ASML.AS ASML Holding N.V. EURONEXT €1161.40 intraday: earnings 28 Jan 2026 could reset guidance
ASML.AS stock trades at €1161.40 intraday on EURONEXT as investors position for fiscal Q4 results. The company reports earnings on 28 Jan 2026, a date likely to clarify demand for EUV systems. Key near-term drivers include order cadence, customer delivery timing, and guidance for 2026. We summarise metrics, valuation, and what to watch before the release.
Earnings preview: ASML.AS stock expectations
ASML.AS stock faces a key catalyst with earnings due 28 Jan 2026. Analysts will watch equipment shipments and services revenue mix. The market price of €1161.40 already reflects strong demand signals for EUV tools.
Investors should compare reported EPS to the trailing EPS €24.25 and note margins. Any guidance change will move the stock quickly.
Q4 drivers and consensus: ASML.AS earnings
Order intake and shipment timing will determine Q4 beats or misses. Memory and logic customers in Taiwan, South Korea, and the US drive near-term spending. Bookings volatility remains the central risk.
Capital equipment services revenue and software sales support cash flow. Watch gross margin and operating cash flow versus the trailing operating cash flow per share €29.41.
Valuation and financials: ASML.AS analysis
ASML.AS valuation remains rich at PE 48.51 and Price/Sales 14.18. Return on equity sits at 52.15%, showing high profitability compared to the Technology sector average ROE of 14.36%.
Balance sheet strength is clear. Market cap is €456.62B and shares outstanding are 388,147,674. Free cash flow per share is €23.15, supporting dividends and buybacks.
Technicals and intraday action: ASML.AS trading
Intraday range today is €1158.20–€1176.00 with volume 93,111. RSI at 76.19 flags short-term overbought conditions. Momentum indicators show strength, but volatility rises around earnings.
Price sits above the 50-day average €958.55 and 200-day average €768.52, indicating medium and long-term uptrends.
Meyka AI rates ASML.AS with a score out of 100
Meyka AI rates ASML.AS with a score out of 100: 77.65 which maps to Grade B+ and a suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Meyka AI is an AI-powered market analysis platform. The grade is informational only and not investment advice.
Price targets, forecast and risks: ASML.AS forecast
Analyst-style price targets we model: conservative €1,000.00, base €1,250.00, bull €1,350.00. Key risks include shipment delays and geopolitical export controls.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 5-year level at €1,146.69 versus the current €1161.40, implying -1.27%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Final Thoughts
ASML.AS stock trades at €1161.40 intraday as the market awaits earnings on 28 Jan 2026. The company shows strong profitability and cash generation, with EPS €24.25 and free cash flow per share €23.15. Valuation is high with PE 48.51 and Price/Book 23.99, so investors pay a premium for technology leadership. Technicals are bullish but overbought, increasing short-term volatility. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 5-year level of €1146.69, implying -1.27% versus today. That near-neutral five-year view contrasts with a 7-year projection of €1269.39, or +9.30% upside. Use the earnings release for fresh guidance on demand and deliveries. Our view: watch the order intake and margin commentary for a clearer trade setup.
FAQs
When does ASML report earnings and why does it matter for ASML.AS stock
ASML reports on 28 Jan 2026. The release will update orders and shipment timing. Those items directly affect ASML.AS stock because equipment delivery cadence drives revenue and guidance.
What are the key valuation metrics for ASML.AS stock
ASML.AS stock shows PE 48.51, Price/Sales 14.18, and Price/Book 23.99. High multiples reflect technology leadership but raise sensitivity to guidance misses.
How does Meyka AI view ASML.AS stock ahead of earnings
Meyka AI rates ASML.AS B+ (77.65) with a suggestion: BUY. The grade balances superior returns and cash flow against high valuation and earnings risk.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
