3814.T Alphax Food System (JPX) up 37.07% intraday Jan 29 2026: monitor volume-led breakout
3814.T stock jumped 37.07% intraday on 29 Jan 2026 as trading volume spiked. Alphax Food System Co., Ltd (3814.T) on the JPX opened at JPY 101.00, touched a high of JPY 163.00, and traded 1,281,800 shares versus an average of 543,810. The move looks volume-led rather than news-driven. We examine price action, valuation, and short-term scenarios to help traders assess risk and opportunity for this high-volume mover in Japan.
Intraday price and volume action for 3814.T stock
Alphax Food System (3814.T) recorded a raw intraday swing. The stock opened at JPY 101.00, previous close was JPY 116.00, and the last print was JPY 159.00. Day low was JPY 99.00 and day high was JPY 163.00.
Volume was 1,281,800 shares, 2.36x the average of 543,810. This level of volume makes the move statistically significant for a small-cap name on the JPX and suggests either block buying or rapid position rotation by market participants.
Drivers and news context for 3814.T stock
We find no regulatory filing or earnings release tied to the spike on the company site AFS corporate site. The intraday surge looks driven by market flows rather than a company statement.
Alphax sells POS and robotics for food service and is visible to theme traders looking at automation in hospitality. Traders should monitor the company site and exchange notices for any follow-up. Internal liquidity and small share count can amplify moves.
Fundamentals and valuation snapshot for 3814.T stock
Key metrics show mixed fundamentals. EPS is JPY 16.11 and reported PE is 9.87 on the raw quote, with TTM pe ~13.29. Price-to-sales is 0.78, and price-to-book is 8.22. Market cap is JPY 624,669,501.00 and shares outstanding are 3,928,739.
Liquidity and balance-sheet signals warrant caution. Current ratio is 0.86, working capital is negative JPY 89,000,000.00, and debt-to-equity reads 14.57. Return on equity is unusually high at 62.25% but may reflect a small equity base. These ratios affect valuation and must be weighed against the company’s niche product set.
Technicals, momentum and trading signals for 3814.T stock
Short-term technicals show divergence from moving averages. The 50-day average is JPY 256.72 and the 200-day average is JPY 316.33, both well above the current price. ATR is JPY 32.00, indicating large daily swings.
The price jump above near-term resistance paired with 2.36x average volume creates a breakout scenario. Traders should watch follow-through volume and the Keltner channel bounds at JPY 95.00 (lower) and JPY 223.00 (upper) for intraday risk controls.
Meyka AI grade and model outlook for 3814.T stock
Meyka AI rates 3814.T with a score out of 100: 66.04 (B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 118.77. Compared with the current JPY 159.00, that implies a -25.23% downside to the modelled yearly figure. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For more company detail visit the firm profile image and data here. Meyka AI provides this as one input among many for traders and investors.
Risks, catalysts and short-term trading plan for 3814.T stock
Risks: small free float, negative working capital, inventory days at 184.03, and a stretched price-to-book. These raise liquidity and operational risks. The Industrial sector average PE is 17.93, higher than Alphax on many measures, which may limit rerating potential.
Catalysts: product wins in restaurant automation, contract rollouts, or any JPX filings could sustain gains. A short-term plan: define stop-loss below JPY 99.00 intraday and consider scaling out on strength above JPY 163.00. Use tight position sizing because the stock is volatile.
Final Thoughts
The intraday jump in 3814.T stock on 29 Jan 2026 is a clear high-volume event. Price action shows a JPY 43.00 move and 1,281,800 shares traded, more than double average volume. Fundamentals are mixed: EPS JPY 16.11, PE around 9.87–13.29, but negative working capital and long inventory days raise operational risk. Meyka AI’s score of 66.04 (B, HOLD) reflects a balanced view between value metrics and structural risk. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 118.77 for the year, implying -25.23% versus the current JPY 159.00. Traders should treat today’s spike as a liquidity-driven opportunity and not a confirmed trend change. Watch exchange notices and follow-through volume. For intraday traders, set tight stops. For investors, wait for clearer financial progress or confirmatory filings before adding to a portfolio. This analysis is provided by Meyka AI, an AI-powered market analysis platform.
FAQs
What caused the intraday move in 3814.T stock on Jan 29 2026?
The move appears volume-driven. Alphax Food System (3814.T) lacked an immediate company filing. High relative volume of 1,281,800 shares suggests block trades or rapid rotation rather than a public announcement.
How does valuation compare for 3814.T stock versus its sector?
Alphax trades at a PE near 9.87–13.29, below the Industrials average PE of 17.93. Price-to-sales is 0.78, but price-to-book is high at 8.22, reflecting a thin equity base and valuation complexity.
What is Meyka AI’s forecast and how should traders use it for 3814.T stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 118.77 for the year. Versus current JPY 159.00, that implies -25.23%. Use this as a model-based input, not a guarantee, and combine it with volume and filings before trading.
What short-term trading guardrails suit 3814.T stock after the surge?
Given volatility, use tight stops and scale positions. Key intraday levels: stop below JPY 99.00, watch resistance at JPY 163.00. Keep position size small due to the small market cap and wide ATR (JPY 32.00).
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
