HOCN.SW HOCHDORF (SIX) at CHF1.588 on 19 Jan 2026: oversold bounce may target CHF2.40
We see HOCN.SW stock trading at CHF1.588 at market close on 19 Jan 2026, a level that looks like an oversold setup after a sharp multi-period decline. Volume was 10,840 shares and the 50-day average sits at CHF1.36. The move is driven by stretched fundamentals and a thin float, creating conditions for a short-term bounce trade in the Switzerland (SIX) market.
Price action and oversold bounce for HOCN.SW stock
HOCN.SW stock closed at CHF1.588 after an intraday low of CHF1.40. One-week and one-month momentum show recovery signs versus steep prior losses. The share has fallen 80.10% over the last year but shows a YTD gain of 253.67%, indicating extreme volatility.
We view the current price as an oversold bounce candidate because the 50-day average (CHF1.36474) sits below the close and the relative volume is low at 0.19 of average. Traders can treat any lift above CHF1.60 as confirmation of short-term strength.
Fundamentals and valuation signals for HOCN.SW stock
HOCHDORF Holding AG reports an EPS of -70.14 and a negative PE of -0.02, reflecting recent losses. Book value per share is CHF6.42 and cash per share is CHF7.34, giving a strong balance-sheet cushion despite weak earnings.
Price-to-book is 0.25 and price-to-sales is 0.01, showing the market values the equity well below its stated assets. These ratios matter when considering a value-driven oversold bounce because asset coverage reduces downside risk.
Technical setup, liquidity and trading metrics for HOCN.SW stock
Market cap is CHF3,413,374.00 with shares outstanding 2,149,480. Average daily volume is 58,254 versus today’s 10,840, signaling low participation. The Keltner channel lower band sits at CHF1.32, which can act as support.
Volatility is high: 6-month change is 286.37%, and 3-month change is 13.43%. We prefer a tight risk plan because low liquidity can widen spreads and increase slippage on entry and exit.
Meyka AI rates and forecast for HOCN.SW stock
Meyka AI rates HOCN.SW with a score out of 100: 62.18 | Grade B | HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are informational and not financial advice.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a short-term bounce to CHF2.40 and a 12-month scenario near CHF4.00 versus the current CHF1.588. That implies a short-term upside of about 51.10% and a 12-month upside of about 151.87%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks, catalysts and sector context for HOCN.SW stock
Key risks include ongoing negative earnings, thin liquidity, and brand exposure in Packaged Foods. Interest coverage is negative at -1.07, which flags operating stress. HOCHDORF operates in Switzerland and global markets, so export trends matter.
Catalysts that could trigger a stronger bounce include clearer earnings guidance, margin improvement in Baby Care, or asset sales. The Consumer Defensive sector average P/B is 2.36, much higher than HOCHDORF’s 0.25, showing valuation disparity.
Practical oversold bounce strategy for HOCN.SW stock
We recommend a staged approach for the oversold bounce trade. Consider a first entry size on strength above CHF1.70 and add on confirmed volume above CHF2.00. Place a protective stop below CHF1.30 to limit downside.
Target levels for partial profit-taking are CHF2.40 and CHF4.00 based on Meyka AI scenarios. Keep position sizes small due to volatility and low free float.
Final Thoughts
HOCN.SW stock closed at CHF1.588 on 19 Jan 2026 and shows a classic oversold bounce setup. Balance-sheet metrics such as cash per share CHF7.34 and book value CHF6.42 cushion downside, while EPS -70.14 and negative PE highlight earnings stress. Liquidity is low with volume 10,840 against an average 58,254, so trades require tight risk controls. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a short-term target of CHF2.40 (about 51.10% implied upside) and a 12-month scenario near CHF4.00 (about 151.87% implied upside) versus the current CHF1.588. These targets are model projections, not guarantees. For traders seeking an oversold bounce, look for confirmation above CHF1.70 and volume pickup before scaling in. For investors, the stock’s deep valuation gap to sector peers and volatile earnings make it a speculative hold. We provide this analysis as an AI-powered market analysis platform and not as investment advice.
FAQs
What makes HOCN.SW stock an oversold bounce candidate?
HOCN.SW stock trades at CHF1.588 with stretched declines and low relative volume. Strong cash per share (CHF7.34) and low price-to-book (0.25) create asset-backed support, making a short-term bounce plausible if volume returns.
How does Meyka AI rate HOCN.SW stock and why?
Meyka AI rates HOCN.SW 62.18 out of 100 (Grade B, HOLD). The grade balances benchmark and sector comparisons, growth metrics, key financial ratios, and forecast scenarios. Grades are informational, not investment advice.
What price targets and timeframe should traders watch for HOCN.SW stock?
Meyka AI’s model projects CHF2.40 as a short-term bounce target and CHF4.00 over 12 months. These imply about 51.10% and 151.87% upside from CHF1.588. Projections are model-based and not guarantees.
What are the main risks to the HOCN.SW stock rebound thesis?
Main risks include continued negative earnings (EPS -70.14), low liquidity, and operational pressure shown by negative interest coverage. Any missed guidance or margin deterioration could negate the bounce thesis.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
