What is the Warren Buffett indicator and how should I use it?

It is total US market value divided by GDP. High levels often mean lower long-term returns, but it does not time tops. Use it with credit spreads, earnings revisions, and market breadth. It is a risk gauge that informs allocation, not a trigger to sell everything.

What are early signs of a possible stock market crash?

Rising high-yield spreads, weak advance-decline lines, more 52-week lows, and breaks below key bands are common tells. For the S&P 500, a close under the lower Bollinger Band near 6,805 would flag stress. Combine these with negative earnings revisions to confirm broadening risk.

How can Singapore investors manage USD/SGD risk on US equities?

Consider partial currency hedging or a mix of hedged and unhedged exposure. Stagger entries to smooth FX noise. Track USD/SGD against portfolio dates, not just headlines. Keep emergency cash in SGD, and set rebalancing bands so currency swings do not force poor timing.

Should I hold more cash if crash fears rise?

Size cash to upcoming needs and risk tolerance, not headlines. A modest buffer supports staged buys during volatility without missing long-term compounding. Pair cash with clear buy levels and stop rules. If levels improve, redeploy systematically rather than waiting for a perfect bottom.

Global Market Insights

^GSPC Today, February 23: Crash Fears Rise as Buffett Indicator Trends

ByDanny Kontos February 23, 2026February 23, 2026

Stock market crash searches are climbing as the Warren Buffett indicator trends and the S&P 500 (^GSPC) stays range-bound. Singapore investors want clear signals, not noise. Recent levels cluster near 6,861 with a 6,833 to 6,879 intraday band, while the 50-day average sits at 6,894 and the 200-day at 6,504. Today we outline what the indicator means, the S&P 500 outlook, and market correction signs to track. We also share a simple plan if a stock market crash scare builds.