AVAV AeroVironment (NASDAQ) up 3.77% to $392.86: AI demand hints upside
Shares of AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) closed the market at $392.86 on 19 Jan 2026, up 3.77% on NASDAQ as demand for AI-enabled defense systems pushed volume above average. Our AVAV stock review finds the move follows heavy institutional flows and fresh analyst attention. We note a large year range from $102.25 to $417.86, a market cap of $19.62 billion USD, and active trading with 2,028,829 shares today. This AVAV stock snapshot connects recent earnings, analyst targets, and Meyka AI forecasts to help investors weigh upside and risk while markets are closed.
AVAV stock price action and volume
AVAV stock closed at $392.86, up $14.29 or 3.77%, on volume of 2,028,829 compared with an average volume of 1,122,253. The stock opened at $382.43, touched a day low of $381.00, and a day high of $408.25. One clear claim: trading shows above-average investor interest in NASDAQ-listed AeroVironment, Inc. and reflects momentum off its 50-day average of $289.43 and 200-day average of $254.19.
Earnings, guidance and key financials driving AVAV stock
AeroVironment reported the last quarterly EPS of $0.44, missing consensus by $0.43, while revenue of $472.51 million beat estimates. Management set FY 2026 guidance at $3.40–$3.55 EPS. The company shows a mixed set of metrics: trailing EPS is -1.22, P/E is negative at -322.02, and book value per share is $157.68. One claim per paragraph: the revenue surge (+150.7% year over year last quarter) supports valuation, but negative EPS and cash-flow ratios keep near-term risk elevated.
Analyst ratings, price targets and AVAV analysis
The sell-side leans positive: 2 Strong Buy, 19 Buy, 1 Hold, 1 Sell with a consensus target near $375.41. Recent targets range from $285.00 to $450.00. Goldman trimmed its objective to $429.00 while Needham set $450.00. One claim: analyst coverage shows bullish bias but wide price targets indicate differing views on growth durability and defense spending. For background, see MarketBeat and NASDAQ coverage MarketBeat report and NASDAQ profile.
Technical setup and short interest for AVAV stock
Technically, AVAV shows strong momentum: RSI 67.82, ADX 27.13, ATR 15.47, and MACD histogram positive. The stock is near its 52-week high of $417.86 and above both moving averages. Short interest rose to 3,141,453 shares at the end of December, or 6.3% of float, with a days-to-cover near 3.4. One claim: the mix of momentum and elevated short interest can amplify intraday moves but also raises volatility risk in the NASDAQ trading tape.
Meyka AI grade, valuation metrics and AVAV analysis
Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100: 70.78 / 100, Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry performance, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus. Valuation metrics show price-to-sales 14.32, price-to-book 2.49, current ratio 5.08, and debt-to-equity 0.19. One claim: the grade reflects strong revenue growth, institutional support, and balance-sheet strength, tempered by negative EPS and cash-flow ratios.
Meyka AI forecast and scenario outlook for AVAV stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price of $380.62, a 1-year projection of $252.30, a 3-year target of $326.17, and a 5-year projection of $398.56. Relative to the market close at $392.86, these imply short-term downside of -3.12% (monthly), 1-year downside of -35.79%, 3-year downside of -16.97%, and 5-year upside of +1.45%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. One claim: the model suggests possible consolidation near today’s level, with meaningful variance across multi-year scenarios.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for AVAV stock: AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) closed at $392.86 on 19 Jan 2026 with above-average volume and significant analyst interest. Revenue momentum and FY 2026 guidance support a bullish case, while negative EPS and stretched cash-flow ratios justify caution. Meyka AI rates AVAV 70.78/100 (B+, BUY) and projects a 5-year level near $398.56, implying modest long-term upside of +1.45% versus today’s close. Short-term model outputs show downside risk, including a 1-year projection at $252.30 (-35.79%). We recommend monitoring upcoming earnings on 3 Mar 2026, changes in U.S. defense spending, and shifts in short interest. As an AI-powered market analysis platform, Meyka AI supplies data-driven context. Forecasts are model outputs and not investment guarantees; investors should combine this analysis with their own research and risk tolerance.
FAQs
What drove AVAV stock higher today
AVAV stock rose on heavy volume after institutional buying and analyst coverage. Investors cited strong revenue growth, FY 2026 guidance of $3.40–$3.55 EPS, and demand for AI-enabled defense systems as the main drivers.
What is Meyka AI’s AVAV stock forecast
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly $380.62, 1-year $252.30, 3-year $326.17, and 5-year $398.56. These are model projections, not guarantees, and show mixed short- and long-term scenarios.
What are the main risks for AVAV stock
Key risks include negative trailing EPS, weak operating cash flow, elevated short interest (6.3% of float), and sensitivity to U.S. defense budgets. Execution on high-margin programs and margin recovery are crucial to reduce risk.
Does AVAV pay a dividend or have strong liquidity
AeroVironment does not pay a dividend. Liquidity metrics are strong with a current ratio of 5.08 and cash per share of $21.00, which supports near-term operations despite negative free cash flow per share.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
