BTCUSD Today: January 18 Bitwise Backs Dalio’s 15% Gold-Bitcoin Hedge
Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation is in focus for Swiss investors today, as Bitwise backs a 15% gold-bitcoin hedge as a practical debasement sleeve. With gold near highs and BTCUSD showing liquidity-driven torque, the pairing aims to boost risk-adjusted returns versus a plain 60/40 mix. We outline why this mix fits CHF-based portfolios, what current momentum says, and how to size, select products, and rebalance with discipline. We keep it data-led, low-jargon, and useful for everyday investors in Switzerland. Our goal is steady real returns with clear rules.
Why a 15% gold‑bitcoin hedge now
Bitwise finds that a combined gold and bitcoin stake improves risk-adjusted returns versus classic 60/40 mixes. Gold can damp swings, while bitcoin adds recovery torque in liquidity upcycles. The result supports the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation at 15% across cycles. See the summary and methods here: Bitcoin and gold allocation outperforms traditional portfolios, backing Ray Dalio’s 15% hedge thesis, Bitwise finds. For Swiss savers facing money debasement risks, the sleeve can sit beside core CHF bonds and global equities.
Swiss households hold more physical gold than most regions, and CHF strength helps preserve real wealth. That makes a gold-bitcoin hedge a natural add-on, not a replacement. Access is simple via SIX-listed ETPs, global ETFs, or direct custody. Some Pillar 3a plans limit crypto. So we keep tax, fees, and product rules in mind before we set the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation.
Today’s market setup for BTC and gold
Momentum looks balanced. RSI is 48.91 and ADX is 25.89, a neutral trend with strength building. MACD histogram sits at 721.64. Bollinger Bands show upper 93,209.41, middle 88,709.05, lower 84,208.69, while Keltner upper is 96,610.62. Average True Range is 3,252.65, so daily swings can be wide. We treat entries and rebalances with patience, not urgency.
Gold trades near cycle highs, keeping portfolio volatility in check when risk assets wobble. Historical studies show that adding gold can lift Sharpe without heavy drawdowns. For a simple framework on framing gold and bitcoin choices, this guide is helpful: Should You Buy Gold or Bitcoin? Here’s How to Think About It. We let gold carry defense while bitcoin carries upside torque.
Sizing and implementing the hedge in Switzerland
Start with the headline 15% sleeve, then tune it to risk. Many Swiss investors will split it, for example 10% gold and 5% bitcoin, or 12% and 3% for lower volatility. Keep the core in global stocks and CHF bonds. Reassess the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation after large moves or life events, not every week.
Use liquid products with low tracking error. In Switzerland, that often means SIX-listed ETPs or global ETFs for gold, and reputable spot ETPs for bitcoin. Compare TER, spreads, and custody risk. If you hold coins directly, secure cold storage and clear recovery steps. We pick one method and keep costs below the expected edge.
Risk checks and rebalancing rules
Bitcoin can move fast, so we set guardrails. Use a banded plan, such as rebalancing when the sleeve drifts 20% to 30% from target, or on a fixed quarterly schedule. Place trades during higher liquidity hours. For Swiss taxpayers, remember wealth tax and potential income treatment on yield products. Keep records and a simple policy.
Key drivers this year include inflation swings, global rate cuts, and CHF strength. A softer dollar can help bitcoin and gold. A growth scare can lift gold’s role, while liquidity cycles support bitcoin. Regulatory changes across CH and the EU matter for product access. We anchor the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation to rules, not headlines.
Final Thoughts
Bitwise supports the 15% gold-bitcoin hedge. In CHF portfolios, gold steadies volatility while bitcoin powers recovery torque. Momentum is neutral today, with RSI 48.91 and ADX 25.89, and daily ranges near 3,252 on ATR. For Swiss investors, we suggest simple steps: choose a split (for example 10/5), pick low-cost vehicles, and set banded rebalancing. Trade in liquid hours and keep records for taxes. If you are new, phase in monthly over three to six months to reduce timing risk. Use a checklist covering target weights, approved products, cost caps, and rebalancing triggers. Keep the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation as a sleeve beside your core, not as a concentrated bet. For Pillar 3a limits, mirror the sleeve in your taxable account. Review quarterly, or when the sleeve breaches bands, and then get back to living your life.
FAQs
What is the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation and why 15%?
It refers to a 15% debasement hedge split between gold and bitcoin. Bitwise’s research shows the pair can improve risk-adjusted returns by combining gold’s stability with bitcoin’s upside torque. The sleeve is meant to sit beside core holdings, not replace them, and to protect purchasing power over time.
How should Swiss investors split gold and bitcoin in the sleeve?
Start with risk first. A common split is 10% gold and 5% bitcoin. More conservative investors might consider 12% gold and 3% bitcoin. Keep the rest in global stocks and CHF bonds. Reassess the split after large market moves or life events, not on short-term headlines.
How can I implement this hedge in a CHF-based portfolio?
Use liquid, low-cost vehicles: SIX-listed ETPs or global ETFs for gold, and reputable spot ETPs for bitcoin, or secure self-custody. Compare TER and spreads. Set banded rebalancing rules, trade in liquid hours, and keep clean records for Swiss taxes. Phase in over three to six months if you’re new.
What risks could weaken a gold-bitcoin hedge?
A sharp rise in real rates can pressure both assets. A strong CHF can mute USD-based gains. Regulatory changes may affect product access. Bitcoin’s large swings can test discipline. Clear rules, cost control, and steady rebalancing help keep the Ray Dalio Bitcoin allocation aligned with long-term goals.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
