4361.T Kawaguchi Chemical (JPX) +29.49% to JPY 1910.00 20 Jan 2026: momentum test
The 4361.T stock jumped 29.49% to JPY 1910.00 on JPX on 20 Jan 2026 on unusually high volume of 183000.00 shares. The move pushed the share price above the 50-day average of JPY 1480.30 and well above the prior close of JPY 1475.00, signalling heavy buying interest. We track the trade drivers, valuation, and the short-term technical outlook that explain why this high-volume mover matters for Japan’s Chemicals – Specialty group and sector rotations into Basic Materials.
Trade summary and intraday flow for 4361.T stock
Kawaguchi Chemical Industry Co., Ltd (4361.T) closed at JPY 1910.00, up JPY 435.00 or 29.49% on 20 Jan 2026. The stock opened at JPY 1512.00, hit a day low of JPY 1505.00 and a day high of JPY 1910.00. Volume spiked to 183000.00, roughly 23.41 times the average volume of 7811.00, marking a clear high-volume mover. One clear driver: concentrated buy orders overwhelmed available liquidity and created a short-term squeeze on a low-float base of 1,217,388.00 shares outstanding.
Valuation snapshot: cheap multiples and dividend yield
Kawaguchi Chemical trades at a trailing PE of 6.61 with EPS of 228.33, and a price-to-book of 0.59, indicating value-style metrics versus the Basic Materials sector. Market cap stands at JPY 1838255880.00 and dividend per share is JPY 60.00, giving a yield near 3.97%. These metrics help explain why the stock attracts attention when buying spikes, as the valuation allows risk-taking by yield-seeking and value buyers.
Meyka AI rates 4361.T with a score out of 100 and technical read
Meyka AI rates 4361.T with a score out of 100: Score 70.13 | Grade B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Technical indicators show RSI 55.02, MACD histogram turning positive, and CCI 170.01 (overbought). The short-term technical picture supports momentum but warns of consolidation risk after a large one-day gain.
Financial trends and risk drivers in the 4361.T analysis
Fiscal growth data to 2024 shows net income growth 31.60% and EPS growth 31.61%, while operating cash flow trends are weaker. Debt-to-equity is 1.12 and interest coverage is 11.34, which reduces solvency concerns but leaves leverage as a watch item. Key risks: inventory cycles (days inventory 92.51) and receivables lag (DSO 136.22), which can amplify volatility for a small-cap chemical specialist.
Catalysts, sector context and trading strategy
Catalysts that could sustain the move include confirmed stronger domestic demand for rubber and plastic additives, a positive quarterly update ahead of the 2026-04-06 earnings announcement, or sector rotation into Basic Materials. The Basic Materials sector YTD is positive and market participants have rotated into cyclicals. For traders, consider scaling into strength with stop-loss near JPY 1505.00 or targeting partial profit at JPY 2200.00 while long-term investors should weigh valuation and cash flow trends.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways: the 4361.T stock surge to JPY 1910.00 on 20 Jan 2026 was a classic high-volume mover driven by concentrated buying against a small float and value-style valuation. Valuation metrics — PE 6.61, PB 0.59, and dividend yield near 3.97% — explain buyer interest, but weak operating cash flow trends and inventory cycles add risk. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month mean near JPY 1509.64, implying an estimated downside of -20.96% from today’s close; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For active traders, short-term momentum and a conservative upside target of JPY 2200.00 could work, while longer-term investors should wait for stronger cash flow signals or confirmatory earnings on 2026-04-06. Meyka AI’s grade and this analysis are informational and not financial advice.
FAQs
Why did 4361.T stock spike on 20 Jan 2026?
The spike followed concentrated buying against low float, pushing volume to 183000.00 and the price to JPY 1910.00. Value metrics and a dividend yield near 3.97% attracted buyers during a sector rotation into Basic Materials.
What valuation metrics matter for 4361.T analysis?
Key metrics: trailing PE 6.61, PB 0.59, EPS 228.33, and dividend per share JPY 60.00. These show low relative valuation but watch operating cash flow and debt levels.
How does Meyka AI view 4361.T stock going forward?
Meyka AI rates 4361.T 70.13/100 (B+, BUY) and projects a 12-month model price of JPY 1509.64. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees; use them with other research.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
