JPY 4,261.00 SoftBank Group (9984.T, JPX) intraday 16 Jan 2026: OpenAI news lifts activity
We see 9984.T stock trading at JPY 4,261.00 intraday on the JPX on 16 Jan 2026, placing SoftBank Group among the market’s most active names. Volume stands at 55,614,200.00 so far versus an average of 87,500,959.00, and the intraday range is JPY 4,180.00 to JPY 4,444.00. News flow around AI investments and asset moves is the primary driver of activity. Traders should note the next earnings date set for 2026-02-12 and watch short-term technicals for entry signals.
9984.T stock intraday snapshot
SoftBank Group (9984.T) is trading at JPY 4,261.00 with a day low of JPY 4,180.00 and day high of JPY 4,444.00. Volume is 55,614,200.00, below the 90-day average, but the name remains one of the session’s most active on JPX. Market cap is JPY 23,084,517,789,155.00 and shares outstanding are 5,698,473,905.00, underscoring the stock’s liquidity profile for institutional flows.
News and volume drivers: OpenAI, SB Energy and portfolio moves
Recent headlines on SoftBank’s AI and energy investments have pushed trading interest and re-priced the holding-company narrative. Reports show sizeable SoftBank commitments into AI infrastructure and SB Energy, prompting higher intraday flows and headlines. For market data and quotes, see Bloomberg and recent coverage on SoftBank’s OpenAI and SB Energy activity Bloomberg and related investment reporting StockAnalysis.
Valuation and financials versus sector
SoftBank trades at PE 7.57 with EPS JPY 534.97, and a price-to-book of PB 1.64, showing a valuation discount to the Communication Services sector average PE of 25.11. Cash per share is JPY 1,189.98 and book value per share is JPY 2,924.79. Leverage remains material: debt-to-equity is 1.44, net-debt-to-EBITDA is 2.93, and free cash flow is negative on a trailing basis, which keeps risk premia elevated despite attractive headline multiples.
Technicals and trading signals
Momentum readings are bearish: RSI is 19.30 (oversold) and 3-month performance is -26.16%, while YTD is -12.22%. Price sits below the 50-day average (JPY 4,574.01) but above the 200-day average (JPY 3,616.24), indicating mixed medium-term structure. Traders should watch for a pickup in relative volume (>1.00 rel vol) and an RSI bounce above 30.00 as a short-term confirmation for mean-reversion trades.
Meyka AI grade and model forecast
Meyka AI rates 9984.T with a score out of 100: 68.72 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are not guaranteed and are not investment advice. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month level of JPY 11,827.41, which implies an upside of +177.60% versus the current price JPY 4,261.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks, catalysts and realistic price targets
Key risks include exposure to private-tech valuations, sizeable leverage, and execution risk on large AI and energy projects. Catalysts include OpenAI-related revaluations, asset sales or further portfolio monetisations and the next earnings release on 2026-02-12. We outline pragmatic 12-month targets: conservative JPY 5,500.00, base JPY 8,500.00, and bull JPY 11,827.41 (Meyka forecast). Position sizing should reflect the company’s leverage and headline volatility.
Final Thoughts
SoftBank Group (9984.T) is one of today’s most active JPX names with intraday price JPY 4,261.00 and large volume flows driven by AI and energy headlines. Valuation appears cheap on a PE basis (7.57) relative to the Communication Services sector, but leverage and negative free cash flow keep uncertainty high. Technicals show oversold momentum (RSI 19.30), which can prompt short-term mean reversion but also warns of continuation risk. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 11,827.41 over 12 months, implying +177.60% upside from the current price; that projection is model-based and not a guarantee. For most investors we present a range: a conservative target at JPY 5,500.00, a base case at JPY 8,500.00, and a bull case aligned with the model. Given the mix of attractive multiples and execution risk, our reading is cautious: trade size should match risk tolerance and time horizon. For live quotes and deeper ticks see Bloomberg or our Meyka AI stock page for real-time signals and alerts Meyka AI stock page.
FAQs
What is driving intraday activity in 9984.T stock today?
Activity is being driven by large AI and energy investment headlines, including OpenAI related moves and SB Energy commitments, plus active portfolio reweighting by institutional holders. These items increase volume and headline-driven volatility.
Is 9984.T stock cheap on valuation?
On trailing metrics SoftBank looks inexpensive: PE 7.57 and PB 1.64 versus sector averages. However, higher leverage and negative FCF raise risk, so cheap valuation must be weighed against balance-sheet and execution factors.
What price targets should investors consider for 9984.T stock?
We suggest a conservative target of JPY 5,500.00, a base case of JPY 8,500.00, and the model-based forecast of JPY 11,827.41. Targets reflect differing assumptions on asset revaluations and project delivery.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
