BBAI BigBear.ai (NYSE) closes at $6.09 on 13 Jan 2026: model shows 54.00% upside
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI stock) closed the session on 13 Jan 2026 at $6.09 on the NYSE in the United States. The share price fell 3.49% on the day with volume of 66,856,016. Investors are watching upcoming earnings due 03 Mar 2026 and guidance for AI and analytics contracts. This update ties recent trading to fundamentals, technicals, and Meyka AI model forecasts to help investors assess BBAI stock risk and upside.
Price action and intraday drivers for BBAI stock
BBAI stock opened at $6.39 and traded between $5.98 and $6.46 before closing at $6.09. The one-day move of -3.49% followed wider sector weakness in Technology. Volume of 66,856,016 exceeded the 50-day average of 56,662,580, signaling heavier trading and investor interest.
Short-term technicals show an RSI of 54.54 and MACD histogram of 0.03, suggesting neutral momentum. The 50-day average price is $6.10 and the 200-day average is $5.52, implying the stock sits near its short-term trend line.
Valuation and key financial metrics for BBAI stock
BigBear.ai reports EPS -$1.45 and a trailing PE of -4.21, reflecting negative earnings. Market capitalization stands at $2,262,006,118 and shares outstanding are 370,820,675. Price-to-sales is elevated at ~15.69, while price-to-book is ~3.97, indicating premium expectations versus current revenue.
Liquidity and balance sheet metrics show cash per share $1.48 and a current ratio of 3.13, which supports near-term obligations. Debt to equity is low at 0.19, reducing capital-structure risk despite negative profitability.
Growth, earnings outlook and catalysts for BBAI stock
Revenue grew modestly by 1.98% in fiscal 2024 while gross profit rose 11.38%. Analysts expect quarterly revenue near $32.44 million and EPS of – $0.05 for the next report, per consensus cited in recent coverage. The company highlights AI, cybersecurity, and analytics contracts as revenue drivers.
Key catalysts include the upcoming earnings on 05 Mar 2026 (UTC), contract awards in federal and enterprise lanes, and any margin improvement. Conversely, slower contract timing or weaker bookings would pressure the stock.
Technical picture and trading signals for BBAI stock
Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI 54.54 and CCI 93.95 show modest buying. ADX 10.54 signals no clear trend. Bollinger Bands range $5.22–$6.89, with the middle band at $6.05, placing price close to the band midpoint.
On volume, the relative volume of 1.16 and on-balance volume at -581,051 indicate recent distribution. Short-term support sits near $5.98 and resistance around $6.46 and the 52-week high of $10.36.
Risks, sector context and analyst consensus for BBAI stock
BigBear.ai operates in the Technology sector’s Information Technology Services industry. Sector peers show mixed recovery, which can magnify BBAI stock volatility. Zacks and market trackers note downside sensitivity to government spending and contract timing.
Current upgrade/downgrade consensus lists 1 Buy and 1 Hold. Company rating data from 13 Jan 2026 shows a broader caution with a C- score and a Strong Sell recommendation on some models, which highlights differing analyst views.
Meyka AI grade and model forecast for BBAI stock
Meyka AI rates BBAI with a score out of 100: 65.97 (Grade B) — HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector and industry performance, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus. These grades are informational and not guarantees.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month target of $9.38 compared with the current price of $6.09, implying an upside of 54.00%. Monthly and quarterly projections are $6.77 and $8.92 respectively. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Meyka AI-powered market analysis platform was used to generate the grade and forecast.
Final Thoughts
BBAI stock closed $6.09 on 13 Jan 2026, trading above its 200-day average but below its 52-week high of $10.36. The business shows improving gross margins yet sustained net losses with EPS -$1.45 and an elevated price-to-sales near 15.69. Short-term catalysts include the earnings release on 05 Mar 2026 and potential federal contract wins. Technicals are neutral and volume was above average at 66,856,016, suggesting investor attention.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month target of $9.38, implying 54.00% upside versus today’s $6.09 close. Meyka AI rates the stock 65.97/100 (Grade B, HOLD) after weighing benchmark and sector comparisons, growth, and analyst views. Investors should weigh valuation premiums, negative EPS, and contract timing risks before adding BBAI stock to portfolios. Forecasts and grades are informational and not investment advice. For fuller context, see recent coverage on CNBC and the analyst summary on Nasdaq that references Zacks estimates source.
FAQs
What is the current price and market cap of BBAI stock?
BBAI stock closed at $6.09 on 13 Jan 2026. Market capitalization is $2,262,006,118, with 370,820,675 shares outstanding on the NYSE in the United States.
What are the main valuation metrics for BigBear.ai?
Key metrics include EPS -$1.45, trailing PE -4.21, price-to-sales roughly 15.69, and price-to-book near 3.97. Cash per share is $1.48 and current ratio is 3.13.
What does Meyka AI forecast for BBAI stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price target of $9.38, implying ~54.00% upside from $6.09. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees.
When is the next earnings report for BigBear.ai?
BigBear.ai has an earnings announcement scheduled for 05 Mar 2026 (UTC). Analysts expect quarterly revenue near $32.44 million and EPS around – $0.05.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
