Netflix (NFLX) NASDAQ close $88.00 19 Jan 2026: NFLX stock faces earnings test
NFLX stock closed at $88.00 on 19 Jan 2026 as investors positioned ahead of Netflix, Inc.’s Q4 earnings. The share price sat between the session low of $87.78 and high of $88.51, with volume at 48,130,497.00 shares. Key metrics show EPS $2.39 and PE 36.82, and market attention will focus on subscriber trends, content spend and margin guidance. Our earnings spotlight connects these metrics to likely price reaction and analyst expectations ahead of the announcement
Earnings preview: what to watch in NFLX stock
Netflix reports after the close following a market cap of $372,884,453,920.00 and 222 million paid members globally. Watch paid net additions, ARPU guidance and content amortization. One clear trigger: positive subscriber growth above consensus would likely lift the stock; weaker additions or cautious guidance could pressure multiples. Expect management commentary on ad-tier growth and mobile-game monetization
Q4 financials and metrics driving NFLX stock reaction
Trailing metrics show revenue per share $10.22 and free cash flow per share $2.11, with operating margin near 29.14%. Netflix reported EPS $2.39 TTM and a forward PE around 36.82. These ratios imply the market prices durable growth; any downgrade in margin or cash-flow guidance will directly affect the valuation. Also monitor content spend trends and capital allocation comments
Valuation and risk: how cheap or expensive is NFLX stock
Price to sales is 8.60 and price to free cash flow is 41.58, indicating a premium relative to peers in Communication Services. Debt to equity sits at 0.56 and interest coverage is 17.21, showing manageable leverage but high valuation. If revenue growth slows, the P/E and P/FCF multiples may compress quickly. Prepare for volatility around guidance and subscriber cadence
Technical view and trading context for NFLX stock
Technicals show a short-term downtrend: RSI 9.53 and ADX 77.68 point to strong momentum to the downside. The 50-day average is $99.70 and the 200-day average is $113.08, both above the close. Daily volume of 48,130,497.00 exceeded average volume 45,677,190.00, indicating higher engagement into earnings. Traders should expect wider intraday ranges after the report
Analyst consensus and price-target signals for NFLX stock
Brokerage counts show 47 buys, 14 holds, and 2 sells, implying a buy-leaning consensus. There is no single consensus price target in the feed, so watch post-earnings revisions. Our scenario targets range from a conservative $130.00 base case to a bull case near $220.00, and a bear case at $70.00. These targets reflect different assumptions on subscriber traction and margin recovery
Meyka AI grade and forecast for NFLX stock
Meyka AI rates NFLX with a score of 72.83 out of 100 — Grade B+ (BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus and forecasts. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price of $221.02, implying 151.14% upside from the current $88.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. We include this grade to frame relative conviction and risks
Final Thoughts
Netflix closed the session at $88.00 on 19 Jan 2026 with investors focused on the Q4 earnings release. Short-term technicals point to downside momentum while fundamentals show solid margins and cash generation: EPS $2.39, operating margin 29.14%, and free cash flow per share $2.11. Analyst positioning is skewed to buy, but valuation metrics (P/S 8.60, P/FCF 41.58) leave limited room for error. Our scenario range sets a conservative price target of $130.00 (upside 47.73%) and a bull forecast aligned with Meyka AI’s model at $221.02 (upside 151.14%). Remember the balance: strong content and international growth are opportunities, while high multiples and sensitivity to guidance are risks. For real-time updates and model details visit the Meyka AI-powered market analysis on our Netflix page and sources below
FAQs
When does Netflix report earnings and why does it matter for NFLX stock?
Netflix reports Q4 results after the close; the report matters because subscriber growth, ARPU and guidance drive short-term price moves and can shift analyst estimates and multiples
What are the main risks to NFLX stock after earnings?
Main risks include weaker-than-expected paid net additions, lower ARPU, rising content costs, and softer margin guidance — any of which can compress P/E and P/FCF multiples
How should investors interpret Meyka AI’s forecast for NFLX stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast projects $221.02 monthly and is a model-based projection; treat it as one scenario among many, not a guarantee, and combine with fundamental analysis
What valuation levels are realistic for NFLX stock post-earnings?
Realistic scenarios: conservative target $130.00, bull $220.00, bear $70.00. Levels depend on subscriber momentum, margin guidance and content-cost discipline
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
