CHF5.38 ODHN.SW Orascom (SIX) 12 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce on 5.32x volume, check targets
ODHN.SW stock closed at CHF5.38 on 12 Jan 2026 on the SIX exchange, after a trade day that recorded 18,061 shares. The price sits near the 50-day average of CHF5.42 and above the 200-day average of CHF4.87, making a short-term oversold bounce plausible. Volume was 5.32x the average, signalling renewed trader interest. We examine why this move matters, how fundamentals align, and where Meyka AI’s model places price targets for Orascom Development Holding AG.
Technical setup for ODHN.SW stock
The market closed at CHF5.38 with day low and high at that level, reflecting a single-price session. Volume of 18,061 versus avg volume 3,396 implies heavy participation and a potential liquidity-driven bounce. The 50-day average is CHF5.42 and the 200-day average is CHF4.87, so the stock trades just below short-term mean and above long-term mean.
Traditional momentum indicators are limited in the feed, but price action and the high relative volume support an oversold bounce trade. Traders can watch intraday ranges and whether price sustains above CHF5.40 for confirmation.
Valuation and key financials for ODHN.SW stock
On headline metrics, Orascom shows market cap CHF320,653,918, EPS CHF0.06 (most recent), and a market PE of 89.67 using the last EPS. The TTM PE in the model reads 12.64, and price/book is 1.05, reflecting asset backing. Debt to equity is 1.56 and current ratio is 1.21, showing leverage and modest short-term liquidity.
Profitability metrics include ROE 8.78% and net margin 7.82%. Cash per share is CHF3.31 and book value per share is CHF7.59, giving a tangible floor for valuation discussions.
Meyka AI rating and what it means for ODHN.SW stock
Meyka AI rates ODHN.SW with a score of 67.36 out of 100, grade B, suggestion HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The grade is informational and not a recommendation.
Analyst-style takeaway: the stock scores well on asset backing and recent growth, but leverage and cash conversion cycles lower the score. Use the grade as one input among fundamental and technical checks.
Catalysts, sector context and risks for ODHN.SW stock
Catalysts: stronger tourism and land sales in Orascom destinations could lift revenue. The company reports next earnings on 12 Aug 2025 per the calendar, which can reset sentiment. Sector context: Consumer Cyclical peers trade at an average PE 46.79, so Orascom’s TTM PE 12.64 implies relative value.
Risks: high inventory days 520.76 and long receivables 213 days increase operating-cycle risk. Debt metrics and interest coverage (2.13x) raise refinancing risk in higher-rate scenarios. Political or regional travel shocks also affect revenue streams.
Price forecasts and realistic targets for ODHN.SW stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects CHF7.07 for the next year, implying +31.50% from CHF5.38. The model also lists a three-year projection of CHF9.29 and a five-year projection of CHF11.49. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
For trading, consider a conservative target of CHF5.50 for a quick bounce, a base case target near the model CHF7.07, and a bull case of CHF9.29 if fundamentals and sector recovery accelerate.
Trading implications and oversold bounce strategy for ODHN.SW stock
Given the volume spike and proximity to the 50-day average, a short-term strategy can target a mean reversion into CHF5.50–CHF7.07. Use tight stops below CHF5.00 to limit downside. Position size should reflect higher volatility from low float and regional exposure.
Longer-term investors should weigh asset-backed valuation against debt levels and the company’s cyclical sector exposure. Confirm any bounce with improving cash conversion and quarterly revenue trends.
Final Thoughts
ODHN.SW stock closed at CHF5.38 on the SIX market on 12 Jan 2026 with a notable volume surge to 18,061 shares. That spike and the stock’s position around the 50-day and 200-day averages create a valid oversold bounce setup. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects CHF7.07 for the year, implying +31.50% upside from today’s price. Our practical trading map: a near-term bounce target of CHF5.50, a base target at CHF7.07, and a bull target at CHF9.29 over several years. Key risks include high days-sales-outstanding (213 days), long inventory holding (520.76 days), and leverage with debt/equity 1.56. Use the Meyka AI grade (B, HOLD) and these model targets as inputs, not as investment advice. For active traders, confirm strength with sustained volume and a close above CHF5.40 before adding exposure. For fundamental investors, monitor upcoming earnings and land-sale updates that drive cash flow and valuation.
FAQs
Is ODHN.SW stock a buy after the volume spike?
ODHN.SW stock shows a short-term bounce signal on heavy volume. Traders may buy with tight stops near CHF5.00. Long-term buyers should await earnings and improved cash conversion before increasing positions.
What price targets does Meyka AI give for ODHN.SW stock?
Meyka AI projects CHF7.07 for one year (+31.50% vs CHF5.38), CHF9.29 in three years, and CHF11.49 in five years. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
Which risks should investors watch for ODHN.SW stock?
Key risks for ODHN.SW stock include long inventory days 520.76, receivables 213 days, leverage (debt/equity 1.56), and sensitivity to tourism and regional conditions.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
