ABFRL.NS Aditya Birla Fashion (NSE) down 4.84% on 20 Jan 2026: heavy volume signals trader focus
ABFRL.NS stock closed lower on 20 Jan 2026 after a sharp intraday move, ending at INR 67.85, down 4.84% on the NSE as the market closed. Trading volume jumped to 92,217,350 shares, roughly 24.94x its 3,698,809 average, placing ABFRL.NS among the most active names today. The move follows persistent investor focus on margins and inventory metrics as the company heads into its next earnings on 11 Feb 2026. We assess price drivers, fundamentals and what Meyka AI’s grade and forecasts imply for traders and investors.
ABFRL.NS stock price action and liquidity
ABFRL.NS stock closed at INR 67.85 on 20 Jan 2026, down 4.84% from the previous close of INR 71.30. Volume was 92,217,350.00 shares versus an average of 3,698,809.00, a large intraday liquidity surge that made the stock one of the market’s most active names.
The high volume suggests institutional or algorithmic participation, and the gap below the 50-day average (INR 76.60) increased selling pressure as the market closed on the NSE in India.
ABFRL.NS stock fundamentals snapshot
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL.NS) reports an EPS of -6.50 and a reported PE of -11.06, reflecting trailing losses. Book value per share is INR 55.02 and price-to-book is 1.40, which shows market pricing below some historical valuation points.
Key balance metrics include a current ratio of 1.43 and debt-to-equity of 0.91. Market capitalization stands at INR 87.43 billion with shares outstanding 1,216,215,063.00. These figures frame the company’s recovery runway and leverage profile ahead of the February earnings report.
ABFRL.NS stock technicals and short-term setup
Technical indicators show neutral momentum: RSI 50.40, MACD histogram 0.21 and ADX 22.65. The price is trading under the 50-day moving average (INR 76.60) and 200-day average (INR 105.85), limiting near-term upside until a decisive reclaim of INR 76.60.
Volatility measures show ATR 2.09 and Bollinger middle band near INR 76.66. Traders focused on intraday ranges should watch support near INR 65.78 and resistance near INR 68.99 for short-term trades.
Meyka AI grade and ABFRL.NS stock forecast
Meyka AI rates ABFRL.NS with a score out of 100: 56.90 / 100, Grade C+, Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of INR 46.31 and a yearly target of INR 32.77. Compared with the current price INR 67.85, that implies an implied downside of -31.76% for the monthly projection and -51.71% for the yearly projection. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Catalysts, sector context and risks for ABFRL.NS stock
ABFRL.NS operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where the sector average PE is 35.60, showing the stock trades at a valuation discount given negative earnings. Upcoming catalysts include the earnings announcement on 11 Feb 2026, seasonal festival sales data, and any margin guidance from management.
Primary risks are negative EPS, high inventory days (inventory turnover 1.70), and net debt to EBITDA near 4.98, which raise sensitivity to demand shocks. Positive outcomes would be margin improvement and faster inventory turns.
Trading takeaway, price targets and analyst view on ABFRL.NS stock
Given current metrics, we set scenario-based price targets for ABFRL.NS stock on the NSE in India: Bear INR 32.77 (Meyka yearly model), Base INR 46.31 (Meyka monthly model), Bull INR 95.00 (recovery to nearer-term valuation with margin improvement). These targets are illustrative and reflect model outputs plus a recovery scenario.
Volume and volatility make ABFRL.NS suitable for active traders watching earnings and retail demand signals. Investors should weigh margin recovery evidence before adding position size.
Final Thoughts
ABFRL.NS stock closed the session at INR 67.85 on 20 Jan 2026 with heavy trading volume of 92,217,350.00 shares, marking it as one of the market’s most active names. Fundamentals show negative EPS (-6.50) and a PE below zero (-11.06), while valuation metrics such as PB 1.40 and current ratio 1.43 indicate a company with asset backing but near-term profit strain. Meyka AI rates the stock 56.90 / 100 (C+, HOLD) and its forecast model projects INR 46.31 (monthly) and INR 32.77 (yearly), implying downside of -31.76% and -51.71% respectively versus today’s close. Traders should monitor the 50-day average INR 76.60, earnings on 11 Feb 2026, and inventory trends as key triggers. For more company specifics visit the official site ABFRL and check real-time quotes on the NSE ABFRL quote. Meyka AI’s models and grade offer data-driven context but are not investment advice.
FAQs
What is the current ABFRL.NS stock price and recent change?
ABFRL.NS stock closed at INR 67.85 on 20 Jan 2026, down 4.84% from the prior close of INR 71.30. Trading volume was 92,217,350 shares, well above the average of 3,698,809 shares.
What grade does Meyka AI assign to ABFRL.NS stock?
Meyka AI rates ABFRL.NS with a score out of 100: 56.90, Grade C+, Suggestion HOLD. The grade factors in benchmark and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics and analyst consensus.
What are the Meyka AI forecast targets for ABFRL.NS stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of INR 46.31 and a yearly target of INR 32.77. These are model-based projections and not guarantees.
When is ABFRL.NS expected to report earnings?
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited is scheduled to announce earnings on 11 Feb 2026. Traders should watch that report for margin guidance and inventory updates.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
