BBAI stock BigBear.ai (NYSE) $6.21 16 Jan 2026: model projects 51% upside
BBAI stock trades at $6.21 intraday on the NYSE on 16 Jan 2026, down 0.73% today as volume runs at 11,911,207 shares. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is drawing attention after recent strategic moves, including the Ask Sage acquisition and a balance-sheet cleanup that analysts say supports its defense-focused AI growth. Investors are watching near-term revenue leverage from government contracts and integration costs. We summarize the key drivers, valuation, technicals, and what Meyka AI’s model projects next for BBAI stock.
BBAI stock drivers and recent news
BigBear.ai (BBAI) saw a string of corporate updates that moved the tape, including the completed Ask Sage acquisition and a stated plan to reduce debt. These moves support contract wins in national security and explain the recent higher trading volumes and intraday price swings. For source context see CNBC coverage and Nasdaq filings source and source.
BBAI stock fundamentals and valuation
BBAI stock shows EPS -1.45 and PE -4.26, reflecting current losses as the company invests in scale. The market cap stands near $2,289,817,668.00 and the 50-day average price is $6.08, with a 200-day average of $5.55. Price-to-sales and EV-to-sales are elevated, so valuation relies on growth materializing.
BBAI stock technical outlook
Technicals show a neutral bias: RSI 54.54 and MACD histogram slightly positive at 0.03. Intraday range is $6.05–$6.25 and ATR is 0.47, which signals moderate volatility for traders. Short-term support sits near the 50-day average and resistance near the 200-day and recent high of $10.36.
BBAI stock Meyka grade and valuation context
Meyka AI rates BBAI with a score out of 100: 65.89 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus, and forecasts. The company shows healthy liquidity (current ratio 3.13) but negative margins, so the grade balances growth potential against profitability risk. Meyka AI is an AI-powered market analysis platform used to provide this context.
BBAI stock risks and opportunities
Opportunity: government and defense AI contracts can create multi-year revenue streams if Ask Sage integrates well. Risk: continuing negative net margins and reliance on contract timing; interest coverage is negative, highlighting sensitivity to earnings. Active investors should monitor backlog, contract cadence, and integration costs.
BBAI stock forecasts and analyst signals
Meyka AI’s model projects short and medium targets: monthly $6.77, quarterly $8.92, and yearly $9.38. The street consensus is mixed with one Buy and one Hold reflected in upgrade/downgrade data. Traders should weigh the reported forecasts against the company’s cash runway and execution on defense deals.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for BBAI stock: the intraday quote of USD 6.2145 reflects a small pullback amid heavy interest and news flow. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of $9.38, implying an upside of 51.03% from USD 6.2145; the quarterly target of $8.92 implies 43.56% upside and a monthly target of $6.77 implies 8.94% upside. These projections assume successful Ask Sage integration and steady contract wins in the U.S. defense market. On the downside, weak margins (EPS -1.45) and near-term cash conversion risks could pressure the stock. For active AI-stock investors, BBAI stock presents a balanced profile: meaningful upside if execution holds, and notable execution and margin risks if wins slip. Monitor earnings, backlog updates, and cash flow in coming quarters and check detailed filings and market updates on CNBC and Nasdaq source source. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
What is driving today’s move in BBAI stock?
Intraday moves in BBAI stock reflect higher volume on strategic news, including the Ask Sage deal and balance-sheet actions. Traders are pricing integration risk, contract timing, and updated revenue visibility into the share price.
What are the valuation metrics for BBAI stock?
BBAI stock trades with PE -4.26 and price-to-sales and EV-to-sales above tech averages. Book value per share is $1.54 and the current ratio is 3.13, indicating liquidity but depressed profitability.
How does Meyka AI view BBAI stock?
Meyka AI gives BBAI a 65.89 score (Grade B, Suggestion HOLD). The grade balances sector opportunity with weak margins, and factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, growth, key metrics, analyst signals, and forecasts.
What price targets does the model give for BBAI stock?
Meyka AI’s model targets $6.77 (monthly), $8.92 (quarterly), and $9.38 (yearly). These are model-based projections and not guarantees; monitor execution and earnings for reassessment.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
