HK$16.76 close: Guotai Junan (2611.HK HKSE) 19 Jan 2026 earnings 21 Jan, PE 8.41
2611.HK stock closed at HK$16.76, down 3.01% on 19 Jan 2026 as traders priced in Guotai Junan Securities’ upcoming earnings on 21 Jan 2026. The share drop followed a session high of HK$17.00 and volume of 8.36M shares on the HKSE in Hong Kong. At EPS HK$2.03 and a trailing PE 8.41, the market is valuing current earnings cheaply relative to recent growth and strong cash metrics. Investors should watch brokerage fees, trading revenue, and margin financing as catalysts for the report.
Earnings spotlight for 2611.HK stock: what to expect
Guotai Junan (2611.HK) reports on 21 Jan 2026 with consensus focus on fee income and trading revenue. Expect core brokerage and investment banking fees to drive quarterly net income variations. Watch margin financing balances and net interest margins as short-term swing factors for revenue and earnings per share.
2611.HK stock valuation and financial snapshot
The stock trades at PE 8.41 with EPS HK$2.03 and book value per share HK$31.86. Price to book is 0.50, price to sales about 4.38, and dividend yield near 2.75%. These metrics point to a value tilt versus the Financial Services sector, where average PB is roughly 1.06.
Meyka AI grades 2611.HK stock and issues a forecast
Meyka AI rates 2611.HK with a score of 76.58 out of 100, Grade B+, Suggestion BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of HK$19.05 (implied upside 13.67% from HK$16.76) and a 12‑month target of HK$23.04 (implied upside 37.51%). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Technicals and trading signals for 2611.HK stock
Price closed at HK$16.76 below the intraday high HK$17.00 with 50‑day average HK$16.42 and 200‑day average HK$14.60. Momentum indicators show RSI 60.05 and MACD positive, suggesting a steady uptrend despite today’s pullback. Average volume 14.09M versus today’s 8.36M signals light participation on the decline.
Risks, catalysts, and sector context for 2611.HK stock
Key risks: lower than expected brokerage commissions, tighter margin financing, and regulatory headwinds in Mainland China. Catalysts: stronger IPO pipeline, higher trading volumes, and recovery in bond underwriting fees. The Financial Services sector in Hong Kong has shown YTD performance near 1.72%, while banks and capital markets peers trade at lower PE multiples on average.
Price targets and analyst view for 2611.HK stock
Use a three‑scenario range: conservative HK$15.00, base HK$19.05 (Meyka monthly), and bull HK$23.04 (12‑month). The base case reflects steady fee growth and stable credit metrics; the bull case assumes stronger deal flow and higher trading volumes. Position sizes should reflect dividend yield 2.75% and payout ratio 33.84%.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways: 2611.HK stock closed at HK$16.76 on 19 Jan 2026, down 3.01%, as investors prepare for Guotai Junan Securities’ earnings on 21 Jan 2026. The company shows strong cash per share HK$67.74, book value HK$31.86, and free cash flow yield above 21.55%, underpinning the valuation. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects HK$19.05 (monthly) and HK$23.04 (12 months), implying upside of roughly 13.67% and 37.51% versus the current price. Our B+ grade and BUY suggestion reflect solid fundamentals, sector-relative value, and upside potential but investors must weigh execution risk and regulatory sensitivity. For trade-ready plans, watch the earnings lines for brokerage fees, margin financing trends, and underwriting revenues. For more company details visit the Guotai Junan website and search filings at HKEX News. Meyka AI provides this as AI-powered market analysis; forecasts are projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
When does Guotai Junan (2611.HK stock) report earnings?
Guotai Junan is scheduled to announce results on 21 Jan 2026. Expect details on brokerage fees, margin financing, and investment banking revenue. Monitor guidance and balance-sheet commentary for near‑term trading catalysts.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for 2611.HK stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects HK$19.05 as a monthly target (about 13.67% upside) and HK$23.04 over 12 months (about 37.51% upside). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Is 2611.HK stock a dividend payer and what yield to expect?
Guotai Junan pays dividends with a trailing yield near 2.75% and a payout ratio around 33.84%. Dividend stability will depend on earnings and capital‑allocation decisions disclosed at the earnings call.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
