13 Jan 2026 JPX close: Kaonavi (4435.T) JPY 4,365 bounce setup: watch volume
The 4435.T stock (Kaonavi, Inc.) closed on JPX at JPY 4,365.00 on 13 Jan 2026, showing an intraday low near a short-term support band. Volume was 44,200 shares, above the 15,529 average, signalling a potential oversold bounce. Traders can treat the move as a short-term reversal set-up, with tight risk controls and clear targets. We review technical triggers, valuation metrics, and an analyst-style outlook to frame a pragmatic trading plan.
4435.T stock snapshot and intraday context
Kaonavi, Inc. (4435.T) closed on JPX at JPY 4,365.00 with an unchanged daily move and day range JPY 4,365.00–4,370.00. Market cap is about JPY 52.12B, EPS is JPY 68.09, and trailing PE on the live quote is 64.11. Daily volume was 44,200 versus an average volume of 15,529, giving a relative volume of 2.85, which supports the oversold bounce thesis.
The Keltner channel for the day sits at middle JPY 4,365.00, upper JPY 4,385.00, lower JPY 4,345.00, and ATR reads JPY 10.00. That structure suggests a tight intraday band and a low-volatility entry zone for short-term traders targeting a bounce.
Technical case for an oversold bounce on 4435.T stock
Short-term technicals show price at the Keltner middle with above-average volume, a classic setup for a quick mean-reversion trade. The stock’s 3‑month change is -0.34% while 6‑month change is +130.34%, so short-term weakness can produce sharp bounces when volume appears.
Key trade plan: use JPY 4,200.00 as a protective stop in a swing trade and target JPY 4,500.00 for an initial take-profit. A move above JPY 4,800.00 would confirm larger bullish follow-through.
Fundamentals and valuation in the 4435.T stock analysis
Kaonavi operates in Technology, Software – Infrastructure, and reports a high gross margin of 76.28% and net margin of 2.08%. The company shows cash per share JPY 470.84 and book value per share JPY 218.94, giving a price-to-book near 19.94 on current quotes.
Valuation looks rich on standard multiples: trailing PE is 64.11; price-to-sales is 7.18. These metrics justify caution for buy-and-hold investors, even as short-term technicals invite an oversold bounce trade.
Meyka AI rating and model forecast for 4435.T stock
Meyka AI rates 4435.T with a score out of 100: 73.53 / 100, Grade B+ — Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, analyst consensus, and fundamental growth. These grades are informative only and not financial advice.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month target of JPY 906.76 vs current JPY 4,365.00, an implied downside of -79.25%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use the model as one input, not a sole decision driver.
Price targets, scenarios and implied returns for 4435.T stock
Scenario targets for an oversold bounce: short-term target JPY 4,500.00 (implied upside +3.09%), secondary resistance JPY 4,800.00 (implied upside +9.98%), and downside support JPY 4,200.00 (implied downside -3.78%). Use these to size risk and set stop-loss levels.
Longer-term fair value is mixed: conservative investors note elevated PB 19.94 and PE 64.11. Active traders can exploit intraday confirmation at volume above 44,200 for a high-probability bounce.
Risks, catalysts and trading checklist for 4435.T stock
Primary risks: rich multiples, slowing EPS growth (EPS growth recent year roughly -55.35%), and low free cash flow visibility. A negative earnings surprise or sector pullback could erase short-term gains.
Catalysts that support the bounce: stronger-than-expected contract wins, positive product adoption news from Kaonavi, and sector strength in Technology on JPX. Entry checklist: price above Keltner middle, volume > 15,529 average, and stop at JPY 4,200.00.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways on 4435.T stock: Kaonavi closed JPX at JPY 4,365.00 on 13 Jan 2026 with elevated volume, presenting a clear oversold bounce trade for short-term traders. Technicals favour a tight swing entry with an initial target at JPY 4,500.00 (+3.09%) and a protective stop near JPY 4,200.00 (-3.78%). Valuation metrics remain rich—trailing PE 64.11 and PB 19.94—so longer-term investors should prioritise fundamentals and earnings clarity.
Meyka AI rates 4435.T with a score out of 100 at 73.53 (B+, suggestion: BUY). Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month figure of JPY 906.76, an implied downside of -79.25% versus the current price; this highlights divergence between statistical models and market pricing. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Traders using the oversold bounce strategy should keep tight stops, confirm volume follow-through, and watch upcoming earnings and product news for trend confirmation. For more company details visit the Kaonavi website and JPX listings for official filings JPX. Meyka is the AI-powered market analysis platform used to generate these metrics.
FAQs
Is 4435.T stock a buy after the JPX close bounce?
For short-term traders, 4435.T stock shows a buyable oversold bounce with volume confirmation and a tight stop. Long-term buyers should weigh rich multiples and wait for clearer earnings recovery before adding exposure.
What are near-term price targets for 4435.T stock?
Near-term targets: JPY 4,500.00 (initial) and JPY 4,800.00 (confirming breakout). Use a stop near JPY 4,200.00 to manage downside risk in this bounce strategy.
How does Meyka AI evaluate 4435.T stock?
Meyka AI assigns 4435.T 73.53/100 (Grade B+, suggestion BUY). The score blends sector, growth, metrics, forecasts, and analyst signals. Grades are informational, not investment advice.
How should I manage risk trading an oversold bounce in 4435.T stock?
Size positions to risk no more than 1–2% of capital per trade, set a stop near JPY 4,200.00, confirm volume above average, and take partial profits at JPY 4,500.00 to lock gains.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
