CMG $39.16 (Chipotle Mexican Grill NYSE) 30 Jan 2026: earnings Feb 3 may reset targets
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) closed the session at $39.16 on the NYSE on 30 Jan 2026, and the stock now trades into an important earnings report due 3 Feb 2026. CMG stock carries a PE of 34.40 and reported EPS of 1.13, so investors will watch margins, digital sales, and traffic trends closely. Volume finished at 13,387,133 shares versus a 30‑day average of 20,627,488, showing muted participation ahead of results. We examine what to expect from the earnings spotlight and which metrics could move the stock.
CMG stock: earnings calendar and near-term catalysts
Chipotle’s earnings release on 2026-02-03 is the immediate catalyst for CMG stock. Analysts expect headline metrics to show modest revenue growth but margin sensitivity to menu mix and labor; consensus street data points to long‑run EPS pressure and mixed guidance. Management commentary on digital mix, new unit economics, and menu pricing will likely drive intraday volatility after the print.
Company snapshot and recent performance for CMG stock
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical Restaurants sector and has a market cap near $52.12B on the NYSE. The shares sit between a 12‑month low of $29.75 and high of $59.19, with year‑to‑date performance up 3.68% and a three‑month gain of 19.49%. Recent institutional moves show portfolio rebalancing and some stake reductions, which add noise to short‑term trading.
Valuation and fundamentals: what the numbers say about CMG stock
Key fundamentals show EPS 1.13, PE 34.40, price/sales 4.43, and return on equity 44.23%. Free cash flow yield is roughly 3.01% and debt to equity is 1.55, highlighting higher leverage versus peers. These ratios suggest premium valuation versus the restaurant group on growth and margin quality, leaving CMG vulnerable to any guidance miss.
Technical picture and trading signals for CMG stock
Technically, CMG stock shows short‑term strength with RSI 76.44 indicating overbought conditions and MACD positive. The 50‑day average of 36.57 sits below the current price, while the 200‑day at 43.29 remains resistance. Volume has lagged the 30‑day average, suggesting rallies may lack conviction until earnings clarity arrives.
Risks and opportunities ahead of the CMG earnings report
Upside would come from stronger digital sales, improved labor efficiency, and favorable unit economics that support margin expansion. Risks include slower traffic growth, higher commodity costs, and any guidance cut that forces multiple compression. Watch same‑store sales, digital mix percentage, and commentary on new unit cadence as primary drivers.
Meyka AI grade and analyst price targets for CMG stock
Meyka AI rates CMG with a score out of 100: 73.04 | Grade: B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Street coverage is mixed: consensus target sits near $50.23, Piper Sandler at $47.00, and JPMorgan at $40.00, giving a street range that reflects differing views on growth and margin recovery.
Final Thoughts
Earnings on 3 Feb 2026 make this a pivotal week for CMG stock. At $39.16 the shares already price a premium for durable margins and digital growth, with PE around 34.40 and a market cap of $52.12B. Analyst targets average $50.23, implying +28.29% upside from the current price, while some sell‑side views are more cautious. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1‑year figure of $25.08, implying -35.98% versus today’s price; forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees. For traders, watch same‑store sales, digital revenue mix, and margin guidance; for longer‑term investors, valuation and leverage metrics are the core filters. Meyka AI, as an AI‑powered market analysis platform, flags CMG as growth‑oriented but sensitive to guidance. Expect sharp price moves on the print and plan position sizing around confirmed guidance or material metric beats.
FAQs
When does Chipotle report earnings and why does it matter for CMG stock?
Chipotle reports on 3 Feb 2026 and the release matters because guidance, same‑store sales, and digital mix will likely move CMG stock sharply, influencing investor views on near‑term margins and growth.
What are the key valuation metrics investors should watch for CMG stock?
Watch PE (34.40), price/sales 4.43, FCF yield ~3.01%, and return on equity 44.23%. These show premium valuation that needs confirmed growth to justify current pricing.
How does Meyka AI grade CMG and what does that mean for investors?
Meyka AI gives CMG a 73.04 score (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). The grade blends benchmarks, sector and analyst data; it is informational and not investment advice.
What price targets should traders consider for CMG stock after earnings?
Street targets range from $40.00 to $50.23 with Piper Sandler at $47.00. Use these as reference points and adjust for any guidance changes in the earnings release.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
