ALI.DE Almonty XETRA €2.90 pre-market 14 Jan 2026: oversold bounce, target €3.50
Pre-market on 14 Jan 2026 Almonty Industries Inc. (ALI.DE) trades at €2.90, up 6.23% from yesterday, signalling a possible oversold bounce on XETRA in Germany. The move follows heavy volume of 288,238 shares, nearly 3.31x average, and a gap from the 50-day average €3.08 down to the 200-day €1.81. As a basic materials miner focused on tungsten, ALI.DE stock shows a short-term mean-reversion setup that traders can use with tight risk controls.
Short-term setup for ALI.DE stock
ALI.DE stock opened pre-market at €2.885 and is testing short-term support near the intraday low €2.78. The high intraday volume 288,238 versus average 86,985 suggests institutional or news-driven interest that can fuel a bounce. For an oversold bounce strategy we watch immediate resistance at €3.20 and a stronger barrier at €3.50.
Fundamentals and valuation for Almonty Industries Inc. (ALI.DE)
Almonty Industries (ALI.DE) reports EPS -0.11 and a trailing PE of -26.36, reflecting recent losses and cyclical volatility in tungsten prices. Market cap stands at €837,206,800 with 288,692,000 shares outstanding and revenue per share €0.13 TTM. Key ratios show stretched valuation metrics: P/S 82.12 and P/B 57.43, so any rally should be judged against weak profitability and low current ratio 0.77.
Technical picture: oversold bounce case
Price action shows a sharp drawdown from the 52-week high €5.99 to the low €0.62, and a recent rebound of €2.90 represents an oversold mean-reversion setup. Momentum indicators and moving averages put the 50-day at €3.08 and the 200-day at €1.81, a configuration that supports a short squeeze toward the 50-day. Traders should use stops below €2.70 and scale size given relative volume 3.31x and ATR €0.40.
Meyka AI rates ALI.DE with a score out of 100
Meyka AI rates ALI.DE with a score of 59.53 out of 100 (C+, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry peers, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, analyst consensus and fundamental growth. Use the grade to frame risk: the model highlights operational leverage in tungsten exposure and mixed cash flow metrics, not a buy recommendation.
Meyka AI’s forecast and price targets for ALI.DE stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month base price of €3.77, a 3-year projection of €6.59 and a 5-year scenario of €9.41. Versus the current €2.90, the 12-month projection implies an upside of 30.07%; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For traders, we set a conservative intraday target €3.20, a base target €3.77, and a bull target €6.59.
Catalysts, sector context and risks
Catalysts include higher tungsten prices, production ramp at Los Santos and updated project timelines; sector tailwinds in basic materials can lift ALI.DE stock. Risks include negative operating margins, low current ratio 0.77, significant payable cycles, and commodity price swings. Compare sector strength in Basic Materials where 3M performance is stronger, but ALI.DE remains more volatile and speculative.
Final Thoughts
Short-term traders can treat ALI.DE stock as an oversold bounce candidate in pre-market on 14 Jan 2026, using tight stops and defined targets. The stock trades at €2.90 with heavy volume 288,238 and relative volume 3.31, supporting a bounce toward the 50-day near €3.08 and a tactical target €3.50–€3.77. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects €3.77, implying 30.07% upside from current levels; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Given weak profitability (EPS -0.11) and high valuation ratios, position sizes should be small and time horizons disciplined. We link current technical momentum with fundamental risks and recommend using the oversold bounce as a trading strategy rather than a long-term buy without further operational improvements.
FAQs
Is ALI.DE stock a buy after the pre-market bounce?
ALI.DE stock shows a tactical oversold bounce from €2.90, but fundamentals remain weak (EPS -0.11). Treat this as a short-term trade with stops; Meyka AI grades the stock C+ (HOLD), not a clear buy for long-term investors.
What price targets should traders watch for ALI.DE stock?
Short-term resistance sits near €3.20; Meyka AI’s 12-month forecast is €3.77 and a 3-year scenario is €6.59. Use €3.20 as a conservative target and €3.77 as a model-based base target.
What are the main risks for ALI.DE stock?
Key risks for ALI.DE stock include volatile tungsten prices, negative margins, low current ratio 0.77, and high valuation ratios like P/S 82.12 and P/B 57.43. These magnify downside if commodity demand weakens.
How should I size a trade on ALI.DE stock in the oversold bounce?
Size positions small and define risk: suggested stop under €2.70, target €3.20–€3.77, and limit exposure to a portion of portfolio allocated to speculative materials trades. Monitor volume and news closely.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
