JPX close: Nakamura Choukou (6166.T) up 51.78% to JPY 469.00: monitor momentum
The 6166.T stock surged 51.78% to JPY 469.00 at the JPX close on 19 Jan 2026, driven by a sharp intraday move and above-average volume of 159700.00 shares. The jump pushed the price above the 50-day average of JPY 268.10 and the 200-day average of JPY 301.81, suggesting a short-term momentum shift. Traders and analysts will watch upcoming earnings on 13 Feb 2026 and whether the move reflects a durable re-rating or a short-lived squeeze. We examine valuation, technicals, and Meyka AI forecasts to frame next steps
Price action and volume: 6166.T stock
Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166.T) closed at JPY 469.00, a JPY 160.00 rise from the previous close of JPY 309.00. Volume reached 159700.00, near the average of 178100.00, indicating institutional interest rather than a thin-market spike. The day high and low were both JPY 469.00, showing a decisive one-price close on the run. This price move also set a new year high above JPY 395.00 and lifted short-term momentum indicators.
Valuation snapshot and fundamentals
At JPY 469.00, 6166.T stock trades at a trailing PE of 23.62 with EPS of JPY 16.47. Market cap is JPY 4287129711.00 and book value per share is JPY 91.47. Key balance-sheet ratios show debt to equity of 2.79 and a current ratio of 0.80, signalling higher leverage than the Industrials sector average debt to equity of 0.40. Cash per share is JPY 121.93, while price-to-sales is 1.70, above sector medians and implying a premium for niche precision-equipment exposure.
Technicals and sector context
Technical indicators show RSI near 51.21 and ADX at 45.69, marking a strong trend. Bollinger middle band sits at JPY 261.95 and ATR is JPY 11.90, so today’s move exceeds typical volatility. In the Industrials sector, one-month performance is 6.85%, making Nakamura’s move materially stronger. Investors should note an MFI of 83.22, signaling overbought conditions and the risk of short-term pullback.
Meyka AI rates 6166.T with a score out of 100
Meyka AI rates 6166.T with a score of 68.22 out of 100 (Grade B, Suggestion: HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, analyst signals, and forecast models. The company rating dated 16 Jan 2026 lists a mixed profile: DCF signals weak but ROE metrics strong. These grades are informational and not financial advice.
Meyka AI’s forecast and price targets
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly level of JPY 347.14, a quarterly projection of JPY 208.84, and a yearly model figure of JPY 126.05. Compared with the current JPY 469.00, the monthly projection implies an implied downside of -25.96%, the quarterly projection implies -55.44%, and the yearly projection implies -73.13%. For scenario planning, we set a short-term technical upside target of JPY 520.00 and a base case target aligned with the model at JPY 347.14. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Catalysts, risks and trading strategy
Catalysts include the earnings release on 13 Feb 2026 and continued demand for diamond wire and precision parts in semiconductor and solar supply chains. Risks include high leverage (debt to equity 2.79), thin liquidity relative to larger Industrials names, and a stretched MFI. Short-term traders may use tight stops and scale out near JPY 520.00. Longer-term investors should monitor operating margin recovery, inventory turns (inventory turnover 3.07) and interest coverage which is negative, before scaling in.
Final Thoughts
6166.T stock’s JPY 469.00 close and 51.78% jump on JPX on 19 Jan 2026 marks a clear short-term momentum event. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 23.62, PB of 4.25, and elevated leverage with debt to equity of 2.79, which raises sensitivity to margin and cash-flow shifts. Meyka AI’s model projects a monthly level of JPY 347.14, implying a -25.96% downside from today’s price, while our tactical short-term upside target is JPY 520.00. Traders should weigh the earnings calendar and the stock’s overbought signals. Use position sizing and stop limits if entering on momentum, and revisit fundamentals if price moves toward Meyka’s model levels. For more data and live updates see the company site and our Meyka stock page for 6166.T
FAQs
What caused the recent rise in 6166.T stock?
The 6166.T stock rise to JPY 469.00 was driven by heavy intraday buying and above-average volume of 159700.00 shares, plus speculative momentum ahead of an earnings announcement on 13 Feb 2026.
What is Meyka AI’s forecast for 6166.T stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly JPY 347.14, quarterly JPY 208.84, and yearly JPY 126.05, with the caveat that these projections are model outputs and not guarantees.
Is 6166.T stock a buy after the jump?
Meyka AI grades 6166.T at 68.22/100 (Grade B, HOLD). The stock shows momentum but elevated leverage and overbought technicals, so many analysts recommend caution and risk management.
What key ratios should investors watch for 6166.T stock?
Watch trailing PE 23.62, debt to equity 2.79, current ratio 0.80, and cash per share JPY 121.93. These metrics signal valuation, leverage and short-term liquidity risks.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
