AVD.AX stock down 27.27% to A$0.12 on ASX 28 Jan 2026: analyst view and outlook
AVD.AX stock plunged 27.27% to A$0.12 at close on 28 Jan 2026, making it one of the ASX top losers today. Trading volume jumped to 51,667 shares, almost three times the average of 3,004 shares. The drop left the price near its 52-week low of A$0.09 and well below the 50-day average of A$0.15. This piece explains why shares sold off, what the fundamentals show, and what short-term traders should watch.
AVD.AX stock price action and session context
Shares of AVADA Group Limited (AVD.AX) closed at A$0.12 on the ASX on 28 Jan 2026. The stock traded between A$0.11 and A$0.14 during the session with a -27.27% move from the prior close of A$0.165. Volume spiked to 51,667, producing a relative volume of 2.82, which signals heavy selling pressure. The Industrials sector outperformed modestly today, so the move appears company specific rather than sector driven.
AVADA Group (AVD.AX) fundamentals and valuation
AVADA Group reports negative earnings per share of -A$0.19 and a trailing PE of -0.74, reflecting losses. Market capitalisation sits at A$11,890,904.00 with 84,935,025 shares outstanding. Key ratios show a low price-to-book of 0.33 and price-to-sales of 0.06, suggesting the market values the business cheaply on sales. Debt metrics are notable: debt-to-equity is 1.10 and net debt to EBITDA is 3.57, which raises leverage concerns for this small-cap operator.
Drivers of the sell-off and headline risks
There was no fresh corporate announcement linked to the drop, and analyst coverage is sparse. The company rating from the market data feed shows a C / Sell view dated 27 Jan 2026, which likely pressured sentiment. An upcoming earnings release on 2026-03-02 adds execution risk. Operational exposure to state construction and utilities contracts increases sensitivity to government tender timing and cyclical activity.
Technical outlook for AVD.AX stock and support levels
Technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum. RSI sits near 30.65, close to oversold. Bollinger Bands range from A$0.11 to A$0.20, and the 50-day moving average is A$0.1494, the 200-day average A$0.1797. Immediate support is the 52-week low at A$0.09. Traders should watch if price holds A$0.11 on the next session or falls toward A$0.09.
Meyka AI grade and valuation comment
Meyka AI rates AVD.AX with a score of 64.76 out of 100 — Grade B (HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The machine score blends cheap valuation metrics, limited analyst coverage, and elevated leverage. These grades are not guarantees and are not financial advice.
Price scenarios, forecasts and trading levels
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly target of A$0.13, a quarterly target of A$0.07, and a limited one-year projection. Compared with the close of A$0.12, the monthly projection implies an 8.33% upside. Our scenario targets are: Bear A$0.08 (down -33.33%), Base A$0.15 (up 25.00%), Bull A$0.25 (up 108.33%). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Final Thoughts
AVD.AX stock finished the ASX session on 28 Jan 2026 at A$0.12, down -27.27%, on heavy volume. The immediate story is weakness in sentiment and a lack of supportive analyst coverage. Fundamentals show low valuation multiples, with price-to-book 0.33 and price-to-sales 0.06, but earnings are negative with EPS -A$0.19 and leverage is material. Technicals are bearish with RSI 30.65 and near-term support at A$0.09. Meyka AI’s models project a monthly level of A$0.13, implying +8.33% from the close, but quarterly outlook is weaker at A$0.07. For investors, the key questions are contract pipeline clarity and the March 2026 earnings report. Short-term traders should watch whether the stock holds A$0.11 and whether selling volume eases. Long-term investors should weigh cheap valuation metrics against operational leverage and execution risk. For more company data see our dedicated stock page at Meyka AVD.AX and the market comparison at Investing.com.
FAQs
Why did AVD.AX stock fall sharply today?
AVD.AX stock fell on heavy selling and thin coverage. Volume was 51,667, nearly three times average. No major company news was published, but analysts and data feeds showing a C / Sell view pressured sentiment.
What are the key valuation metrics for AVADA Group (AVD.AX)?
AVD.AX trades at price-to-book 0.33 and price-to-sales 0.06. EPS is -A$0.19 and trailing PE is -0.74, reflecting losses. Market cap is A$11,890,904.00.
What price targets should investors consider for AVD.AX stock?
Scenario targets: Bear A$0.08 (down -33.33%), Base A$0.15 (up 25.00%), Bull A$0.25 (up 108.33%). These are modelled levels and not guaranteed.
When is AVADA Group’s next earnings announcement and why it matters?
Earnings are scheduled for 2026-03-02. The report matters because it can clarify contract wins, margin trends, and cash flow, which drive recovery or further downside in AVD.AX stock.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
