnings on 21 Jan 2026. At HK$17.28, the stock trades below both 50-day (HK$16.39) and 200-day (HK$14.57) averages while showing solid cash generation: free cash flow per share 6.53 and cash per share 67.74. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects HK$22.51 for the year, an implied upside of 30.24% versus today’s price. Our grade, 76.58 (B+) — BUY, reflects strong fundamentals and a cheaper multiple than sector peers, but results-driven volatility is likely on the announcement. Use earnings reaction to reassess targets: a clear beat supports the model yearly target, while weak investment banking fees could push the stock toward the near-term reference HK$16.87. These projections are model-based and not guarantees. Meyka AI is an AI-powered market analysis platform that assists traders with real-time data and probabilistic forecasts.
FAQs
When does Guotai Junan (2611.HK stock) report earnings and why does it matter?
Guotai Junan reports on 2026-01-21. The result matters because trading income and underwriting fees drive quarterly swings. A beat usually lifts short-term volume and price, while a miss can widen intraday volatility on the HKSE.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for 2611.HK stock and the implied upside?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects HK$22.51 for the year. Versus the current HK$17.28, that implies 30.24% upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
How is 2611.HK stock valued versus the Hong Kong financial sector?
At P/E 8.51 and PB 0.51, 2611.HK trades below the sector average P/E 12.90, indicating a relative value opportunity, supported by free cash flow per share 6.53 and dividend yield 2.72%.
What are the main risks that could hurt 2611.HK stock after earnings?
Main risks include weaker-than-expected underwriting fees, a slowdown in capital markets activity, or regulatory changes affecting brokerage operations. Market-wide volatility could also lower the share price despite solid fundamentals.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
