6411.T Nakano Refrigerators JPX JPY 7,860 pre-market 17 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce targets JPY 8,100

6411.T stock trades at JPY 7,860.00 in pre-market on 17 Jan 2026, setting up a classic oversold bounce after a surge in volume. Nakano Refrigerators Co.,Ltd. (6411.T) saw 18,400 shares trade today versus an average of 5,022.00, giving a relative volume of 3.66. The price sits near the day low JPY 7,830.00 and Keltner lower band JPY 7,840.00, which frames a short-term rebound opportunity for disciplined traders.

Market snapshot: 6411.T stock pre-market price and flow

Nakano Refrigerators (6411.T) opens pre-market at JPY 7,860.00 with an unchanged close reference of JPY 7,860.00. Intraday range today is JPY 7,830.00–7,860.00 and volume is 18,400.00 versus avg volume 5,022.00, flagging above-average participation. Market cap is JPY 39,374,387,040.00 and shares outstanding are 5,009,464.00, confirming a small-cap JPX listing in Japan.

This snapshot shows price pressure near short-term support. The immediate technical context supports an oversold bounce trade, not a trend reversal, so size positions accordingly.

Technical setup and oversold bounce trigger for 6411.T stock

Price hugging the Keltner lower channel (KC lower JPY 7,840.00) with high relative volume suggests a short-term mean reversion. ATR is 10.00, so intraday moves are modest; a bounce toward the KC middle (JPY 7,860.00) or near-term resistance around JPY 8,100.00 is plausible.

Momentum indicators are mixed but volume is decisive: relVolume 3.66 signals active buyers at support. Use tight stops under JPY 7,820.00 and scale size to risk tolerance, since this is an oversold bounce setup rather than a confirmed trend change.

Fundamentals and valuation: 6411.T stock financial snapshot

Nakano Refrigerators posts EPS JPY 375.71 and a trailing PE of 20.92, with a price-to-book of 1.55. The company shows a strong balance sheet: current ratio 4.50 and debt-to-equity 0.03, keeping leverage minimal. Net profit margin is 5.74% and ROE is 7.43%, below the Industrials sector average ROE 10.28% but consistent with steady niche manufacturing performance.

Valuation is roughly in line with sector price-to-sales average 1.03, while the company’s price-to-sales is 1.20. These fundamentals support durability for a short-term bounce but temper expectations for large multi-quarter rallies without new catalysts.

Meyka AI rating and 6411.T stock forecast

Meyka AI rates 6411.T with a score out of 100: the platform gives 6411.T a total score 71.08 and grade B+ (BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The rating is informational and not investment advice.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 6,819.11, implying a -13.25% downside from JPY 7,860.00. The 3-year model point is JPY 7,135.62 (-9.20%) while a 7-year projection reaches JPY 8,009.03 (+1.92%). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Trading plan, targets and risk controls for 6411.T stock

For an oversold bounce trade target short-term resistance at JPY 8,100.00 and a tighter objective at the KC middle JPY 7,860.00. Set initial stop-loss near JPY 7,820.00 to limit downside, and scale out at volume-backed rejections. Use position sizing to risk no more than 1.0%–2.0% of portfolio per trade.

Monitor catalysts: sector flows in Industrials, large orders from retail grocery chains, and any domestic construction or retrofit contracts. If price breaks below JPY 7,800.00 on heavy volume, treat the setup as failed and reassess exposure.

Sector context and upcoming catalysts for 6411.T stock

Nakano sits in Industrials, where 1Y performance is 40.49% and average PE is 18.46, placing 6411.T’s PE 20.92 slightly above sector mean. Demand for refrigerated showcases ties to food retail trends and energy-efficiency upgrades, both sector tailwinds. Watch macro trends such as consumer spending and retail remodel cycles in Japan.

Key company-specific catalysts include order announcements, energy-saving product rollouts, and quarterly earnings releases. For background and company filings see the corporate site source and JPX listings source. For live quotes, see Meyka’s stock page: https://meyka.ai/stocks/6411.T

Final Thoughts

Short-term the 6411.T stock shows a classic oversold bounce setup at JPY 7,860.00 with high relative volume (3.66) and price testing the Keltner lower band JPY 7,840.00. A conservative intraday target is JPY 8,100.00, with a stop under JPY 7,820.00 to protect capital. Fundamentals are solid: EPS JPY 375.71, PE 20.92, low debt-to-equity 0.03, and current ratio 4.50. Meyka AI’s model projects a 1-year figure of JPY 6,819.11 (model downside -13.25%), highlighting potential medium-term headwinds even as a near-term bounce is plausible. Use small, disciplined positions for the oversold bounce, watch volume confirmation, and reassess if price closes below JPY 7,800.00. Meyka AI provides this as an AI-powered market analysis platform insight, not investment advice.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.