HOT.SW stock up 112.29% to CHF311.00 at close: price jump needs liquidity check
HOT.SW stock closed at CHF311.00 on 26 Jan 2026 after a 112.29% intraday rise from a prior close of CHF146.50. The move registered a reported volume of 60.00 shares versus a 30-day average of 120.00, flagging a sharp price re-rate on light flow. We review why the leap distorted key metrics, the company valuation, and what the Meyka AI grade and model forecast imply for investors operating on the SIX market in Switzerland.
HOT.SW stock price action and volume
Hochtief AG (HOT.SW) finished the session at CHF311.00, up CHF164.50 or 112.29%. The trading print shows 60.00 shares, below the average 120.00, so this is a large percentage mover on thin liquidity. The price surge pushed market cap to CHF15.26B and created a temporary mismatch between market multiples and trailing fundamentals.
HOT.SW stock fundamentals and valuation
Reported EPS stands at 3.42 and the price-earnings ratio jumped to 91.02 on the closing price. Trailing metrics recorded before the jump showed a TTM P/E near 33.73, illustrating the impact of the overnight re-rate. Hochtief’s debt-to-equity is 11.37, and the company pays a dividend yield near 1.58%, which matter for capital structure and income investors on the SIX exchange.
HOT.SW stock Meyka AI grade and model view
Meyka AI rates HOT.SW with a score out of 100: 72.85 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price of CHF154.84, implying a model-based downside of -50.21% versus CHF311.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
HOT.SW stock technicals and short-term risks
Technical indicators are unreliable from a single-price spike; key oscillators show distorted readings after the re-rate. The immediate risk is liquidity-driven reversals given low reported volume. Short-term price targets should factor a wild spread and possible mean reversion toward prior averages near CHF146.50 unless further confirmations arrive.
HOT.SW stock sector context and peers
Hochtief sits in Industrials, Engineering & Construction. The Industrials sector average P/E is about 29.00, well below HOT.SW’s current multiple. This gap highlights relative valuation risk compared with peers on the SIX market. Sector trends show steady infrastructure demand, which supports long-term cash flow but not short-term gaps after abrupt re-rates.
HOT.SW stock outlook and scenario price targets
We set scenario price targets for planning: a near-term tactical target of CHF280.00 if momentum continues, a model-based 12-month target of CHF154.84, and a stress downside near CHF120.00 if the move reverses. Use EPS 3.42, free cash flow yield near 9.28%, and Meyka grade when sizing positions on SIX in CHF.
Final Thoughts
HOT.SW stock closed at CHF311.00 on 26 Jan 2026 after a 112.29% jump that pushed the P/E to 91.02 and raised market cap to CHF15.26B. The jump occurred on light volume of 60.00 shares, producing a high probability of short-term volatility and possible mean reversion. Meyka AI’s proprietary grade is 72.85 (B+, BUY), and the model projects CHF154.84 in 12 months, an implied downside of -50.21% from the close. Traders should treat the move as a liquidity-driven repricing event and demand confirmatory flows before increasing exposure. Long-term investors should weigh Hochtief’s cash flow metrics, dividend yield 1.58%, and sector exposure against the current stretched multiple. Remember, Meyka AI provides data-driven market analysis and model forecasts; forecasts are projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
What caused HOT.SW stock to jump to CHF311.00?
The recorded jump to CHF311.00 on 26 Jan 2026 came with thin reported volume (60.00 shares). Such moves often reflect isolated trades or re-listing events rather than broad-based market demand. Confirming news or steady volume is needed to validate the move.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for HOT.SW stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects CHF154.84 at 12 months, implying -50.21% versus the CHF311.00 close. This is a model projection and not a guaranteed outcome.
How should investors approach HOT.SW stock after this move?
Treat the move as a high-volatility event. Wait for higher liquidity and confirmatory price action. Use scenario targets such as CHF280.00 near term and CHF154.84 model-based for planning, and size positions to risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
