9168.T Rise Consulting Group (JPX) falls 17.75% on 15 Jan 2026: watch JPY 560 support

The 9168.T stock (Rise Consulting Group, Inc., JPX) plunged 17.75% to JPY 695.00 at market close on 15 Jan 2026, making it one of Japan’s top losers today. Trading volume reached 53,200.00 shares versus an average of 149,218.00, showing below-average participation on the drop. Investors cited profit-taking after a run from the 2024 lows and a crowded valuation gap versus the Industrials peer group. We review the fundamental, technical and forecast context to explain the move and highlight near-term support at JPY 560.00 and resistance near the 50-day average JPY 842.80.

Market move and context for 9168.T stock

Today’s decline left Rise Consulting Group, Inc. (9168.T) with a one-day change of -150.00 JPY (-17.75%), closing at JPY 695.00 on the JPX, Japan. The stock opened at JPY 695.00 and printed the day’s sole trade price at that level, with volume 53,200.00. This move outpaced the Industrials sector 1D performance of +0.69%, marking a clear idiosyncratic sell-off rather than sector contagion.

The intraday range was narrow (day low/high both JPY 695.00), which points to a low-liquidity gap fill or a block trade impact. Year-to-date the name is down -16.47%, while the 52-week range is JPY 560.00 to JPY 1,344.00.

Fundamentals and valuation for 9168.T stock

Rise reports trailing EPS JPY 61.52 and a PE ratio of 11.30, implying earnings strength behind the share price. Market capitalisation stands at JPY 16,978,551,150.00 with 24,429,570.00 shares outstanding. Key valuation multiples: P/S 2.01, P/B 2.53, and EV/EBITDA 7.16.

Balance-sheet metrics show a current ratio 2.40 and cash per share JPY 115.15, supporting financial flexibility. The company pays a modest dividend of JPY 9.00 per share (payout ratio 0.14). These fundamentals help explain why some investors view the drop as a buying opportunity rather than a structural concern.

Technical picture and trading levels for 9168.T stock

Technically, the stock sits below its 50-day average JPY 842.80 and 200-day average JPY 989.38, a bearish placement after today’s gap. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI 49.03 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive 4.62, suggesting short-term relief potential. Bollinger Bands show upper band at JPY 871.41 and lower at JPY 773.99, highlighting where volatility may contain moves.

Near-term levels to watch: immediate support at the 52-week low JPY 560.00, first resistance at the 50-day JPY 842.80, and stronger resistance near the 200-day JPY 989.38. Traders should note on-balance volume is negative, suggesting distribution.

Meyka AI grade and 9168.T stock forecast

Meyka AI rates 9168.T with a score out of 100: 74.41 | Grade B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 811.30, a monthly median JPY 954.87, and a quarterly JPY 1,108.89. Against today’s JPY 695.00, the yearly forecast implies an upside of +16.74%, the monthly forecast implies +37.39%, and the quarterly forecast implies +59.56%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Catalysts, risks and 9168.T stock outlook

Potential catalysts include continued contract wins in digital and fintech consulting, expansion into overseas advisory, and stronger-than-expected FY earnings announced on 2026-04-10. Recent financial growth shows revenue up 24.75% year-over-year and net income growth 7.83%, which supports upside if the trend continues.

Key risks are client concentration, cyclical demand in corporate consulting, and valuation sensitivity to negative guidance. Analyst ratings are mixed: company-level rating shows B+ (Neutral) with DCF flagged as conservative and ROE/ROA metrics rated strongly. Investors should weigh these risks against cash-rich balance sheet metrics and an interest coverage of 46.73.

Trading strategy and realistic price targets for 9168.T stock

For traders, a defensive approach is prudent after the large one-day fall. Short-term traders can look for a bounce toward JPY 773.99–871.41 (Bollinger lower to upper band) and tighten stops. Longer-term investors may use a staggered buy: partial entry near JPY 695.00, add on weakness toward JPY 560.00, and set a base case target near Meyka’s yearly forecast JPY 811.30.

Price targets: conservative JPY 560.00 (support), base JPY 811.30 (Meyka yearly forecast), bullish JPY 1,108.89 (quarterly forecast). Risk management should use position sizing given the stock’s average volume 149,218.00.

Final Thoughts

9168.T stock finished market closed on 15 Jan 2026 at JPY 695.00, down -17.75% and marking it among the day’s top losers on the JPX. The drop reflects a low-liquidity move with below-average volume, not a clear sector-driven sell-off; the Industrials sector was positive on the day. Fundamentals remain solid: EPS JPY 61.52, PE 11.30, strong cash per share JPY 115.15, and a conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity 0.24. Meyka AI rates 9168.T with a score out of 100: 74.41 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 811.30, implying +16.74% from today’s close; this is a model projection and not a guarantee. Near-term trading should respect support at JPY 560.00 and resistance near the 50-day JPY 842.80, while investors consider staged entries and tight risk controls. For more details, check the company site and model data on our Meyka page for 9168.T.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.