After-hours: OCI.AS OCI N.V. (EURONEXT) jumps 10.22% to €3.43: catalyst and next steps

After-hours: OCI.AS OCI N.V. (EURONEXT) jumps 10.22% to €3.43: catalyst and next steps

OCI.NV shares rose after hours, with OCI.AS stock up 10.22% to €3.43 on volume 1,552,833 as markets reacted to a Dutch court pause on the planned OCI–Orascom tie-up. The jump followed legal uncertainty over minority shareholder rights, a clear near-term catalyst that lifted trading in Europe on EURONEXT. We review valuation, technicals, Meyka AI grading, and model forecasts to explain the move and where the market may look next.

After-hours move and catalyst

OCI N.V. (OCI.AS) gained 10.22% in after-hours trade to €3.43, with an intraday high of €3.46 and low of €3.23. This price action followed news that a Dutch court paused the OCI–Orascom tie-up, creating short-term re-pricing on perceived deal risk and control issues. The Bloomberg report flagged minority shareholder concerns as the immediate trigger source.

Valuation snapshot for OCI.AS stock

OCI N.V. trades at €3.43 with market cap €706,646,756.00 and shares outstanding 210,939,330. Key ratios: EPS -€1.33, PE -2.52, and PB 0.46. The 50-day average price is €3.17 and the 200-day average is €5.38, showing near-term strength but longer-term weakness versus the 200-day trend. These metrics indicate a cheap book valuation but ongoing earnings and cash-flow pressure.

Technical and trading signals

Volume surged to 1,552,833, versus average volume 1,354,076, giving a relative volume of 2.19. Momentum indicators show a neutral-short trend: RSI 46.48, MACD histogram 0.02, and ADX 12.29. Bollinger Bands sit Upper €3.19 / Middle €2.99 / Lower €2.79, suggesting the stock is testing the upper short-term band. Traders should note high intraday volatility and a year low at €2.55 and year high €11.72.

Meyka AI rates OCI.AS with a score out of 100

Meyka AI rates OCI.AS with a score out of 100: 68.20 (B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The rating balances strong book value and cash per share against weak operating cash flow and negative EPS. These grades are not guarantees and we are not financial advisors.

Meyka AI model forecast and price targets

Meyka AI’s short-term monthly forecast is €2.57 and the quarterly projection is €5.00. Using the current price €3.43, the quarterly projection implies an upside of +45.78% and the monthly projection implies a downside of -25.07%. Analysts should treat these as model-based projections, not guarantees. For practical planning, we set a near-term trader target of €4.50 and a conservative longer-term target of €5.00 based on peer valuation and restart of deal clarity.

Risks, sector context and catalysts to watch

Key risks include legal outcomes around the OCI–Orascom deal, continued negative operating cash flow, and global nitrogen and methanol price swings. OCI operates in Basic Materials, Chemicals – Specialty, a sector with variable commodity exposure and average PB around 1.77. Positive catalysts: court clearance, stronger methanol margins, and any confirmatory statements from partners. Monitor the next earnings announcement on 2026-02-17 for updated guidance and cash-flow details.

Final Thoughts

OCI.AS stock moved sharply after hours on legal news, testing both trader interest and valuation narratives. Current price is €3.43 on EURONEXT in Europe, with EPS -€1.33, PE -2.52, and PB 0.46. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a near-term monthly level of €2.57 and a quarterly projection of €5.00, implying a potential +45.78% upside to the quarterly figure and -25.07% to the monthly figure versus today. The Meyka grade of 68.20 (B, HOLD) reflects mixed fundamentals: solid book value and cash per share versus weak operating cash flow and legal uncertainty. Investors should watch the Dutch court timeline, OCI’s 2026-02-17 earnings update, and commodity margins for nitrogen and methanol. These variables will determine if the after-hours gain extends or if volatility resumes. Meyka AI provides this as AI-powered market analysis; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

FAQs

What drove the after-hours jump in OCI.AS stock?

The after-hours rise to €3.43 followed a Dutch court pause on the OCI–Orascom tie-up, which changed deal risk perceptions and pushed higher trading volumes in OCI on EURONEXT. Bloomberg covered the court action as the immediate catalyst.

What are the key valuation metrics for OCI N.V. (OCI.AS)?

Key metrics: Price €3.43, EPS -€1.33, PE -2.52, PB 0.46, market cap €706,646,756.00, 50-day avg €3.17, 200-day avg €5.38. These show low price-to-book but strained cash flow.

What does Meyka AI forecast for OCI.AS stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects €2.57 monthly and €5.00 quarterly. Versus the current price €3.43, that implies a downside of -25.07% to the monthly figure and upside of +45.78% to the quarterly figure.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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