6411.T Nakano Refrigerators (JPX) closed JPY 7,860 on 23 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce ahead
The 6411.T stock closed JPY 7,860.00 on 23 Jan 2026 at market close, showing a short-term oversold setup after low intraday range between JPY 7,830.00 and JPY 7,860.00. Trading volume of 18,400 shares was about 3.66x the average, signalling fresh intraday interest. With a trailing PE of 20.92 and EPS 375.71, Nakano Refrigerators (6411.T) trades near fair value versus the Industrials sector. We outline why this profile suits an oversold-bounce strategy and the triggers to watch in Japan (JPX) markets.
6411.T stock: closing price, volume and intraday action
Nakano Refrigerators (6411.T) ended the session at JPY 7,860.00 on the JPX with 18,400 shares traded on 23 Jan 2026. Volume was 3.66 times average, suggesting a concentrated buy-and-hold interest after earlier weakness. Day range was narrow, with a low of JPY 7,830.00 and high of JPY 7,860.00, consistent with an oversold pause that can precede a bounce.
6411.T stock: technical snapshot and oversold bounce setup
Short-term indicators show a classic oversold-bounce profile: compressed daily range, high relative volume, and Keltner channels centered at JPY 7,860.00 (middle). The ADX reads 100.00, indicating the recent directional move was strong, so expecting a volatility rebound. Traders should watch a break above JPY 7,900.00 for a confirmed short-term reversal and stops below JPY 7,780.00.
6411.T stock: fundamentals and valuation metrics
Nakano Refrigerators reports EPS 375.71 and a trailing PE of 20.92, with price-to-book at 1.55 and price-to-sales 1.20, suggesting modest premium to book. The company holds strong liquidity: current ratio 4.50 and cash per share JPY 3,355.92, with low debt-to-equity 0.03. Net margin is 5.74% and ROE 7.43%, showing steady profitability in Industrial – Machinery.
6411.T stock: Meyka AI grade and model forecasts
Meyka AI rates 6411.T with a score out of 100: 70.16 | Grade B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1-year value of JPY 6,819.11, 3-year JPY 7,135.62, and 5-year JPY 7,479.29, compared with the current JPY 7,860.00; that implies a near-term model downside of -13.22% to the 1-year forecast. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
6411.T stock: catalysts, risks and sector context
Positive catalysts include steady FY2024 growth (net income +13.08%) and strong working capital (JPY 20,111,230,000.00), which support margins and after-sales services. Sector peers trade at average PE 18.20 so Nakano’s PE 20.92 is slightly higher than the Industrials average. Key risks are cyclical refrigeration orders and slower commercial construction spending that would reduce unit volumes; monitor order intake and MD accessory contracts.
6411.T stock: trading strategy for an oversold bounce
For short-term traders consider a staged entry on pullbacks to JPY 7,800.00–7,820.00 with a target first leg to JPY 8,200.00 and conservative stop loss at JPY 7,720.00. For swing positions, confirm momentum above JPY 8,300.00 and reassess if volume fails to stay above average. Always size positions to limit downside to predefined risk levels and use JPX trading hours to manage fills.
Final Thoughts
6411.T stock closed JPY 7,860.00 on 23 Jan 2026 in a low-range, high-volume session that fits an oversold-bounce thesis. Fundamentals are solid: EPS 375.71, PE 20.92, PB 1.55, current ratio 4.50, and a market cap of JPY 39,374,387,040.00. Meyka AI rates 6411.T at 70.16 (B+ | BUY) but the model 1-year projection of JPY 6,819.11 implies a model downside of -13.22%, signalling that near-term upside will depend on renewed order momentum or stronger after-sales demand. Practical approach: treat this as a tactical bounce trade with tight risk controls near JPY 7,720.00, scale out at resistance near JPY 8,200.00–8,300.00, and monitor sector PE and order trends. Remember, Meyka AI’s forecasts are model-based and not guarantees; align trade size with risk tolerance and confirm signals on higher volume or macro catalysts.
FAQs
What makes 6411.T stock eligible for an oversold bounce trade?
High relative volume (18,400, 3.66x avg) and a narrow day range with ADX 100.00 indicate a sharp prior move and potential short-term reversal. Look for confirmation above JPY 7,900.00 and volume to validate a bounce.
How does Nakano Refrigerators’ valuation compare to its sector?
Nakano’s PE 20.92 is slightly above Industrials’ average PE 18.20, while PB 1.55 and strong liquidity (current ratio 4.50) point to a conservative balance sheet versus peers.
What are Meyka AI’s forecast and the implied upside or downside?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 6,819.11 (1-year), JPY 7,135.62 (3-year), and JPY 7,479.29 (5-year). Versus current JPY 7,860.00, the 1-year model implies -13.22% downside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
What short-term price targets should traders watch for 6411.T stock?
For an oversold-bounce plan, first upside target is JPY 8,200.00, next at JPY 8,300.00–8,500.00. Use a stop-loss near JPY 7,720.00 and confirm with rising volume.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
