AMBA Ambarella (NASDAQ) down 4.27% to $65.64 AH Jan 13: AI upside 17.27%

AMBA stock fell 4.27% to $65.64 in after-hours trade on Jan 13, 2026 on the NASDAQ in the United States. Volume was higher than average at 1,683,674.00 shares, signaling active repositioning into Ambarella, Inc. after CES remarks and mixed fundamentals. Investors focused on AI vision demand and near-term earnings visibility as the key drivers for today’s move.

AMBA stock: after-hours price action and market context

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) traded down from an open of $68.87 to a close at $65.64, with a day high of $69.05 and day low of $65.51. The company is listed on NASDAQ and quoted in USD, with a market capitalization of $2,780,996,464.00.

The stock is below its 50-day average of $78.63 and slightly below its 200-day average of $68.86, showing consolidation after a run from the 52-week low of $38.86 to a high of $96.69.

Catalysts driving today’s move: CES briefing and investor focus

Ambarella discussed its edge AI platform at CES, and investors parsed product cadence versus revenue guidance. Recent coverage and a CES briefing transcript were cited in market commentary, which pressured shares in late trade source.

Earnings visibility is also near-term: Ambarella’s next official earnings announcement is scheduled for Feb 25, 2026 on Nasdaq’s calendar, keeping guidance and margin commentary as immediate catalysts source.

Financials and valuation: revenue, EPS and cash strength

Ambarella shows trailing EPS of -1.88 and a negative PE of -34.91, reflecting a recent loss-making period. Revenue per share is 8.79, with research and development expense at 63.35% of revenue, underscoring heavy investment in AI vision.

The balance sheet remains healthy with $6.94 cash per share, a current ratio of 2.66, and debt to equity near 0.02, giving Ambarella runway to fund R&D and product rollouts without immediate financing pressure.

Technical picture and trading signals for AI investors

Momentum indicators show mixed signals: RSI at 61.43 suggests modest strength while CCI at 252.56 flags short-term overbought conditions. Bollinger Bands are wide with a middle band near $73.98, indicating elevated volatility.

On volume, the stock’s relative volume hit 1.90, above the average of 873,417.00 shares, showing active flows. Traders should watch day range $65.51–$69.05 and the 200-day average at $68.86 for near-term support and resistance.

Meyka AI grade and AMBA stock forecast

Meyka AI rates AMBA with a score of 69.39 out of 100: Grade B, HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry performance, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus, and forecasts. These grades are informational and not financial advice.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of $76.97, implying an upside of 17.27% from the current $65.64. The monthly model sits at $73.54, a 12.04% implied gain. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Risks, strategy and sector positioning for AI-focused investors

Primary risks include negative EPS momentum, high R&D burn, and cyclicality in semiconductor demand that could compress near-term margins. Ambarella faces competition in automotive and security camera AI chips, which may pressure pricing.

For AI strategy, use staged position sizing: consider a conservative price target of $60.00 (-8.59% vs current), a base target of $76.97 (+17.27%), and a bull case of $95.00 (+44.75%). Tailor sizing to portfolio risk and time horizon.

Final Thoughts

AMBA stock traded down 4.27% to $65.64 in after-hours action on Jan 13, 2026 on NASDAQ as investors weighed Ambarella’s CES briefing and earnings runway. Fundamentals show a strong cash position at $6.94 per share but negative EPS of -1.88, producing a negative PE of -34.91. Meyka AI’s model projects a one-year target of $76.97, an implied upside of 17.27%, while a monthly target of $73.54 suggests 12.04% near-term upside. Our price-target set spans $60.00 conservative to $95.00 bull, reflecting sector cyclicality and AI opportunity. Keep earnings on Feb 25, 2026 on your watchlist and size positions to risk tolerance. Meyka AI provides this AI-powered market analysis platform view to help frame the trade, but forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.