GNTY (Guaranty Bancshares NASDAQ) at $48.75 on 20 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce setup
GNTY stock trades intraday at $48.75 on 20 Jan 2026 after a modest pullback from the open. The share price is down $0.43 (‑0.87%) with volume 168,821 shares, about 3.51x average. That combination — above the 50‑day average of $47.40 but below the year high of $52.34 — sets a clear oversold bounce scenario for short‑term traders watching regional banks on NASDAQ in the United States. We review technical triggers, valuation, key ratios and a concise trade plan.
GNTY stock intraday snapshot
Price action: GNTY (Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.) is trading at $48.75 on NASDAQ with a day low of $47.95 and a day high of $49.47. Volume is 168,821 versus avg volume 48,092, signaling elevated intraday interest. Market cap is $553,198,718 USD and shares outstanding are 11,347,666.
Quick ratios: EPS is $3.08 and trailing P/E is 15.83. Price sits above the 50‑day average ($47.40) and above the 200‑day average ($42.17), which helps the case for a technical bounce rather than a structural breakdown.
GNTY stock technicals and oversold bounce
Momentum and setup: Intraday volume at 168,821 with relative volume 3.51 shows a fast, oversold move and a high‑probability bounce trade for short‑term buyers. The Keltner middle band is near $48.75, with the lower band at $45.71, offering a clear stop band for risk control.
Meyka AI grades and signals: Meyka AI rates GNTY with a score of 81.66 out of 100 (Grade A, BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Use the grade as a summary signal; it is not investment advice.
GNTY stock fundamentals and valuation
Core fundamentals: Guaranty Bancshares reports book value per share $29.25, cash per share $35.99, and tangible book value $26.34. Return on equity is 11.15% and debt to equity is 0.22, reflecting modest leverage for a regional bank. Dividend per share is $2.80, implying a yield of 5.74% on the current price.
Valuation context: Key multiples show a P/E of 15.83 and a price‑to‑book of 1.67, which compare favorably to many regional peers. These ratios support an oversold bounce thesis because fundamentals remain intact while the market tests short‑term sentiment.
GNTY stock catalysts and near‑term triggers
What could lift the stock: Positive earnings revisions, higher net interest margins in regional banking, and improvement in loan growth could prompt buyers to step in. The next scheduled earnings release is listed for 20 Oct 2025 but traders will watch interim loan and deposit commentary.
News flow: Recent sector updates and coverage appear on MarketBeat, including a short forecast and price target note MarketBeat stock page and a separate price target update MarketBeat forecast. Monitor those items for sentiment shifts.
GNTY stock risks and a practical trade plan
Key risks: Regional bank volatility, interest‑rate swings, and liquidity shocks remain the main risk factors. Company rating services show mixed signals; a recent company rating lists a B‑ with some valuation concerns, especially on P/E relative to growth.
Trade plan: For an oversold bounce trade use a tight entry near $48.75 or on a retest to $47.95, a stop under $45.70 (Keltner lower), and a short target around $52.34 (recent year high). Risk allocation should be limited for position sizing given the transient nature of intraday setups. See our internal note at Meyka stock page for tracking.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways: GNTY stock is presenting an intraday oversold bounce opportunity at $48.75 on NASDAQ with heavy volume (168,821) and clear technical levels. Fundamentals remain solid: EPS $3.08, P/E 15.83, price‑to‑book 1.67, and dividend yield 5.74%. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month target of $59.98, implying an upside of 23.05% versus the current price of $48.75. Meyka AI’s projection is model‑based and not a guarantee. Traders should use strict stops (below $45.71) and watch for news or sector shifts to validate a sustained recovery. This setup favors disciplined short‑term buyers who blend technical entries with fundamental context and controlled risk.
FAQs
Is GNTY stock a buy after the intraday pullback?
GNTY stock shows a short‑term buy signal for disciplined traders: price $48.75, elevated volume, and support near $45.71. Use tight stops and size positions conservatively; fundamentals and dividend yield support a cautious buy thesis.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for GNTY stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $59.98 over 12 months, implying 23.05% upside from $48.75. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.
What are the main risks for traders in GNTY stock?
Main risks include regional bank volatility, interest rate swings, and liquidity shifts. Watch news flow and earnings updates; keep stops under $45.71 and limit intraday position sizes.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
