CHF0.38 VPOL.SW VanEck Polygon ETN A (SIX) AH 21 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce
The VPOL.SW stock fell to CHF 0.3775 (rounded CHF 0.38) in after-hours trade on 21 Jan 2026, down -9.49% from the prior close. Volume spiked to 500 versus an average of 20, lifting relative volume to 25.00. The move left the exchange traded note deeply oversold on RSI 18.62, creating a clear short-term bounce setup for traders watching the SIX-listed VanEck Polygon ETN A. Below we unpack liquidity, technical triggers, price targets, and modeled forecasts to frame a measured oversold-bounce play.
VPOL.SW stock technical snapshot
VPOL.SW stock trades on the SIX in Switzerland with a current price of CHF 0.3775. The day range was CHF 0.3775–0.3775, year high CHF 2.54 and year low CHF 0.3775. Volume was 500 versus avg volume 20, so the trade shows heavy short-term activity.
Momentum reads deeply oversold: RSI 18.62, MACD histogram -0.01, and ADX 70.51 signaling a strong trend. Price sits below the 50-day average CHF 0.59 and 200-day average CHF 0.70, which frames the bounce as a mean-reversion opportunity rather than a trend reversal.
Why the drop matters and underlying exposure
VanEck Polygon ETN A is a fully collateralized ETN that tracks MATIC, so VPOL.SW stock mirrors crypto flows and MATIC market moves. The sharp fall today likely reflects spot selling in MATIC and low liquidity on the SIX listing rather than a fund-specific credit event.
Market cap sits at CHF 569,624.00 with 1,508,938 shares outstanding. The small market cap and narrow listing amplify swings and create higher execution risk for larger buyers.
Oversold bounce setup and trade triggers
The key short-term trigger is the oversold RSI at 18.62. On a bounce setup we watch for two confirmations: a 20% daily relief from CHF 0.3775 and a rebound above the 10-day average near CHF 0.41. A volume pick-up above 1,000 would validate buyer interest.
Traders can use tight risk control: stop-loss under the day low CHF 0.3775 and scale out at CHF 0.60 and CHF 1.20 as defined targets.
Liquidity, volatility and sector context
VPOL.SW stock shows thin liquidity with average volume 20 and current volume 500. That yields high slippage risk for orders above CHF 1,000 in value. Volatility indicators report ATR CHF 0.02 and relVolume 25.00, both pointing to large intraday swings.
In the Financial Services sector, asset-management ETFs and ETNs typically show more stable volumes. VPOL.SW’s crypto exposure increases volatility versus sector peers, so position sizing must reflect higher risk.
Price targets, forecast and scenarios
Reasonable near-term targets for an oversold bounce are CHF 0.60 (near-term resistance) and CHF 1.20 (deeper retracement). From CHF 0.3775, those targets imply upside of +58.95% and +217.82% respectively.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly CHF 0.02, quarterly CHF 0.06 and yearly CHF 0.05045. Compared to the current price CHF 0.3775, the yearly projection implies -86.60% downside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Meyka AI grading and analyst view on VPOL.SW stock
Meyka AI rates VPOL.SW with a score out of 100: 62.65 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors S&P 500 and sector benchmarks, industry comparison, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus.
Analyst view: we see an oversold bounce trade for nimble traders. For longer-term investors, exposure to MATIC and tiny market cap create elevated credit and liquidity risks. For more detail visit the Meyka VPOL.SW page: Meyka VPOL.SW page. For product details see VanEck: VanEck product page and MATIC market context: Polygon (MATIC) on CoinMarketCap.
Final Thoughts
VPOL.SW stock presents a classic oversold-bounce setup after the after-hours drop to CHF 0.3775 on 21 Jan 2026. Short-term traders can target CHF 0.60 then CHF 1.20 with tight stops below the day low. The ETN’s tiny market cap CHF 569,624.00, thin average volume 20, and direct MATIC exposure raise execution and structural risks for larger positions. Meyka AI’s model projects a yearly figure of CHF 0.05045, implying -86.60% versus the current price CHF 0.3775; this highlights the wide range of outcomes possible. Use small position sizes, watch volume above 1,000 as validation, and treat any bounce as tactical. Meyka AI provides this AI-powered market analysis but these grades and forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
FAQs
What caused VPOL.SW stock to fall after hours on 21 Jan 2026?
The after-hours drop reflects selling pressure in MATIC and thin SIX liquidity. Volume rose to 500 from an average of 20, amplifying moves. There was no fund credit event reported.
Is VPOL.SW stock a buy after the oversold signal?
For traders, the RSI 18.62 creates a short-term bounce trade. For investors, small market cap and crypto exposure increase risk. Position sizing and strict stops are essential.
What are realistic price targets for VPOL.SW stock?
Near-term bounce targets: CHF 0.60 (first) and CHF 1.20 (secondary). From CHF 0.3775, those imply +58.95% and +217.82% upside respectively.
How does Meyka AI rate VPOL.SW stock?
Meyka AI rates VPOL.SW with a score out of 100: 62.65 (Grade B, Suggestion: HOLD). The grade uses sector and benchmark comparisons, growth metrics, forecasts and consensus.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
