JPY 1704 pre-market surge for 4100.T Toda Kogyo (JPX) 21 Jan 2026: volume 245,400 flags earnings interest
4100.T stock jumps 23.39% in pre-market trading on JPX to JPY 1704.00 on 21 Jan 2026, as volume hits 245,400 shares versus a 50,571 average. This high-volume mover shows a relative volume of 3.53x, signalling strong trader interest ahead of an earnings date on 9 Feb 2026. We view the move as short-covering and momentum chasing with mixed fundamental signals. Traders should watch liquidity and near-term catalysts closely.
Pre-market volume and price action for 4100.T stock
Toda Kogyo (4100.T) opened pre-market at JPY 1704.00, up 323.00 yen or 23.39% from a JPY 1381.00 close. Volume traded 245,400 shares compared with an average of 51,571.00, giving a relative volume of 3.53.
The surge looks driven by aggressive buy-side flows and possible short-covering. There is no single public catalyst reported on the company site, but the stock moves ahead of the 2026-02-09 earnings announcement and fits high-volume mover behaviour.
Fundamental snapshot and ratios for 4100.T stock
Market cap stands at JPY 8,116,832,880.00 with 5,781,220.00 shares outstanding. Reported EPS is -482.94, and the trailing PE is -2.91, reflecting losses.
Key balance sheet and valuation metrics show price-to-book 0.75, debt-to-equity 2.57, current ratio 1.25, and book value per share 1,974.67. These figures point to a low PB valuation but elevated leverage and negative ROE of -24.10%.
Technical setup and trader signals for 4100.T stock
Momentum indicators are strong: RSI 73.65 (overbought), MACD histogram 23.77, and ADX 27.63 suggests a firm trend. The price sits well above the 50-day (JPY 1,177.02) and 200-day (JPY 1,196.72) averages, marking a technical breakout.
Volatility reads high with ATR 42.00 and MFI 73.11, indicating heavy buying pressure. Traders should expect increased intraday swings and set clear risk limits.
Meyka grade and consensus context for 4100.T stock
Meyka AI rates 4100.T with a score out of 100: 63.27 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Independent research firm rating dated 2026-01-19 shows company rating C- and a recommendation of Strong Sell on several DCF and profitability measures. We present both views to balance momentum with fundamentals.
Valuation, sector comparison and risks for 4100.T stock
Within the Basic Materials sector, peers show higher ROE and lower debt-to-equity; sector average PE is about 17.28. Toda Kogyo’s price-to-sales 0.26 and PB 0.75 imply value, but leverage ratio 2.57 is above sector norms.
Principal risks include continued negative earnings, tight interest coverage 0.38, and cyclical demand for specialty chemicals. Regulatory or product-endmarket shifts would change fundamentals quickly.
Price targets and Meyka AI forecast for 4100.T stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 987.87, a monthly price of JPY 1,525.89, and a three-year figure of JPY 216.75. The yearly forecast implies -42.04% versus the current JPY 1704.00.
Our scenario targets: Bull JPY 2,100.00 (+23.25%), Base JPY 1,200.00 (-29.63%), Bear JPY 900.00 (-47.17%). Use the JPY 1,200.00 base target as a mean-reversion anchor given 50/200-day averages, and treat the model outputs as provisional. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Final Thoughts
4100.T stock is a clear high-volume mover in pre-market on JPX with a JPY 1704.00 print and 245,400 shares traded. Short-term technical momentum is strong, but fundamentals remain mixed: low PB 0.75 and price-to-sales 0.26 contrast with negative EPS -482.94 and heavy leverage (debt-to-equity 2.57). Meyka AI’s yearly forecast of JPY 987.87 implies a -42.04% downside versus the current price, while a one-month model view near JPY 1,525.89 shows a smaller drawdown of -10.46%. Traders looking at 4100.T stock should balance momentum plays with earnings risk for the 2026-02-09 report. For quick reference and live data, see the company site Toda Kogyo and our stock page Meyka 4100.T. Meyka AI provides this as AI-powered market analysis; forecasts and grades are model outputs and not investment advice.
FAQs
Why did 4100.T stock spike in pre-market trading?
4100.T stock rose on heavy pre-market volume, likely due to short-covering and momentum ahead of the 2026-02-09 earnings date. No single public news item was reported on the company site at the time.
What are the key risks for 4100.T stock investors?
Key risks include negative EPS -482.94, high debt-to-equity 2.57, weak interest coverage 0.38, and sensitivity to demand in specialty chemicals and electronic materials.
What price targets and forecasts apply to 4100.T stock?
Meyka AI projects yearly JPY 987.87 (implied -42.04%). Scenario targets: Bull JPY 2,100.00, Base JPY 1,200.00, Bear JPY 900.00. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
