TFL.AX stock down 28.57% on 19 Jan 2026: market drivers and short-term outlook
TFL.AX stock fell 28.57% to A$0.005 at market close in Australia on 19 Jan 2026. The move followed heavy intraday volume of 327,801 shares, well above the 50-day average of 272,615. Weak profitability and elevated leverage pressured the share price. We break down trading flows, key ratios and a practical near-term outlook for TasFoods Limited on the ASX.
TFL.AX stock: session summary and price action
TasFoods Limited (TFL.AX) closed on the ASX at A$0.005 on 19 Jan 2026, down 28.57% from the prior close of A$0.007. The stock traded between A$0.005 and A$0.006 intraday. Volume spiked to 327,801 shares, signalling aggressive selling pressure in a small-cap name with market cap A$1,937,955.
Why TFL.AX stock fell: drivers and market context
Selling followed renewed investor focus on weak earnings and balance sheet strain. Trailing EPS is -0.02 and the trailing P/E reads -0.25, signalling losses. Sector peers in Consumer Defensive outperformed, limiting support for TasFoods. Short-term sentiment also reflects limited liquidity and high debt metrics.
TFL.AX stock fundamentals and Meyka AI grade
Key ratios show stressed fundamentals. Price to book is 0.59, current ratio is 0.71, and debt to equity is 3.12. Working capital is negative A$3,837,000, and cash per share is A$0.00013.
Meyka AI rates TFL.AX with a score out of 100: 62 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are informational only and are not financial advice.
TFL.AX stock technicals and trading liquidity
Technicals show mixed signals. RSI sits near 53.75, ADX at 42.86 indicates a strong trend, and the 50-day average price is A$0.00536. The stock’s relative liquidity is thin given 387,591,000 shares outstanding and a market cap under A$2.0 million. That amplifies moves on order flow and news.
Risk factors for TFL.AX stock
Major risks include ongoing losses, high leverage and negative cash flow metrics. Interest coverage is -3.11, and net profit margin is -21.65%. Small-cap exposure raises corporate action and volatility risk. A further capital raise could dilute existing holders.
Opportunities, analyst view and price targets for TFL.AX stock
Upside depends on margin recovery and debt reduction. The company operates recognizable Tasmanian food brands in dairy and poultry. Benchmarks show a path to recovery if management stabilises operations.
Analyst consensus data is limited, but reasonable scenarios are: a conservative target of A$0.004 if earnings and liquidity weaken, and a recovery target of A$0.010 if operational improvement and debt reduction succeed. These targets are model-based, not guarantees.
Final Thoughts
TFL.AX stock closed the ASX session on 19 Jan 2026 at A$0.005, down 28.57% on elevated volume. Fundamentals show stress: negative EPS of -0.02, P/E -0.25, a price to book of 0.59, current ratio 0.71, and debt to equity 3.12. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a conservative 12-month level of A$0.004, implying downside of -20.00% from today’s price. A recovery scenario places a speculative upside target near A$0.010. Investors should weigh small-cap liquidity and leverage risks against brand exposure in dairy and poultry. For real-time monitoring and alternative-data signals, use the Meyka AI-powered market analysis tools and the company page TFL.AX on Meyka AI. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For comparison data see market sources below
FAQs
What caused the TFL.AX stock drop on 19 Jan 2026?
The fall was driven by heavy selling, weak trailing EPS (-0.02), high leverage (debt/equity 3.12) and thin liquidity. Volume jumped to 327,801 shares, signalling forced or sentiment-driven selling.
What is Meyka AI’s grade for TFL.AX stock?
Meyka AI rates TFL.AX with a score out of 100: 62 (Grade B, HOLD). The grade compares S&P 500, sector performance, growth, key metrics and analyst input. This is informational, not advice.
What price targets exist for TFL.AX stock?
Model scenarios include a conservative short-term level of A$0.004 and a speculative recovery target near A$0.010. Targets depend on earnings recovery and balance sheet repair.
When is TasFoods next earnings announcement?
TasFoods has an earnings announcement date listed as 2026-02-26. Confirm on ASX releases or the company website before trading decisions, as dates may change.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
